The buzzer sounded, the clock read 0:00, and the crowd applauded before heading towards the exits. There was no storming of the court, no out of control victory celebration and no players sitting on the rim.

It's come down to this: beating UCLA now evokes as much emotion as beating Washington State. In equal parts, this reflects both the rising fortunes of Cal and the ugly decline of UCLA.

And Conor Famulener was +16 for the game.

"> The buzzer sounded, the clock read 0:00, and the crowd applauded before heading towards the exits. There was no storming of the court, no out of control victory celebration and no players sitting on the rim.

It's come down to this: beating UCLA now evokes as much emotion as beating Washington State. In equal parts, this reflects both the rising fortunes of Cal and the ugly decline of UCLA.

And Conor Famulener was +16 for the game.

">

Fun With Numbers - Cal vs. UCLA

<p class="txt">The buzzer sounded, the clock read 0:00, and the crowd applauded before heading towards the exits. There was no storming of the court, no out of control victory celebration and no players sitting on the rim.</p> <p class="txt">It's come down to this: beating UCLA now evokes as much emotion as beating Washington State. In equal parts, this reflects both the rising fortunes of Cal and the ugly decline of UCLA.</p> <p class="txt">And Conor Famulener was +16 for the game.</p>

PLUS/MINUS vs. UCLA

Player Min +Pts -Pts Diff
Conor Famulener 31 61 45 +16
Amit Tamir 36 76 63 +13
Richard Midgley 18 50 39 +11
Joe Shipp 37 77 67 +10
Donte Smith 8 16 9 +7
Brian Wethers 26 59 55 +4
Erik Bond 6 8 7 +1
Tashaan Forehan-Kelly 2 0 0 0
A.J. Diggs 17 21 22 -1
Martin Smith 9 15 16 -1
Gabriel Hughes 10 17 22 -5

Comment:  This is the third straight week that Famulener's had a much stronger game during the Saturday game in conference play. Against the Oregons, he was a +2 on Thursday and a +17 on Saturday. Against the Washingtons, he was a +3 on Thursday and a +26 on Saturday. And against the LAs, he was a +2 on Thursday and a +16 on Saturday. It should be noted though, that in each case, the tougher game of the pair was always on Thursday.

For most of the final 3:25, Midgley and Diggs were substituted for each other for offense/defense during breaks in play. During this time, Midgley was a +3 and Diggs was a -7. Up until that point, Cal was ahead 72-55, and Midgley was a +8, while Diggs was a +6.  Midgley played only briefly in the first half and was a +6 when the team was a +17. He was a +5 in the second half, one of only two Bears who was positive (Famulener with a +1 was the other), as the team was a -6.

While UCLA has above average talent, one gets the idea that they never work on fundamentals. Even including the EA Sports team, I haven't seen another Cal opponent where passes kept getting thrown to ankles, wide open shots were repeatedly missed badly, close-in shots were blown over and over, and free throw shooting was an adventure. Yet as badly as UCLA played, if they'd made just a handful more of free throws, the game's complexion could have changed significantly.

Hughes had another 50/50 game; in the first half he helped get Cal off to a good start (9-5), but was in the lineup when UCLA made their short run in the beginning of the second half (11-4). If not for getting his 2nd foul early in the first half (16:58), he looked like he was on his way to a big game.  

 

First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Amit Tamir, 36-17, +19
Second Half Top - Richard Midgley, 39-34, +5

First Half Bottom - Erik Bond, 8-7, +1
Second Half Bottom - Brian Wethers, 38-46, -8


Difference Makers of the Game

With Conor Famulener in 31 minutes, 61-45, +16
Without Conor Famulener in 9 minutes, 19-24, -5

With Amit Tamir in 36 minutes, 76-63, +13
Without Amit Tamir in 4 minutes, 4-6, -2

Lineups

Starting lineup - Hughes, Midgley, Tamir and Wethers in 6:05 - 13-16, -3
Most effective lineup - Famulener, Midgley, Shipp, Tamir and Wethers in 12:07 - 33-21, +12
All other combinations in 21:48 - 34-32, +2

Comment: The second half lineup opened the second half with a 7-2 run, when Diggs was brought in for Midgley. When Cal trailed 44-42 with 11:20 left, Tamir and Wethers were brought in for Smith and Bond, and the team went on a 9-2 run to take 51-46 lead.


