How the CFB Playoff Will Look in December

Our weekly look at how the CFB Playoff will look in December based on the newest Top 25...


That was the response to the majority of the CFB Playoff Rankings on Tuesday.

Sure, folks in Boise and Huntington were happy to see their schools in the Top 25.

But at the top, where it really matters, there was little excitement.

The top seven remain unchanged from the week before, and the only change in the Top Ten was Ole Miss dropping out and UCLA, Georgia and Michigan State each moving up to round out the top 10.

The top six:

1. Alabama
2. Oregon
3. Florida State
4. Mississippi State
5. TCU
6. Ohio State

For the complete rankings, Click Here.

As it stands, the top six has fiveteams that lead their conference or division standings (Alabama, Oregon, Florida State, TCU and Ohio State) and one more that is in the mix for their division title despite a loss (Mississippi State, who needs to beat Ole Miss and have Auburn win to earn a spot in the SEC title game).

So how will the final rankings look in December, and who will be in?

We thought Ohio State might get dinged for their, ahem, lack of "game control" against Indiana or whatever you want to call it, but they stayed at No. 6.

So our Final Four from last week stays the same this week

Here is how things will play out, given last weekend's games and the schedule left to be played.

No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 4 Ohio State in New Orleans in the Sugar Bowl:

Urban against Saban. Four national championships against two national championships, in fact, over half of the last 11 championships being won by these two coaches.

The Tide have acted all week like they haven't been thinking about Auburn or the way the Iron Bowl ended last year, but whatever. It has been on their mind and they're ready to pay Auburn back and wrap up the SEC West and get back to Atlanta after a long spell of not having gone since 2012 (Fun Fact, the last time Alabama has missed being in Alabama in consecutive years was 2006 and 2007, Saban's last year in Miami and first year in Tuscaloosa respectively). After the Tide beat Auburn, they'll get a shot at two-time SEC East champion Missouri (who narrowly beats Arkansas), and again, Mizzou comes up short in the SEC title game, and the Tide lock up the No. 1 seed in the playoffs.

The Buckeyes get Michigan in what will be the final game for Brady Hoke in the rivalry (Fun Fact, the one time the Wolverines have beaten Ohio State in past decade was in Hoke's first season). After the Buckeyes send Hoke out with a blowout loss, they'll get Wisconsin in Indianapolis for the Big Ten title (the Buckeyes are rooting feverishly for a Wisconsin win over Minnesota for more juice with the committee). As we said a week ago, we think that Ohio State's winning of the Big Ten Championship over Wisconsin will carry more weight than a split in the Big 12 and the committee will send the Buckeyes to the playoffs to avoid having to pick between the two (see BCS 2008).

No. 2 Oregon vs. No. 3 Florida State in Pasadena in the Rose Bowl:

Florida State eeked out another win to stay unbeaten while Oregon smoked a bad Colorado team. But the Ducks stay ahead of the Noles and more importantly, staying at No. 2 (and really, No. 3 too), puts them in the Rose Bowl.

The Ducks will have zero issues with Oregon State, who gave them a game last year in Corvallis when Mariota rallied the Ducks. This year, with all the Ducks have to play for (and as bad as the Beavers looked against Washington), will make it a clean sweep for Mariota in the Pac-12 North for the first time and leave him unbeaten against the Beavers in his career. The Ducks will then face a hot UCLA team in the Pac-12 Championship Game at Levi's Stadium, and while this game will be closer, Mariota and Co. will wrap up their first Pac-12 title since 2011 when they beat the Bruins to move on to the playoffs.

Florida State's still hasn't lost since 2012. Their last loss? To Florida in Tallahassee and Will Muschamp. Guess who the Noles play on Saturday? Florida. In Tallahassee. Against Will Muschamp (in his final game as the Gators' coach). Florida isn't good this year. Florida State likes to make games close. But this game will have the attention of the Noles and they wrap this one up in the third quarter. Next up is a game against Georgia Tech in the ACC Championship Game in Charlotte. The Yellow Jackes could make that game entertaining, but the Noles will do what they do and win.

National Championship Game in Arlington, Texas: No. 1 Florida State vs. No. 2 Alabama

Last week we said Florida State would play Alabama in the national championship game and we said that the week before that, and the week before that and the week before that. So we're not changing that pick just yet.

The way Oregon has played the last couple of weeks, they could be a test for the Noles, who like to play from behind it seems.

But the Ducks, as good as they have been, won't get out to a big enough lead and the Noles won't need to rally as much, and beat the Ducks to go back and play for the title.

Alabama and Saban make life tough for the Buckeyes and their SEC struggles on the big, big, national title at stake stage, continue. And just like he did in 2009, Saban ends Meyer's run at a national title.

The Noles and Tide will meet in Jerry's World, and Florida State, behind Heisman Trophy runner-up Jameis Winston will beat the Tide for the first ever College Football Playoff title, fitting for the team that won the final BCS National Championship.

Scout CFB Top Stories