On Sunday night, the consensus line was that the Bulldogs were getting 6.5 points against the Gators. That line means the Gators have about a 68% chance of winning the game outright. The Gators are hoping to win the remainder of their contests to win the SEC East for the second season in a row.
And while the Gators should be and are a considerable favorite coming into this game, in the last ten contests, the underdog is 5-3-2 against the spread. The underdog has won the game outright twice in the last four years (2012 UGA +6 vs. No. 2 Gators; 2014 UF +10 vs. No. 9 UGA).
Perhaps the line has moved away from the Gators, who have only lost once this season at Tennessee, and towards the Bulldogs because of the inconsistent nature of both teams’ offenses.
In its last two games the Gators have managed only three offensive touchdowns and five turnovers. Meanwhile the Bulldogs struggled mightily against Vanderbilt, losing a one-sided affair by one point because of mistakes on special teams and not converting offensive TD possibilities.
UGA has been an underdog 67 times since 1996. The Bulldogs are 21-46 in those meetings (31%). 13 times the Bulldogs have been underdogs headed to Jacksonville in the last 20 seasons. The Bulldogs are 3-10 in those contests.
In other words, one fifth of all underdog games the Bulldogs have played in the last 20 years have come against the Gators. That’s by far and away the foe the Bulldogs have been underdogs to the most over the last 20 seasons (Tennessee 8; Auburn 7; LSU 5; Georgia Tech 4; South Carolina 4; Alabama 4)
Florida has won six of the last ten games. The Bulldogs have won three of the last five. The Gators have won the last two in the series.