might have learned this lesson - and it's useful to read now as well. might have learned this lesson - and it's useful to read now as well.

Perils Of Prediction

Quite often, people can get carried away with their visions of the future (trust us on this one; we're guilty sometimes too).&nbsp; The great thing about the Web is that things live forever. The bad thing about the Web is...that things live forever.&nbsp; Brett Wood, who writes for The Sabre, is a guy who <!a href="http://www.thesabre.com/basketball/wood/wood19.html" target=_top>might have learned this lesson </a>- and it's useful to read now as well.</

Quite often, people can get carried away with their visions of the future (trust us on this one; we're guilty sometimes too).  The great thing about the Web is that things live forever. The bad thing about the Web is...that things live forever.  Brett Wood, who writes for The Sabre, is a guy who might have learned this lesson - and it's useful to read now as well.

After Brand, Avery, Maggette and Burgess left, and Trajan Langdon graduated, Wood predicted Duke would skid to the middle of the pack.  And he said that while Steve Blake would be a fine player someday, Juan Dixon wouldn't make anyone's All-ACC list.

Anyway, we're not picking on Brett - well, not much. Ok, we'll pick on him now. He thought Virginia was primed to pass Duke and Virginia, and he's still waiting. Picking over.

But there are two lessons to be drawn: 1) don't take predictions too seriously. Most people aren't close enough to the game to know enough about how things could develop. 2) don't be too quick to dismiss Duke. 

It's funny that he was so completely wrong. It'd be funnier if we had never been as wrong, but we have been, too.  But it's still funny, and still instructive.


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