HoosierInsider.com Tourney Preview UPDATED

It's been another great week of college basketball. While some races have shaped up, and we are begging to understand who will make it from what league, other teams have emerged with a dying chance. Lets update our look at the upcoming Men's College Basketball Tournament teams, and see who is in and who is out.

America East (1) Vermont continues to be a lock irregardless of what happens in their tourney. A 21-5 overall record with an RPI of 14 will get them in. Boston University stumbled this week to Northeastern, who has now entered the hunt for a bid.
Boston U- After losing to Northeastern, Boston is now 20-6 on the year with an RPI of 56. This loss may have dropped them off the bubble. With just one game left, the Terriers are probably going to have to win the conference tournament.
Northeastern- The win against BU for Northeastern has brought them back on the bubble, but they are most likely not going to make it either. With an RPI of 61 and a 18-8 record, the Huskies will be considered, but need to do some major work in the conference tourney.

ACC (6) The ACC may only deserve 4-5 teams, but the coverage that the league receives will garner them more. Locks include Wake Forest, North Carolina, and Duke. Teams that can still play their way in, but still need some work are Virginia Tech, Miami, and Georgia Tech. Maryland has also lost its "lock" status and moved to a bubble team.
Virginia Tech has a very poor RPI at 100, but with quality wins this year over Duke, at Georgia Tech, and a pair of wins over Miami, Tech will overcome their poor RPI if they can hold their own at the end of the season against NC State, Clemson, and Maryland. Two wins out of the last 3 should get them in. They have had a week off to prepare for NC State and must come prepared.
Miami at 16-9 with an RPI of 54 is not a lock, but a win over Florida State helped. They play Georgia Tech on Saturday, and the winner could get one of the coveted spots.
Georgia Tech- The yellow jackets didn't help themselves this week with a home loss to Duke. They will have to win 2 of their last 3 to get in, and will play Miami on Saturday, winner take all. If they can beat Wake on March 2nd, they help themselves and should get in.
Maryland- Maryland had a tough week with a bad road loss to NC State (82-63), and a home loss to Clemson on Tuesday (93-97). The Terps have a great RPI at #22, but still have to play North Carolina and at Virginia Tech. If they lose both games, they probably have played themselves out of the tournament.

Atlantic Sun (1) Only 1 from here, UCF could've been an at large, but too many conference losses. Whoever wins the conference tourney will take the Atlantic Sun birth.

Atlantic 10 (2) George Washington is a lock, with Dayton and St. Joes have good chances of getting in, but Temple has played its way out with a loss to St. Joes and by suspending John Cheney.
Dayton has a very poor 121 RPI, but a 16-8 record will make it a possibility for them. The Flyers beat the Bonnies this week, and face George Washington on Saturday, if they beat the generals, we could see 3 A-10 teams.
St. Joseph's also needs a little help with an RPI of 96, but a strong conference record of 12-1 may help them play their way in. They still have George Washington on the schedule, but winning 2 of the last 3 should get last years undefeated regular season team in.
Temple lost a tough game to St. Joes that saw John Cheney send in a "goon" to protect his players. This caused the school to suspend them, and without Cheney, Temple is out of the race.

Big East (8) Boston College, U Conn, Pittsburg, Villanova, and Syracuse are all locks. Georgetown and ND are basically in. West Virginia will try to squeeze 8 spots out of the Big East.
Georgetown- Remember how barring a disaster they were basically in? Well, the Hoyas lost to St. John's, and have upcoming games against Villanova and UConn. They are going to have to win one of those, otherwise things get a lot worse for Georgetown.
Notre Dame probably guaranteed their spot when they knocked off undefeated Boston College, but an RPI of 39 keeps them from being a lock. The loss to UConn hurt their chances slightly, but if they can take care of UCLA this weekend, they will move to lock status.
Villanova after being Boston College is now joining the locks.
West Virginia may be the odd man out, but after a road win against #18 Pittsburgh, the Mountaineers may give the Big East 8 teams. They have to win their final games against Rutgers and Seton Hall, and if they do, we'll see 8 teams from one league.

Big Sky (1) Conference Tourney Champ will make the field and no one else.

Big South (1) If Winthrop doesn't win their conference championship, they could be an at large with a record of 23-5, but the Big South is likely to only get one team, regardless of if Winthrop wins their tourney.

Big Ten (4) Illinois, MSU, Wisconsin are all locks to get into the tournament. The remaining teams with a chance are Minnesota and Indiana, as Iowa has played their way off the bubble.
Minnesota with recent wins over Ohio State and Iowa is the frontrunner for the fourth spot in the Big Ten. They still have to go on the road to Purdue and Penn State, but if they can win, they should be in with an RPI of 53.
Iowa has now lost too many late games, and will be considered an NIT team.
Indiana has breathed a little life into their team with wins over Michigan and Purdue. The Hoosiers likely have to win out to make it, but if they can win 2 more games, they will have 10 wins, and a Big Ten team with 10 wins has never been denied a birth. Two teams that remain on the schedule are Michigan State and Wisconsin, so the Hoosiers will have to come up big.

