Beware the 6.7%

ATHENS – We live in a reactionary world – it has always been that way, but more so now than ever.

That's why I understand the way people act about what is known and what is not after a spring game. They've seen 100% of 6.7% of all of Georgia's spring practices. They know what they have seen, and usually that's all they will see until Georgia kicks off with Clemson.

They've taken that 6.7% of knowledge and projected that into 100% knowledge – I can assure you that's a 100% mistake... particularly with quarterbacks

Why? Just take a look at the recent past at Georgia and around the SEC to understand that drawing conclusions from spring games is a great way to ensure that when you talk about football that you won't know what you are talking about.

Based on 2013 G Day game we knew that Georgia's defense was going to be young, but that it was going to force three and outs, after all, it forced four three-and-outs in seven drives in the first half last year.

Georgia finished 9th in the SEC last year in 3rd down defense.

Based on 2013 G Day game we knew that Jonathan Rumph was going to have a major impact on the 2013 season because he had four catches for 98 yards and two touchdowns. This guy looked like the real deal.

Rumph ended 2013 with seven total catches for 121 yards and no touchdowns.

Based on 2012 G Day game we knew that Christian LeMay was pushing to be quarterback of the future at Georgia. He was 7 for 10 for 154 yards and 66-yard touchdown.

LeMay now appears to be fighting Eli Jenkins for the starting job at Jacksonville State.

Based on 2011 G Day game it looked like Georgia might have some real issues scoring. Both teams combined to score eight total points at the half, and only 29 by the end of the game. Todd Grantham was a boy genius, and that moron Mike Bobo needed to be fired.

I don't think I need to recap that last sentence.

Based on 2010 G Day Aaron Murray would be the third-string quarterback behind Zach Mettenberger and Logan Gray. Murray ended that day going 10 for 22 for only 96 yards. More on that one in a bit.

But the smoke and mirrors of spring games isn't limited to Georgia.

ESPN's Chris Low described Texas A&M's 2012 spring game this way: "Overall, sophomore Jameill Showers probably had the better spring, but offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury said he wasn't ready to make a decision and that redshirt freshman Johnny Manziel remained in the hunt."

Manziel hunted his way to a Heisman Trophy.

Low again, but this time describing the situation at Auburn in 2010: "Auburn coach Gene Chizik and offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn both insisted that the quarterback battle would carry over into fall practice. And that included the unveiling of quarterback Cameron Newton, who threw just eight passes in the game."

We all remember the story that was Cam Newton at Auburn.

The point?

Stars usually don't shine during spring games. Usually the events are made-for-regional-TV events that are, quite frankly, boring. Case in point? Aaron Murray just left Georgia being considered one of the best signal callers ever to have played that.

I can't tell you that I remember one good spring football game he had – I can assure you I remember how bad he was in 2010.

So bad, in fact, that resident AJC Bulldog writer/expert/something or another Bill King wrote: "We don't know, of course, what Richt and Bobo are thinking, but unless Murray really turns things around in August and shows a lot more than he did on Saturday, it wouldn't surprise me at all if (Logan) Gray, who spent most of G-Day playing with the first-string unit, got the starter's job by default."

Logan Gray transferred to Colorado to finish out his football career. Murray turned out to be pretty good.

It's understandable that King, or any fan, would write that at the time. He was strictly going on what he saw during spring games – and Aaron Murray looked horrible, 12 for 23 for 158 yards and an interception, during two spring games up to that point (actually, G Day was never really a great day for Murray).

That's not very good.

But Murray was good – or great. Four years later everyone knows that.

Better beware of the 6.7%.

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