Analysis: 11-7 in Big Ten? Good possibility

While I correctly guessed that IU would be 10-3 at this point in the season, I initially had the Hoosiers going 9-9 in Big Ten play. I've upped that to 11-7 and here is why.

Back on Nov. 17, a few days after Indiana had opened the regular season with a victory over Mississippi Valley State, I gave my predictions for the 2014-15 IU basketball season.

So far I’m right where I expected to be. I picked IU to go 10-3 in the non-conference season and that has happened. I specifically wrote that I thought IU would lose to Louisville and Georgetown and then someone else. Now, I’ll admit I never thought that would be Eastern Washington but the 10-3 record is still where I was at.

At that point, having only seen IU play one time in the regular season, I had picked IU to go 9-9 in conference play but said it was too early to try to break games down as to how they would fare where.

As IU prepares to begin Big Ten play today at 5:30 p.m. ET, I’m ready to provide more details as to how I think the Hoosiers will fare. And based on what I’ve seen from the rest of the Big Ten to this point, I now have a different prognostication for how IU will do in conference play.

I now think Indiana could go 11-7 in Big Ten play with a chance for 12-6.

IU’s ability to knock down shots will carry this team to a place where it should have a good shot at making the NCAA Tournament field.

I think Indiana opens Big Ten play tonight at Nebraska with a victory. The Cornhuskers have struggled to make shots and I think IU continues a trend started by Maryland and Iowa already and picks up a Big Ten road victory.

After that I think IU goes 8-1 at home in the Big Ten. I have no idea who it loses to but it always seems like the Hoosiers lose one game at home that I didn’t expect.

As for the road, I think IU gets three wins at Nebraska, Rutgers, Northwestern or Purdue. Again, not sure which one the Hoosiers lose but I think IU gets at least three wins there.

That would put them at 11-7 heading into the Big Ten Tournament and 21-10 overall.

So what do you think? Please weigh in with your thoughts today or tomorrow and join me in my pre-conference predictions.

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