Pac-12 Week Eleven Predictions

There are four conference games and one major non-conference clash this weekend in the Pac-12...

Last week, we said we were feeling a 6-0 stretch. Nailed it. Got all six games.

So what do we do for an encore?

Go 4-0 in conference games and 1-0 in non-conference games.

Here are Scout's predictions for the four Week 10 conference games and the major non-conference game in the desert:

Notre Dame at Arizona State, Saturday, 12:30 p.m. on ABC

The Irish knocked off Arizona State last year in Arlington, a very good Arizona State team at that.

In terms of common opponents, Notre Dame rallied to beat Stanford in South Bend, scoring in the final minutes. Meanwhile, Arizona State essentially dominated Stanford from the get-go in Tempe.

So with this game in Tempe, common sense and the transitive property would indicate the Sun Devils will roll the Irish.

But we're not quite ready to say that.

Arizona State's defense has been very good of late, but of late includes wins over three of the four lowest rated offenses in the Pac-12 (Stanford, Washington and Utah>). Meanwhile, their offense has just been ok the last two games under Taylor Kelly.

What helps, though, is Notre Dame's defense hasn't been very good of late, with teams putting up a lot of points on them, despite Irish wins.

This game has major playoff implications, not quite at the Michigan State-Oregon level, but just below it.

With the game in Tempe, we like the Sun Devils, barely, over the Irish.

Prediction: Arizona State 30, Notre Dame 27

Washington State at Oregon State, Saturday, 1:00 p.m. on Pac-12 Networks

The Cougars are eliminated from bowl contention, while the Beavers need to win two of their final four games to be at least 6-6, and this is their most winnable game.

Washington State will start former walk-on Luke Falk, who played most of the Cougs' last game after Connor Halliday's leg injury in a loss to USC.

Meanwhile, Oregon State is in "record setting mode" for Sean Mannion, who's closing in on some more Pac-12 records.

The Beavers lost a winnable game to Cal last week, making this game that much more important to their postseason hopes.

The Cougars are just playing for pride at this point, and to rally them after the loss of Halliday. It's also an opportunity for Falk to audition for the starting job next year.

But we'll go with the Beavers here this weekend.

Prediction: Oregon State 37, Washington State 30

UCLA at Washington, Saturday, 4:00 p.m. on FOX Sports 1

This game may be the most difficult game to peg this weekend.

UCLA had a good defensive showing against Arizona last week while their offense was just ok. Washington had a weird game against Colorado (not unlike UCLA's the week before).

The Huskies will utilize Shaq Thompson at running back more and more, but the idea of he not playing much defense, against UCLA especially, is hard to believe. UCLA learned the hard way last year when Myles Jack played running back exclusively against Arizona State and no snaps on defense. Its one thing for Washington to do that against Colorado, it's another to do that against UCLA.

The Bruins have been good away from Pasadena this year, going 5-0, including 3-0 in conference play. The Huskies haven't won a home game in conference play, going 0-2.

There are some juicy storylines here- Myles Jack returns to Seattle. Jim Mora returns to his alma mater. Chris Petersen faces the team that not once, but twice, very publicly tried to hire him.

Ultimately, we think it comes down to quarterback play, and while Brett Hundley hasn't had the season many expected, the Huskies quarterback situation has been an issue all year. Throw in Washington losing their best defensive back, and one of the best in the country, Marcus Peters, who was dismissed from the team this week, and Hundley could have a big game against a very green secondary.

And with UCLA's defense better geared towards stopping a back like Thompson, as opposed to a team that runs more zone read, the Bruins eek one out on the road. Barely.

Prediction: UCLA 24, Washington 23

Colorado at Arizona, Saturday, 5:00 p.m. on Pac-12 Network

The Buffs are getting close to that first conference win. On the other hand, Arizona has lost two of its last three games.

Colorado had a double-digit lead against Washington a week ago before the wheels fell off against the Huskies.

The Wildcats had a quick 7-0 lead three minutes into their game against UCLA then couldn't score another point the next 57 minutes.

Returning home, and with the assumption that Anu Solomon won't have a second straight bad game, we're going with the Wildcats in this one, but we think both teams put up some points.

Prediction: Arizona 40, Colorado 31

Oregon at Utah

The Ducks are hitting on all cylinders, and have been since the week after their loss to Arizona.

Since then, they've rolled UCLA and Cal on the road and trounced Washington and Stanford at home.

Now they're in the Top Four for the playoffs and Marcus Mariota is one of the prohibitive favorites for the Heisman Trophy.

The Utes have had five conference games be decided by a touchdown or less, and two games have gone to overtime. They've won three of those.

Utah's defensive line could provide some fits for Oregon's offensive line, but their offense isn't going to inspire much confidence and we just don't think they'll be able to keep up with the Ducks offense, which is rolling right now.

The Ducks will win and clinch the Pac-12 North title for the first time since 2011, while the Utes drop their second conference game in a row.

Prediction: Oregon 27, Utah 14


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