With 1:29 left in the first half and Cal down by 6, if anyone told you then that Cal would score 50 points in the second half at Arizona, you would have given the Bears a good shot at winning. But it didn't quite work out that way.... "> With 1:29 left in the first half and Cal down by 6, if anyone told you then that Cal would score 50 points in the second half at Arizona, you would have given the Bears a good shot at winning. But it didn't quite work out that way.... ">

Fun With Numbers - Cal vs/Arizona

<p class="txt">With 1:29 left in the first half and Cal down by 6, if anyone told you then that Cal would score 50 points in the second half at Arizona, you would have given the Bears a good shot at winning. But it didn't quite work out that way....

PLUS/MINUS vs. Arizona

Player Min +Pts -Pts Diff
Donte Smith 11 24 20 +4
Erik Bond 5 18 15 +3
Martin Smith 2 4 5 -1
A.J. Diggs 23 45 48 -3
David Paris 7 9 12 -3
Conor Famulener 3 8 13 -5
Gabriel Hughes 23 35 46 -11
Brian Wethers 37 70 83 -13
Richard Midgley 22 49 62 -13
Amit Tamir 29 64 80 -16
Joe Shipp 37 74 91 -17

Comment:  To Cal's credit, they fought like crazy to stay in the game in the 1st and 2nd halves. There were a few occasions where it appeared that Arizona would end up winning by 30 .

With about three minutes to go in the second half, Braun rotated Midgley and Diggs were rotated on offense and defense for a couple of possessions. Midgley's gain was a +1, whle Diggs loss was a -4.

First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Donte Smith, 14-13, +1
Second Half Top - Erik Bond (18-15) and Donte Smith (10-7), +3

First Half Bottom - Joe Shipp, 24-36, -12
Second Half Bottom - Amit Tamir, 48-55, -7


Difference Makers of the Game

With Donte Smith in 11 minutes, 24-20, +4
Without Donte Smith in 29 minutes, 56-75, -19

With Erik Bond in 5 minutes, 18-15, +3
Without Erik Bond in 35 minutes, 62-80, -18

With A.J. Diggs in 23 minutes, 45-48, -3
Without A.J. Diggs in 17 minutes, 35-47, -12

Comment:  Smith played seven of his minutes in the first half when the game was fairly tight. Diggs' defensive efforts were a large reason why Cal was still in the game at halftime.

Starting Lineup

Midgley, Tamir, Wethers, Hughes and Shipp in 5:43 - 9-17, -8
All other combinations in 34:17 - 71-78, -7

Comment:  The starting lineup was a -2 when Hughes went out with contact lenses trouble. By the time he checked back in four minutes later, Cal was down nine. In the second half, Arizona opened up with a 13-5 blitz to put the Wildcats up 18 and effectively end the game. If one counts the end of the first half and the beginning of the second half, Arizona went on an 18-6 run in 3:52 of game play. In the other 36:08, Arizona outscored Cal 77-74.

Double Point Guards


With Diggs and Midgley in 11:42, 23-30, -7
All other combinations in 28:18, 57-65, -8

Comment:   As Braun becomes more comfortable with bringing both of the Smiths off the bench, the combination of Diggs and Midgley may start seeing more playing time together. If either Smith starts seeing consistent double-digit playing time, I'll check to see how either of them do when paired with either Diggs or Midgley.

Offensive Efficiency

Player PPM*
Bond 3.60
Midgley 2.23
Tamir 2.21
D. Smith 2.18
M. Smith 2.00
Shipp 2.00
TEAM 2.00
Diggs 1.95
Wethers 1.89
Hughes 1.52
Paris 1.28

*Points per minute scored by Cal while player was on the court.

Defensive Efficiency

Player PPM*
Paris 1.71
D. Smith 1.82
Hughes 2.00
Diggs 2.09
Wethers 2.24
TEAM 2.38
Shipp 2.46
M. Smith 2.50
Tamir 2.76
Midgley 2.91
Bond 3.00
Famulener 4.33

*Points per minute scored by opponent while player was on the court.

