Since 2007, Florida State has signed recruits from 23 different states. As is true with every program, some have turned out to be superstars while others have failed to live up to expectations. The Seminoles’ hit rate in Jimbo Fisher’s tenure, however, has been unusually good, even for an elite program.
In order to get a better picture of where Florida State has had the most success, we have broken down Florida State’s recruiting by region, also dividing Florida itself into five regions. We continue today with our sixth region: the Carolinas.
It is important to clarify realistic expectations for given recruits, as a 5-star should obviously be measured by a different standard of expectations than a 2-star. Our standard expectations to be applied in these articles are as follows:
5-stars: Expected to be a difference-maker at his position, a multi-year starter, potential All-ACC or All-American selection, and high draft pick.
4-stars: Expected to be a solid starter and an eventual draft pick.
3-stars: Expected to make a significant impact for at least one year.
2-stars: Expected to provide depth.
Players can obviously exceed, meet, or underperform relative to these expectations.
For this series, we will re-rank each player based their Florida State career. A player who plays like a 5-star will add 5 points to his region. The same system will be used for players who are in the 2 to 4-star range. A player who transfers away from Florida State, does not qualify, or is dismissed before making a contribution will be given zero stars. Medical disqualifications will not count against the region.
The total points will then be divided by the number of eligible signees to get the average for the region. Players who have signed within the last two years will not be included in this final calculation, as it is generally too early to assess their impact.
North and South Carolina
3-star Jonathan Hannah (TE): Academic issues. Never played a down at Florida State. Final Grade: 0-star
3-star Everett Dawkins (DT): Dawkins was a rock in the middle of a very good defensive line and was excellent at stopping the run—and that despite playing somewhat out of position due to necessity. He was a multi-year starter for Florida State at defensive tackle and was drafted by the Vikings. Final Grade: 4-star
3-star Justin Bright (S): Never made an impact at Florida State, but finished his career in Tallahassee. He was also very valuable to certain FSU media outlets, so that should also be taken into account... Final Grade: 2-star
3-star Cason Beatty (P): Beatty wasn’t well regarded by the Seminole fan base for the first two years of his career, but in 2014 he came through when the Noles needed him. Current Grade: 3-star
3-star Lorenzo Featherston (DE)
3-star Arthur Williams (DT)
Projected Average: 3 Stars
Final Average: 2.25 Stars
Performance/Projection Ratio: .75 (Below 1.0 “Below Expectations”)
FSU historically had a lot of success in South Carolina in particular (the Boulwares, Greg Jones, etc.), but that has not been the case over the past few years. FSU has had surprisingly little success pulling players out of the Carolinas of late, likely the result of significant staff turnover meaning multiple coaches have been responsible for this region. What’s worse is that only one of the players FSU did land (Dawkins) has exceeded expectations. Lorenzo Featherston and Arthur Williams will have a chance to help the region, but it is too early to tell at this point.