Revisiting Our Preseason Predictions: WR

Prior to the season Jason Staples and I made our predictions for what we thought the 2014 season would look like for the Seminoles. Halfway through the season it’s time to check in and see how we’re doing with the second part of our three part series.

Florida State Receivers:

Wayne’s Preseason Predictions:

Rashad Greene: 80 catches, 1200 yards, 10 touchdowns

Nick O’Leary: 50 catches, 800 yards, 7 touchdowns

Travis Rudolph: 45 catches, 675 yards, 6 touchdowns

Ermon Lane: 35 catches, 630 yards, 8 touchdowns

Jason’s Preseason Predictions:

Rashad Greene: 70 catches, 1100 yards, 9 touchdowns

Bobo Wilson: 40 catches, 750 yards, 6 touchdowns

Nick O’Leary: 40 catches, 600 yards, 10 touchdowns

Christian Green: 30 catches, 500 yards, 6 touchdowns

Midseason Stats:

Rashad Greene: 52 catches, 791 yards, 4 touchdowns

Greene is on pace for 111 catches, 1695 yards, 9 touchdowns.

Bobo Wilson: 25 catches, 307 yards, 4 touchdowns

Wilson is on pace for 54 catches, 658 yards, 9 touchdowns.

Nick O’Leary: 27 catches, 288 yards, 2 touchdowns.

O’Leary is on pace for 58 catches, 617 yards, 4 touchdowns.

Travis Rudolph: 17 catches, 232 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Rudolph is on pace for 36 catches, 497 yards, 4 touchdowns.

How we’re looking on our predictions:

Jason and I both have three of current the top four receivers in our predictions. Rashad Greene is producing at a much higher level than either of us thought and is on pace for the most prolific season a Florida State receiver has ever had. Bobo Wilson returned from suspension one game before we thought he would, and since that time has entrenched himself in the No. 2 receiver role.

Nick O’Leary continues to be a key outlet, but most of the teams in the first half made a distinct effort to take him out of the game while FSU’s young receivers were still developing. Travis Rudolph did not have a catch in the first three games of the season, but in the last four he has made a name for himself and will be a major factor for the rest of the season. Both our fourth picks, Ermon Lane and Christian Green, have been almost non-factors this season. Greene was a starter for the first few games of the season, but Rudolph has taken that job from him. Lane has been seeing more of a role as a blocker of late but has failed to take advantage of his chances in the passing game so far.

Where do the receivers go from here?

As we noted in the Winston segment, the defenses that Florida State will play in the second half of the season will be better overall than those in the first section, if only because there’s no Citadel in the back half. If Florida State wants to continue to win, the receiving corps (besides Greene) will need to continue to grow. Travis Rudolph and Bobo Wilson should continue to take away some of Greene’s targets as Jameis has begun to trust them more.

Jason: The continued growth of the receiving corps and the emergence of Rudolph and Lane bodes very well for the efficiency of the offense in the second half of the season. Teams can’t just double-team Greene at this point because Wilson and Rudolph are not only reliable but have emerged as legitimate playmakers. That makes Winston’s life a lot easier and should mean more touchdown production down the stretch. Wilson is exactly what I expected at this point, but Rudolph is better than I had expected as a freshman. My one surprise from this group is how much Kermit Whitfield has disappeared over the last few weeks. I had expected to see more of a jet sweep game with him on the field than we’ve seen so far, and this unit doesn’t block downfield as well as last year’s group yet, meaning the bubble screen game has been underwhelming.

Wayne’s Final Predictions:

Rashad Greene: 100 receptions, 1500 yards, 9 touchdowns

Bobo Wilson: 60 catches, 700 yards, 8 touchdowns

Travis Rudolph: 45 catches 600 yards, 6 touchdowns

Nick O’Leary: 55 catches 550 yards, 6 touchdowns

Jason’s Final Predictions:

Rashad Greene 101 catches, 1515 yards, 10 touchdowns

Bobo Wilson: 50 catches, 650 yards, 10 touchdowns

Travis Rudolph: 45 catches, 650 yards, 7 touchdowns

Nick O’Leary: 50 catches, 550 yards, 7 touchdowns




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