Double Point Guards


With Diggs and Midgley in 0:00, 0-0, 0
All Smith backcourt in 4:41, 11-6, +5
All other combinations in 35:19, 69-63, +6

Comment:  Diggs and Midgley weren't oncourt together during the game. In the first half, Midgley picked up his 2nd foul with 15:45 left; consequently, Braun used both of the Smiths to substitute for and play with Diggs. In the second half, Diggs played briefly until the final stretch when he and Midgley were substituted.  With Cal up 23-9, Braun paired Donte Smith and Martin Smith for a stretch and they stretched the lead to 34-15 at the 4:04 mark when Diggs replaced Donte.

Offensive Efficiency

Player PPM*
Midgley 2.83
Wethers 2.27
Tamir 2.11
Shipp 2.08
D. Smith 2.00
TEAM 2.00
Famulener 1.97
Hughes 1.70
M. Smith 1.67
Bond 1.33
Diggs 1.24
Forehan-Kelly 0.00

*Points per minute scored by Cal while player was on the court.

Defensive Efficiency

Player PPM*
Forehan-Kelly 0.00
D. Smith 1.12
Bond 1.16
Diggs 1.29
Famulener 1.44
TEAM 1.73
Tamir 1.75
M. Smith 1.78
Wethers 2.11
Midgley 2.17
Hughes 2.20

*Points per minute scored by opponent while player was on the court.

Contribution Evaluation

Player Minutes Expected Actual Difference
Famulener 31 +8.53 +16 +7.47
Midgley 18 +4.95 +11 +6.05
D. Smith 8 +2.20 +7 +4.80
Tamir 36 +9.90 +13 +3.70
Shipp 37 +10.18 +10 -0.18
Forehan-Kelly 2 +0.55 0 -0.55
Bond 6 +1.65 +1 -0.65
Wethers 26 +7.15 +4 -3.15
M. Smith 9 +2.48 -1 -3.48
Diggs 17 +4.68 -1 -5.68
Hughes 10 +2.75 -5 -7.75

Comment:  Famulener probably had one of the greatest non-scoring performances in Cal history. He's consistently near the top of the chart, and is very deserving of his playing time. In the first half, he played 14:22 continuously, the longest of any Cal player. In the second half, he played 16:11 continuously; Tamir and Shipp played the entire 2nd half and Wethers rested for just 2:03. Midgley's showing was helped by being brought in for offense-only while Diggs was hurt by being in primarily on defense down the stretch. One noteworthy aspect of Smith's high showing was that the only people who remained in the game along him was Famulener. Tamir, Shipp and Wethers were all subbed in and out.

Description: This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros. At some point in the future, I'll go into more detail about what this stat means. Each game, the top three players will be in blue. Special thanks to GldnBr71 for suggesting this.

Lineup Breakdown

Lineup TIME + - +/-
Famulener, Midgley, Shipp, Tamir, Wethers 12:07 33 21 +12
Diggs, Famulener, Shipp, Tamir, Wethers 7:08 10 10 0
Hughes, Midgley, Shipp, Tamir, Wethers 6:05 13 16 -3
Famulener, Shipp, D. Smith, M. Smith, Tamir 2:48 7 3 +4
Bond, Diggs, Famulener, Shipp, Tamir 2:32 4 0 +4
Diggs, Famulener, Forehan-Kelly, Shipp, Tamir 2:03 0 0 0
Diggs, Hughes, Shipp, M. Smith, Tamir 1:28 2 2 0
Famulener, Hughes, Shipp, D. Smith, M. Smith, 1:24 2 2 0
Diggs, Famulener, D. Smith, Tamir, Wethers 1:18 1 0 +1
Bond, Diggs, Shipp, D. Smith, Tamir 1:13 4 2 +2
Bond, Diggs, Hughes, M. Smith, Shipp 1:06 0 2 -2
Bond, Diggs, Famulener, D. Smith, Tamir 0:45 0 1 -1
Diggs, M. Smith, Shipp, Tamir, Wethers 0:38 0 0 0
Shipp, D. Smith, M. Smith, Tamir, Wethers 0:29 2 1 +1
Bond, Diggs, Shipp, M. Smith, Tamir 0:17 0 2 -2
Famulener, Shipp, M. Smith, Tamir, Wethers 0:11 0 2 -2
Midgley, Shipp, M. Smith, Tamir, Wethers 0:08 2 2 0
TOTAL 40:00 73 66 +7

Comment:  Three lineups played about 60% of the game. It's clear that Cal's best lineup game-in and game-out is Famulener, Midgley, Shipp, Tamir and Wethers, and although the lineup doesn't start, it usually gets the most sizable amount of playing time. Braun took advantage of the Bears' large first-half advantage to give Diggs some rest and give a lot of playing time to the Smiths, during which UCLA wasn't able to cut into the lead. The only time UCLA was able to make much of a run was early in the second half against the starting lineup.

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