I've been doing this for every game for quite awhile now, so I'm going to continue to do so throughout the Big Ten season. KenPom.com likes Wisconsin to beat Indiana 74-67, giving the Hoosiers a 24 percent chance of winning.
Wisconsin enters the game ranked No. 2 in the KenPom rankings. Indiana is No. 60. What Wisconsin does well:
1. Protect the ball: A clear difference between the two teams. Wisconsin turns it over on only 12.7 percent of its possessions, a remarkably low number that ranks second nationally to Georgia State. Indiana turns it over on 22 percent of its possessions, ranking 324th. Guard Ben Brust ranks 19th nationally in turnover percentage, giving it up on only 6.7 percent of possessions.
2. Score efficiently: This is another area in which Wisconsin is an elite team. Sure, the Badgers don't score a ton of points because they play at the nation's 304th fastest pace. But they do score efficiently, pouring in 119.4 points per 100 possessions, fourth-best in the country. Only Creighton, Duke and Iowa have been better. The Badgers have an effective field goal percentage of 55.0, 16th nationally, led by Frank Kaminsky with an effective percentage of 62.7.
3. Defend: Their defense isn't as good as their offense this year, which is a bit unusual for Bo Ryan and the Badgers. But it's not like they are exactly lacking in that category. Wisconsin gives up 92 points per 100 possessions, the 12th-lowest in the country. Ohio State leads the nation in the category. The Badgers allow an effective field goal percentage of 44.3, 28th-best, and they allow their opponents to get only 16 percent of their points from the foul line. That will be a interesting area to watch on Tuesday night. Can the Badgers defend without fouling a team that lives at the free throw line?
Like Michigan State, I will limit the things they don't do well to one because, well, they do most everything well.
1. Force turnovers: Wisconsin doesn't force a ton of turnovers, but then again, it doesn't really need to. It plays such good defense without fouling, and part of that is based on the fact the Badgers don't gamble for steals very often. They force turnovers on only 16.3 percent of their defensive possessions, ranking 294th. They also have a steal percentage of only 7.7, good for 278th.