Efficiency Ratings: Game 36

As the Blue Devils progress through the season there will be many different theories on how to measure team success. TDD has adopted the NBA Efficiency Formula to track Duke's top players and performances after each game and throughout the season.

A quick way NBA coaches measure a player's game performance is by evaluating his efficiency. In order to find a player's efficiency the following formula is used:

((Points + Rebounds + Assists + Steals + Blocks) - ((Field Goals Att. - Field Goals Made) + (Free Throws Att. - Free Throws Made) + Turnovers)).

For example, compare the following stat lines:

Player A: 17 points (5-of-22 FG, 7-9 FT), 8 rebounds, 6 assists, 3 steals, 4 turnovers.

Player B: 15 points (5-8 FG, 3-4 FT), 4 rebounds, 7 assists, 2 turnovers

Who had the better game? Using the NBA formula player B, who hit five of eight shots and committed two turnovers registered a +20 efficiency total while Player A who missed 17 shots and had four turnovers had just a +11 rating.

For reference, last year LeBron James posted the two most efficient games of the season with a +54 (37 points on 11-of-17 FG & 9-10 FT, 12 rebounds, 11 assist, 2 steals, 1 block, and 2 turnovers) and +50 (40 points on 16-of-23 FG & 6-6 FT, 8 rebounds, 8 assist, 1 steal, 2 blocks, and 2 turnovers) rating.

The madness seemed to creep into Charlotte on Sunday afternoon as the Wolverines' offensive and defensive strategies gave the Blue Devils fits throughout their second round match up. In the end, however, ACC Player of the Year Smith took control and helped keep his team alive and booked Duke passage to the West Coast for the regional semifinals. .

v. Michigan
(change from previous game)

Notes: The post game didn't produce at the same level as the opening round with the Plumlee brothers combining for just +13 points while Ryan Kelly posted another +13 to give the post game a total of +26. On the perimeter the Michigan 1-3-1 zone allowed Duke a chance to get open looks, but the shots weren't falling for a good portion of the afternoon, and resulted in struggled in the efficiency categories for Andre Dakwins and and Seth Curry who combined for just a +5 between them. With the secondary threats struggling, Duke's two seniors carried the load with Smith and Singler posting a combined +36 mark including 21 from Smith who scored a game high 24 points on 8 of 13 shooting. Meanwhile Singler added 13 points, eight rebounds, and four assists. In his second game back, Kyrie Irving hit only one of four shots but knocked down 9 of 10 free throws and handed out two assists to go with 11 points and three boards to post a +11.

Throughout the season TDD will track the various highs and lows using the formula.

Ten Most Efficient Performances

  • Mason Plumlee v. Marquette (+36)
  • Nolan Smith v. UNC-Greensboro (+36)
  • Kyrie Irving v. Michigan State (+35)
  • Kyle Singler v. Maryland (+34)
  • Nolan Smith v. Miami (+31)
  • Nolan Smith v. UAB (+31)
  • Ryan Kelly v. Wake Forest (+31)
  • Nolan Smith v. Virginia (+30)
  • Nolan Smith v. St. John's (+30)
  • Nolan Smith v. Boston College (+29)
  • Kyle Singler v. UNC-Greensboro (+29)

Five Least Efficient Performances*
  • Nolan Smith v. Miami (-6)
  • Andre Dawkins v. Miami (-4)
  • Andre Dawkins v. Miami (-4)
  • Tyler Thornton v. Miami (-4)
  • Seth Curry v. Miami (-3)
*- players must play at least 3 minutes or factor into the box score to be considered for per game E-ratings
Cumulative Season ratings for the Blue Devils. (E/game)*

  • Nolan Smith +702 (19.5)
  • Kyle Singler +574 (15.9)
  • Mason Plumlee +508 (14.1)
  • Ryan Kelly +365 (10.1)
  • Seth Curry +337 (9.4)
  • Miles Plumlee +281 (7.8)
  • Andre Dawkins +262 (7.3)
  • Kyrie Irving +192 (19.2)
  • Tyler Thornton +82 (2.9)
  • Josh Hairston +39 (2.1)
*- players must play at least 3 minutes or factor into the box score to be considered for per game E-ratings. Irving (E/10); Thornton (E/28); Hairston (E/19)

Tracking the most and least efficient performances by player

  • Kyrie Irving +35/+12
  • Nolan Smith +36/-6
  • Mason Plumlee +36/+0
  • Kyle Singler +34/-1
  • Andre Dawkins +23/-4
  • Seth Curry +27/-3
  • Ryan Kelly +31/-1
  • Miles Plumlee +21/-2
  • Tyler Thornton +12/-4
  • Josh Hairston +15/-1

Notes: Throughout the 26 games he missed, many wondered if Kyrie Irving would make a huge difference. Would he continue to post ridiculously high efficiency ratings? Now, two games back, Irving has continued to shrug off rust and during that process he's lost the per game efficiency ratings lead to Nolan Smith. It's more a testament to how good Smith has been and for how long. Similarly the final season standings appear to most likely be settled with the various battles for fourth and sixth place seeing distance built in by Ryan Kelly over Seth Curry and Miles Plumlee from Andre Dawkins.

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