Revisiting Our Preseason Predictions: QB

Prior to the season Jason Staples and I made our predictions for what we thought the 2014 season would look like for the Seminoles. Halfway through the season it’s time to check in and see how we’re doing with this three part series.

Jameis Winston

Wayne’s Preseason Prediction: 280 completions, 65% completion percentage, 4100 yards, 42 touchdowns 12 interceptions.

Jason’s Preseason Prediction: 241 completions, 68% completion percentage, 3850 yards, 38 touchdowns, 8 interceptions, 189.69 passer rating.

Midseason Stats:

149 completions, 70.6% completion percentage, 1876 yards, 13 touchdowns, 6 interceptions, 160.00 Passer rating.

Winston is on pace for 319 completions, 4020 yards, 28 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions if Florida State plays in the ACC Championship game, a playoff game, and the National Championship game.

How we’re looking on our predictions:

So far it looks like Jason will be far more accurate on completion percentage, while I will be more accurate with total yards and interceptions. Neither of us was anywhere close on touchdowns. Winston has had trouble staying clean with the Florida State offensive line giving him much less time than he had last season. He has also had to find new receivers, outside of Rashad Greene, to throw to and it’s not surprising his numbers have gone down. Oh, and the fact that he missed a full game against Clemson also has some impact here.

Where Do We See Winston Going From Here?

Florida State is through the tougher half of the schedule, but there are still some very good defenses that Florida State will have to play against in the coming month, including three in the Top 25 of the defensive F/+ rankings. Louisville is ranked 2nd, Virginia is 17th, and Boston College is a surprising 23rd. Florida and Miami are ranked 49th and 47th. Winston will need to be much sharper through the rest of the season if he wants to get anywhere close to the numbers he put up last season.


Jason: As good as the defenses coming up are, Winston is starting to hit his stride, aided by the growth of the young receivers. FSU’s defense is still shaky, meaning Winston will likely have to put up bigger numbers than expected. I’m expecting a lights out second half from Winston—even better than we’ve seen from him so far.

Wayne’s Final Predictions: 300 completions, 69% completion percentage, 30 touchdowns, 4000 yards, 12 interceptions.

Jason’s Final Predictions: 315 completions, 71% completion percentage, 4400 yards, 36 touchdowns, 10 interceptions, 179 passer rating.

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See what Florida State fans are saying here

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