The season-long hallmarks of Cal basketball were present in the Bears' 86-75 win against Oregon in Eugene on Saturday: the reliable scoring of Amit Tamir and Joe Shipp, Brian Wethers' all-around game, and Richard Midgley's reliable floor presence.

Yet Gabriel Hughes' incremental improvement was very much in evidence against the Ducks, and may turn out to be the critical element that lifts the Bears from being an NCAA team to one capable of going further.

"> The season-long hallmarks of Cal basketball were present in the Bears' 86-75 win against Oregon in Eugene on Saturday: the reliable scoring of Amit Tamir and Joe Shipp, Brian Wethers' all-around game, and Richard Midgley's reliable floor presence.

Yet Gabriel Hughes' incremental improvement was very much in evidence against the Ducks, and may turn out to be the critical element that lifts the Bears from being an NCAA team to one capable of going further.

">

Fun With Numbers - Cal vs. Oregon

<p class="txt">The season-long hallmarks of Cal basketball were present in the Bears' 86-75 win against Oregon in Eugene on Saturday: the reliable scoring of Amit Tamir and Joe Shipp, Brian Wethers' all-around game, and Richard Midgley's reliable floor presence.</p> <p class="txt">Yet Gabriel Hughes' incremental improvement was very much in evidence against the Ducks, and may turn out to be the critical element that lifts the Bears from being an NCAA team to one capable of going further. </p>

PLUS/MINUS vs. OREGON

Player Min +Pts -Pts Diff
Richard Midgley 33 77 60 +17
Joe Shipp 37 80 69 +11
Amit Tamir 36 79 69 +10
Gabriel Hughes 16 33 23 +10
Brian Wethers 31 69 61 +8
Conor Famulener 15 26 25 +1
David Paris 8 14 14 0
Erik Bond 5 9 9 0
Rodrique Benson 1 0 0 0
A.J. Diggs 18 43 45 -2

Comment:  Much has been posted about the importance of Cal beating a strong team away from home and how this may have been one of Cal's best games of the year. For all the nail-biters against both good and not-so-good teams, Cal's gotten a lot of experience in playing close games and knowing which rotations will be effective down the stretch. It's safe to say that at this point in the season, if Cal's in a tight game going into the last five minutes, it's going to take an extraordinary effort to beat them.

Toward the end of the game, Braun didn't use the offense for defense substitution that he'd been using toward the end of some games.  During the last six minutes of the game, he went with two lineups, Famulener/Midgley/Shipp/Tamir/Wethers for 1:20 (this lineup was oncourt for 7:34) and then replaced Famulener with Diggs for the game's final 4:38.

First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Richard Midgley, 25-21, +4
Second Half Top - Amit Tamir, 50-36, +14

First Half Bottom - A.J. Diggs - 13-18, -5
Second Half Bottom - David Paris, 2-3, -1


Difference Makers of the Game

With Richard Midgley in 33 minutes, 77-60, +17
Without Richard Midgley in 7 minutes, 9-15, -6

With Joe Shipp in 37 minutes, 80-69, +11
Without Joe Shipp in 3 minutes, 6-6, 0

With Gabriel Hughes in 16 minutes, 33-23, +10
Without Gabriel Hughes in 24 minutes, 53-52, +1

Comment:  In the first half, Midgley went to the bench at the 11:59 mark with Cal up 13-12 and sat for the next 6:37. When he returned, Cal was down 5, 27-22.

Starting Lineup

Midgley, Tamir, Wethers, Hughes and Shipp in 11:15 - 22-17, +5
All other combinations in 28:45, 64-58, +6

Comment:  The starting line up went 11-10 in the first half and 11-7 in the second half.

Double Point Guards


With Diggs and Midgley in 11:22, 34-30, +4
All other combinations in 28:38, 52-45, +7

Comment:   The Diggs/Midgley combination played together for 1:48 (4/3, +1) in the first half, but for 9:34 (30/27, +3) in the second half. In the first half, the first sub off the bench was Famulener (for Hughes) a the 13:34 mark. In the second half, the first sub off the bench was Midgley (for Wethers) at the 15:11 mark.

Offensive Efficiency

Player PPM*
Diggs 2.39
Midgley 2.33
Wethers 2.22
Tamir 2.19
Shipp 2.16
TEAM 2.15
Hughes 2.07
Bond 1.80
Paris 1.75
Famulener 1.73
Benson 0.00

*Points per minute scored by Cal while player was on the court.

Defensive Efficiency

Player PPM*
Benson 0.00
Hughes 1.43
Famulener 1.67
Paris 1.75
Bond 1.80
Midgley 1.82
Shipp 1.88
TEAM 1.88
Tamir 1.91
Wethers 1.97
Diggs 2.50

*Points per minute scored by opponent while player was on the court.

Contribution Evaluation

Player Minutes Expected Actual Difference
Midgley 33 +9.08 +17 +8.92
Hughes 16 +4.40 +10 +5.60
Shipp 37 +10.18 +11 +0.82
Tamir 36 +9.90 +10 +0.10
Benson 1 +0.28 0 -0.28
Wethers 31 +8.53 +8 -0.53
Bond 5 +1.38 0 -1.38
Paris 8 +2.20 0 -2.20
Famulener 15 +4.13 +1 -3.13
Diggs 18 +4.95 -2 -6.95

Comment:   Hughes had one of his best games of the season, putting up a +3 in the first half when the team was a -2. In the second half, Hughes a +7 in 7 minuts of play.

Description: This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros. At some point in the future, I'll go into more detail about what this stat means. Each game, the top three players will be in blue. Special thanks to GldnBr71 for suggesting this.

Lineup Breakdown

Lineup TIME + - +/-
Hughes, Midgley, Shipp, Tamir, Wethers 11:15 22 17 +5
Famulener, Midgley, Shipp, Tamir, Wethers 7:34 16 10 +6
Diggs, Midgley, Shipp, Tamir, Wethers 4:38 20 19 +1
Diggs, Famulener, Shipp, Tamir, Wethers 3:10 0 6 -6
Bond, Diggs, Hughes, Shipp, Tamir 2:42 4 4 0
Diggs, Hughes, Midgley, Shipp, Tamir 2:18 5 2 +3
Diggs, Midgley, Paris, Tamir, Wethers 1:48 4 3 +1
Famulener, Midgley, Paris, Shipp, Wethers 1:46 3 3 0
Diggs, Famulener, Midgley, Paris, Shipp 1:36 2 3 -1
Bond, Diggs, Paris, Tamir, Wethers 1:23 2 3 -1
Diggs, Famulener, Midgley, Shipp, Tamir 1:02 3 3 0
Bond, Diggs, Paris, Shipp, Tamir 0:42 3 2 +1
Bond, Diggs, Famulener, Shipp, Tamir 0:34 0 0 0
Benson, Diggs, Hughes, Shipp, Wethers 0:14 0 0 0
Famulener, Hughes, Midgley, Shipp, Wethers 0:08 2 0 +2
TOTAL 40:00 86 75 +11

Comment:  The Diggs/Midgley/Shipp/Tamir/Wethers lineup was only on the court for the last 4:38, but was responsible for a large number of points, due largely to repeated fouling by Oregon. With 4:38 left, Cal was up 66-56.  If the score had kept at its current pace, the Bears would have ended up around 73 or 74 points.

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