The Tigers, who were favored last season last season at home vs. UGA, are listed as a 10-point favorite point on the road. That means Georgia will enter the game as the largest home underdog in the last 20 seasons. Only once in the last 20 years have the Bulldogs been a touchdown or more underdog at home.
In 1996 against Peyton Manning and the No. 7 Vols, Tennessee won a sloppy 29-17 decision in Sanford Stadium. Since that game, UGA has only been a home underdog four times - never by more than three points.
The 10-point line means the Tigers have a 75% chance to win the game over Georgia. Its a change of roles in the series for both teams entering Saturday’s game. The Bulldogs have won eight of the last ten games against Auburn. The Tigers have only defeated Georgia in the last decade in seasons in which they’ve won the SEC Championship and played for the national title.
Auburn hasn’t been favored to beat the Bulldogs by this significant a margin since Matthew Stafford and UGA (+11) shocked No. 5 Auburn 37-15 on the road in 2006. The Tigers have not been favored to win in Athens since 1995, and have not won in Athens in a decade - a 31-30 win in 2005.
In the last two decades this game has been turbulent - not just of the Bulldogs’ major three rivals, but also of any of the games UGA plays each season. Major upsets occurred often in the series from 1996-2006.
In 1996, unranked Georgia (+10) beat No. 20 Auburn in the SEC’s first overtime game. In 1999, unranked Auburn (+10) beat No. 14 UGA 38-21 in Athens. 2001 saw No. 24 Auburn (-7) take out No. 19 Georgia 24-17. Stafford and the Bulldogs were considered 11-point underdogs when they shocked No. 5 Auburn in Jordan-Hare the week after losing to Kentucky.
In the last 20 years the underdog has won this game outright seven times - including UGA’s (+1) mild upset at Auburn last season.
The Tigers still control their own destiny in the SEC West. Only Alabama can say the same. Those two met in Tuscaloosa in the final game of the season at the end of November.