Contribution Evaluation

Player Minutes Expected Actual Difference
D. Smith 11 -4.13 +4 +8.13
Diggs 23 -8.63 -3 +5.63
Bond 5 -1.88 +3 +4.88
Wethers 37 -13.88 -13 +0.88
M. Smith 2 -0.75 -1 -0.25
Paris 7 -2.63 -3 -0.37
Hughes 23 -8.63 -11 -2.37
Shipp 37 -13.88 -17 -3.12
Famulener 3 -1.13 -5 -3.87
Midgley 22 -8.25 -13 -4.75
Tamir 29 -10.88 -16 -5.12

Comment:   For the most part, the starters aren't going to do well in these types of games. Arizona started well in the first and second halves, built up good sized leads and were content  to keep Cal at a distance.Various line-ups did well in making brief incursions into the lead, but the Bears seemed to hit a wall when cutting the deficit to five points in the first half and 10 points in the second.  Diggs would have topped this chart if he hadn't lost a -4 on offense/defense substitutions in the 2nd half. Diggs and D. Smith were key contributors in the first half as they helped keep Cal in the game with Midgley and Tamir out with foul trouble.   Bond's +3 was nice but he made his first entry into the game when Cal was down 16   with a little over 5 minutes left.

Description: This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros. At some point in the future, I'll go into more detail about what this stat means. Each game, the top three players will be in blue. Special thanks to GldnBr71 for suggesting this.

Lineup Breakdown

Lineup TIME + - +/-
Diggs, Midgley, Shipp, Tamir, Wethers 8:20 17 19 -2
Hughes, Midgley, Shipp, Tamir, Wethers 5:43 9 17 -8
Diggs, Hughes, Shipp, Tamir, Wethers 4:38 12 12 0
Diggs, Famulener, Midgley, Shipp, Tamir 3:07 6 10 -4
Diggs, Hughes, Paris, Shipp, Wethers 2:28 2 2 0
Bond, Shipp, D. Smith, Tamir, Wethers 2:12 6 5 +1
Diggs, Hughes, Shipp, D. Smith, Wethers 2:08 3 0 +3
Hughes, Midgley, D. Smith, Paris, Wethers 1:50 4 2 +2
Bond, Midgley, Shipp, Tamir, Wethers 1:42 7 8 -1
Hughes, Paris, Shipp, D. Smith, Wethers 1:29 1 5 -4
Famulener, Midgley, Shipp, Tamir, Wethers 1:13 0 3 -3
Hughes, Midgley, D. Smith, Tamir, Wethers 1:06 2 2 0
Diggs, Famulener, Midgley, Shipp, D. Smith 1:03 2 0 +2
Hughes, Shipp, M. Smith, Paris, Wethers 0:52 0 1 -1
Bond, Diggs, Shipp, Tamir, Wethers 0:45 3 2 +1
Hughes, D. Smith, M. Smith, Shipp, Wethers 0:31 2 2 0
Diggs, Hughes, Shipp, D. Smith, Tamir 0:17 0 2 -2
Diggs, Hughes, Midgley, Shipp, Wethers 0:15 0 1 -1
Shipp, D. Smith, M. Smith, Paris, Wethers 0:11 2 2 0
Bond, Midgley, Shipp, D. Smith, Tamir 0:10 2 0 +2
TOTAL 40:00 80 95 -15

Comment:  Of the four most effective combinations, Donte Smith was the only player who participated in all four.  One of Cal's better lineups of recent games has been the Famulener/Midgley/ Shipp/ Tamir/Wethers lineup. However, in the Arizona game, that combination was the on the court once in the first half for only 1:13. Foul trouble kept Cal from using that group late in the first half, and in the second half, Diggs was the first substitute off the bench in the second half (usually it's Famulener).

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