Since 2007, Florida State has signed recruits from 23 different states. As is true with every program, some have turned out to be superstars while others have failed to live up to expectations. The Seminoles’ hit rate in Jimbo Fisher’s tenure, however, has been unusually good, even for an elite program.
In order to get a better picture of where Florida State has had the most success, we have broken down Florida State’s recruiting by region, also dividing Florida itself into five regions. We start continue today with the Northeast region.
It is important to clarify realistic expectations for given recruits, as a 5-star should obviously be measured by a different standard of expectations than a 2-star. Our standard expectations to be applied in these articles are as follows:
5-stars: Expected to be a difference-maker at his position, a multi-year starter, potential All-ACC or All-American selection, and high draft pick.
4-stars: Expected to be a solid starter and an eventual draft pick.
3-stars: Expected to make a significant impact for at least one year.
2-stars: Expected to provide depth.
Players can obviously exceed, meet, or underperform relative to these expectations.
For this series, we will re-rank each player based their Florida State career. A player who plays like a 5-star will add 5 points to his region. The same system will be used for players who are in the 2 to 4-star range. A player who transfers away from Florida State, does not qualify, or is dismissed before making a contribution will be given zero stars. Medical disqualifications will not count against the region.
The total points will then be divided by the number of eligible signees to get the average for the region. Players who have signed within the last two years will not be included in this final calculation, as it is generally too early to assess their impact.
3-star Anthony Grosso (OT): Transferred to Delaware without making an impact. Final Grade: 0-star
3-star Ed Imeokparia (LB): Had legal trouble and transferred. Final Grade: 0-star
4-star A.J. Alexander (WR/CB): Played sparingly at FSU before transferring. Final Grade 1-star
3-star Nick Moody (LB/S): Moody was a hard hitting safety that moved to linebacker his senior year. Where Moody really excelled at was on special teams, which earned him a spot on the 49ers roster as an undrafted free agent. Final Grade: 3-star
3-star Dan Foose (OT): Medically disqualified. Final Grade: N/A
4-star Bjeorn Werner (DE): Werner was an outstanding pass rusher and finished his career with 23.5 sacks. He was taken in the first round of the NFL Draft by the Indianapolis Colts. Final Grade: 5-star
3-star Will Tye (TE): Caught just one pass at Florida State but provided depth at tight end for a couple years. Transferred to Stony Brook. Final Grade: 2-star
4-star Josue Matias (OG): Matias started over 40 games at Florida State and will be drafted during the first two days of the upcoming NFL draft. Final Grade: 5-star
3-star Sean Maguire (QB): Maguire came in with Jameis Winston and has waited his turn. He has played sparingly but started in Florida State’s 2014 victory over Clemson. Will have a chance to win the starting job in 2015. Current Grade: 3-star
3-star Ryan Izzo (TE)
4-star J.J. Cosentino (QB)
Projected Average: 3.25 Stars
Final Average: 2.38 Stars
Performance/Projection Ratio: .73 (1.0 = “Meets Expectations”)
The Northeast region started off badly in 2007–2008 with three players who eventually transferred, and outside of two prospects the region hasn’t been kind to the Seminoles. Bjoern Werner and Josue Matias are the only two prospects that earned a rating higher than three stars, but both of them were truly elite players that exceeded their expectations.
Returns from this region have improved since Jimbo Fisher took over in 2010 with a 3.75 final star average. The two prospects Florida State brought in in 2014 will have a chance to continue that upswing as both will compete for starting jobs in 2015.