The Tar Heels come in scoring 75.8 and allowing 67.6 points per game. North Carolina is the No. 8 team in the country when it comes to rebounding. They average 41 rebounds per game including 14.6 per game on the offensive end. North Carolina is led by sophomore guard Marcus Paige who averages 17.7 points and 4.5 assists per game. Junior forward James Michael McAdoo is a dominant force inside averaging 15.3 points and 7 rebounds per game. Leslie McDonald and Brice Johnson both average just over 10 points per game. Johnson and Kennedy Meeks both bring down over 6 rebounds per game. The Tar Heels come in ranked No. 27 in RPI and are currently fourth in the ACC.
Florida State has seen a rise in the play of guard Aaron Thomas lately as he has assumed a starting role. Since the Virginia Tech game he has averaged 19 points and 6.75 rebounds per game. Getting Ian Miller back fully healthy was a big bonus for the Seminoles against Wake. He scored a game high 25 on Saturday. Florida State will need Okaro White to bounce back from a subpar game against Wake if the Seminoles want to have any shot at beating North Carolina. His length and athleticism make him hard to guard at any position on the court. He will have to stay out of foul trouble, which is something he has had trouble with this season.
The beginning of the Wake Forest game was the worst I have seen the Seminoles look all year. That said when they needed it Aaron Thomas, Ian Miller, and Boris Bojanovsky put the team on their backs and led them to Victory. The question is can that happen in this game. Florida State is one of the tallest and most athletic teams in the ACC. Normally this is a big advantage for them as it allows them to play a little sloppily and still come away with a positive possession. That will not be the case against North Carolina. The Tar Heels are just as athletic as the Seminoles and do a much better job of rebounding. I just don't see how Florida State matches up even with home court advantage. I have the Tar Heels 78-69.