Plus/minus: MBB vs. UCLA

Having to follow an evening game with an early afternoon game when the starters have logged heavy minutes and the bench isn't deep would be a tall order against any team, especially UCLA. The Bruins put Cal down 16-4 early before coasting to an 88-66 win. The blowout meant that the starters sank to the bottom of the plus/minus chart, leaving Peter Liss as top man after playing just four minutes.

UCLA 88, California 66

Congratulations to those of you who are slogging your way through the fifth plus/minus article on six days.  While it wasn't quite time to wake up Lee Roy against UCLA, and there are no gratuitous Lindsey Soto references, in this edition, just remember to apply the blowout rules before looking at the chart: a) lots of reserves will have good numbers because the game was decided by the time they received most of their playing time; b) the starters will all fall to the bottom of the chart, and c) looking at lineup combinations is only useful in letting you know how ineffective a grouping might have played in the first half and early in the second half.  Later in the second half, the Bears went with some combinations that they were unlikely to have tried if the game was closer; and d) teams only play back-to-back games in early season tournaments and the conference tournaments, and some are more prepared for it than others.  Coming off a game where the starters played heavy minutes against a team that hadn't played the night before was going to be problematic against any team; especially against UCLA.

Player Min +Pts -Pts Pts Reb Ast Diff
Peter Liss 4 15 10 3 1 1 +5
Jordan Wilkes 6 15 13 0 0 0 +2
Nican Robinson 2 5 3 2 0 0 +2
Nikola Knezevic 17 31 29 4 0 2 +2
Harper Kamp 12 23 23 4 1 2 0
DeVon Hardin 17 32 36 10 2 1 -4
Patrick Christopher 30 44 58 12 4 1 -14
Jamal Boykin 23 39 55 9 4 0 -16
Ryan Anderson 30 47 71 15 7 3 -24
Eric Vierneisel 30 40 65 3 3 1 -25
Jerome Randle 29 39 77 4 4 3 -38

First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Nikola Knezevic -13-13, 0  
Second Half Top - Peter Liss -15-10, +5

First Half Bottom - Jerome Randle - 18-39, -21
Second Half Bottom - Eric Vierneisel - 21-39, -18

Lineups

This was another game where the Bears starting lineup got off to a poor start, as they trailed 12-4 at the 14:16 mark before making their first substitution.   Even with that lineup's lack of success, Cal rolled it again in the second half, and they were outscored 16-10 during th first 5:42 of the second half before making a substitution. By that time the Bears were down 55-35, and their chance of making an early run after trailing by 14 at halftime had faded from view.

Randle, Vierneisel, Christopher, Boykin and Anderson in 15:34 - 24-41, -17
All other lineups in 24:26 - 42-47, -5

Point Guard lineup

For a player who's strength is in speed and playing at a frenetic pace, it appears that playing games in back-to-back days took its heaviest toll on Randle.   After one of his stronger games of the season against Washington, Randle had difficult time against UCLA, putting up a -26 in just 21 minutes of play as the lone point guard.  For the game he was a -38 in just 29 minutes of play. By comparison the Bears were a +16 in the other 11 minutes of play; +7 in the first half, when the game wasn't quite a lost cause, and +8 in the second half, when it was.

Knezevic bounced back from his Hindenburg of a game with a +2, including a +11 when it was just him as the lone point guard, with a big chunk of that coming when the Bears went on a 7-0 run in the first half to cut the deficit from 12 to 5, at 16-11.   That particular lineup grouping; Knezevic, Vierneisel, Christopher, Anderson, and Hardin, never took the floor together the rest of the game despite their success during that 3:36 spell.

Randle only 21:23 30-56, -26
Randle and Knezevic 8:19 9-21, -12
Knezevic only 4:49 12-1, +11
Knezevic and Liss 2:32 10-7, +3
Robinson and Liss 1:05 5-3, +2
Robinson only 0:52 0-0, 0
TOTAL 40:00 66-88, -22

Big Lineups

Nothing really worked here, either.  There were a few combinations that were effective but that didn't start happening until the game was well in hand.

Boykin and Anderson 15:34 24-41, -17
Anderson and Hardin 10:02 12-19, -7
Boykin and Kamp 5:22 6-9, -3
Wilkes, Anderson, and Hardin 4:10 15-11, +4
Hardin and Kamp 2:13 4-3, +1
Boykin, Wilkes, and Kamp 1:17 4-2, +1
Boykin, Hardin, and Kamp 1:05 5-3, +2
Wilkes, Hardin, and Kamp 0:17 0-0, 0
  40:00 66-88, -2

Difference Makers

With Jerome Randle in 29 minutes - 39-77, -38   
Without Randle in 11 minutes - 27-11, +16

Contribution Evaluation

Player Minutes Expected Actual Difference
Knezevic 17 -9.35 +2 +11.35
Liss 4 -2.20 +5 +7.20
Kamp 12 -6.60 0 +6.60
Wilkes 6 -3.40 +2 +5.40
Hardin 17 -9.35 -4 +5.35
Robinson 2 -1.20 +2 +3.20
Christopher 30 -16.50 -14 +2.50
Boykin 23 -12.65 -16 -3.35
Anderson 30 -16.50 -24 -8.50
Vienerisel 30 -16.50 -25 -9.50
Randle 29 -15.95 -38 -22.05

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