Florida State-NC State Preview and Prediction

Florida State will look to close out their ACC season with a win against NC State.

NC State

Record: 6-3

ACC Record: 2-3

Record Against FSU: 11-24

Head Coach Dave Doeren

Record at NC State: 17-17

ACC Record: 5-16

Record vs. FSU: 0-2

Stats

FSU-NCST: Tale of the Tape

Key Players

QB Jacoby Brissett: 160-250 for 1,798 yards 14 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. 69 rushes for 141 yards and 2 touchdowns. 

Brissett is a very good quarterback, and one of the best players in the ACC. He moves very well, and he's hard to take down when a defender does get a hand on him. 

TE Jaylen Samuels: 49 catches for 467 yards and 5 touchdowns. 37 carries for 240 yards and 7 touchdowns. 

Samuels is a do it all type of player. He plays the halfback role and is more of a consistent player than a great player. At 5-foot-11 246 pounds he's not out running anyone, but he's currently their active leader in receiving and rushing yards this season. 

DE Mike Rose: 31 tackles, 13 tackles for loss, 9.5 sacks, and 1 forced fumble.

Rose leads the Pack in tackles for loss and sacks. He's 6-foot-3, 270 pounds and a major problem for offensive tackles. He has a lot of burst for a guy his size, and really gets after the quarterback. 

Prediction

Wayne McGahee III:

Florida State will go back to Everett Golson to start this game, and Dalvin Cook has practice every day this week for the first time since the NC State game. They will need to get a good performance from the offensive line, which has struggled this season. NC State presents a lot of problems up front, and will be a problem if the offensive line doesn't play better than they have been.

NC State is strong on the offensive line and at quarterback. They will cause a lot of issues for the Seminoles on Saturday, but without their two best running backs it's going to be an even tougher task than normal for them. Brissett will make some plays for the Pack, but I think the Florida State defense will be up to the task of shutting them down.

Florida State will need to play well to win this game, but I think they have the advantage on both sides of the ball. I have Florida State 31-20 over NC State.

Jason Staples:

This is a much more even matchup than the casual observer might expect. NC State has a quality, veteran quarterback and is solid on both lines, making this a dangerous game for Florida State. The Wolfpack has one of the three best defensive fronts the Seminoles will have seen so far this season, and FSU’s offensive line is now on its third center and third right tackle, with guard Kareem Are playing through injury as well. NC State is also one of the best rushing teams in the country out of their run-first spread attack and will stress FSU’s defense at the linebacker and safety positions—exactly where the Noles have been weakest in 2016.

That said, I still think Florida State has the two best players on the field, and the absence of NC State running back Matt Dayes, who was lost for the season against Clemson, should tilt the balance toward FSU. I expect FSU’s defensive game plan to look similar to last week, with the cornerbacks challenging NCSU’s wide receivers outside and extra safety help concentrated on the NC State running backs, H-Backs, tight ends, and slot receivers. On offense, expect FSU to look to challenge NC State downfield early while using some option to give Dalvin Cook space against a quality front. In the end, this game boils down to which team can run the football, and I think Cook and Patrick are the difference for the Noles. Florida State wins, 27-20.


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