For all the talk about RPIs, ratings, polls, and strength of schedule, the only statistics that really matter when it comes to post-season play are how well a team does when it plays away from its home arena. All conference tourney games and NIT/NCAA games are played on neutral site courts (well, maybe unless you're Pittsburgh). If you study the schedules of teams that are in the NCAA tournament, you'll be surprised how many of them had little to no success at winning away conference games.
With that in mind, let's look at how Cal's done away from Haas. While they've swept their one Pac-10 road trip, it also may turn out to be their least competitive road trip of the conference season. The Bears have played two home games against tough teams (Stanford, Oregon) and two games away from Haas against highly regarded teams (Kansas and Georgia). Below is a breakdown of the nine Bears who've seen the most playing time, their total stats for the season as well as how they do in home and away games. These tables will be updated during the course of the season and will be re-posted from time-to-time.
(Key - MPG - minutes per game, PPG - points per game, RPG - rebounds per game, APG - assists per game, SPG - steals per game, TPG - turnovers per game, FPG - fouls per game, FGP - field goal %, 3PG - 3-point shooting %, FTP - free throw %)
Shipp has a higher 3-point shooting percentage at Haas (46.3% to 36.8%), but has a higher 2-point shooting percentage away from Haas (59.8% to 53.3%). Of the six players who are most likely to be on the court at the end of the game (Shipp, Tamir, Wethers, Famulener, Midgley and Diggs), Shipp has the biggest home/away free throw percentage difference (11.9%). It should be pointed out that his 78.3% away free throw shooting percentage is the second highest on the team. His home free-throw shooting percentage is by far the best on the team.
Away from Haas, Tamir's 3-point shooting percentage (51.5%) is quite a bit better than his 2-point shooting percentage (33.9%).
Wethers' rebound and assist totals have been steady in both home and away games. His free-throw percentage is unusually low for a high scorer who isn't a big player.
For a freshman, his performances on the road have been fairly consistent aside from the occasional foul problems. Midgley's had four games with four fouls and three more games with three fouls. The total number of fouls isn't so much of an issue as is the time when a player picks up his 2nd foul. If a player picks up a second foul in the first half he's usually done for the half. If that happens to early in the half, it forces Braun to use slightly different rotations.
In his last 7 games, Diggs has taken a total of 14 shots, compared to 48 shots during his first seven games.
Bond's only shot four free throws all year, so his low percentage isn't a good reflection of his ability.
The field goal percentage differential for Famulener is surprisingly large, even if one takes into consideration that only once has he attempted more than three field goals in a game. It begs the question about why he doesn't shoot more - if for no other reason than to keep defenses honest. If there's a candidate to bust out with a surprise 15-point game, I'd pick Famulener.
Hopefully, hitting three out of four free throws against Washington State will mean that his free throw percentage has bottomed out for the year. If he could make 65%-70% of his free throws, he'd probably see a little more playing time, but as is, a team can't risk having a poor free-throw shooter on the floor during the bonus situation.
Since Paris started getting into games regularly, Cal hasn't played too many games away from Haas, so his away totals are bound to be low. The one astounding number is his free throw percentage. His form doesn't look bad and he looks like he could develop a solid mid-range jumper, but until the number comes up it's unlikely that he'll see much playing time toward the end of either half.
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