Big 12 (6) There are four locks in Oklahoma St, Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas Tech. Texas still has an excellent resume despite losing key players. Iowa St and Texas A&M also are in the running for the final spot in the Big 12.
Texas hurt their chances a bit after a road loss to Texas Tech. The Longhorns will have to win against Missouri, and pull an upset over one of the Oklahoma teams to get in.
Iowa St after a tough loss to Texas A&M this week, the Cyclones still have work to do. They must beat Nebraska, Missouri, and Colorado to get in, otherwise, they'll have to perform well in the conference tournament.
Texas A&M got a great win over Iowa St at home on Tuesday, but will have to beat either Texas Tech or Oklahoma St in the upcoming week to get into the tournament. An RPI of 91 is really hurting their case.

Big West (1) Pacific is a lock with a 15-0 conference record, and only 2 losses on the year. If they do not win their conference tournament, they will still get in, allowing for a possibility of two Big West teams, but don't count on Pacific losing again until the NCAA tournament.

Colonial Athletic (1) Only the conference champ should be put in from the Colonial Athletic. Chances are that will be Old Dominion. The Monarchs hurt their chances of an at large bid after a loss to Hofstra, and most likely now have to win their conference tournament.

Conference USA (5) Locks from Conference USA include Louisville, Cincinnati, and Charlotte. Six teams still have a shot at the tourney other than those three, they include, Marquette, DePaul, UAB, Memphis, Houston and TCU.
Marquette hit a bump in the road with a loss to Cincinnati, but what hurts even more is the loss of senior guard Travis Deiner. This will keep them out unless they can prove them can win without him. With just 2 games left, time is running too thin for the Golden Eagles.
DePaul took a hit with a tough loss to Marquette, however with 34 in the RPI, and a record of 17-7 they are probably in. Beating South Florida helped, but now they still have to take care of St. Louis and UAB to ensure a lock. If they lose to either, they can still get in, but its not guaranteed.
UAB finally got a win at St. Louis this week, but they still will need to beat Tulane and either DePaul or Houston to get in.
Memphis took a bad hit this week losing a game they needed to Charlotte. They will have to upset Louisville or Cincinnati to get back to where they should have a chance, not an easy task.
Houston is going to need to win out and get a tourney win or two. With an RPI of 83, but a 17-10 record, they are on the outside looking in right now. They must beat ECU, Marquette, and UAB in the final week to make this one easier. Houston has gotten better this week by not playing, because the other teams in the league have made their resumes worse.
TCU has a quality win over Texas Tech, but that was back in November. With an RPI of 73 and a 16-10 record, TCU will have to do something special to get in. They stayed alive with a win over Tulane, but if they lose to Cincinnati on Saturday, its all over for the Horned Frogs.

Horizon League (1) The satellite schools have the best shot in this league in Wisconsin Milwaukee and Wisconsin Green Bay. Neither is really good enough for an at large, so the winner of the conference tournament will make the NCAA's.

Independents (0) None of the independents should make it this year, and they do not receive an automatic birth.

Ivy League (1) With no conference tourney, Pennsylvania should get the auto bid for winning the league, no one else even has a shot at being a bubble team.

Metro Atlantic Athletic (1) Whoever wins the conference tournament will be the winner here, Rider and Niagara are the likely two, but neither is an at large team.

MAC (2) Three teams may be too many, but Miami (OH) is a lock. The teams that remain in the hunt, but will need some help from major conference losses are Akron, Buffalo, Bowling Green, and Kent St. Kent St. took a big drop in the RPI and now has to get some wins.
Akron picked up a great win against Miami (OH), and improved their RPI to 46. It would be tough for the tourney to keep them out, but a major conference would need to be snuffed to justify three from the MAC.
Buffalo got a good win at Marshall, and moved up in the RPI to #41. Their final game against Akron on March 5th could decide a tourney team, but the Buffs will have to win at Ohio first.
Bowling Green took a hit with a loss at Northern Illinois, and is probably not going to make the tournament now. They will need an upset win over Miami (OH) to get back on the bubble, but as the leader in the western division of the conference, their conference tournament road will be easier.
Mid-Continent (1) Winner of the tourney will get in. Oral Roberts is 20-5 overall, but an RPI of 102 keeps them from being an at-large.

Mid-Eastern (1) Most teams in the league aren't even .500 overall, this could be one of the teams in the play-in game.

Missouri Valley (2) Southern Illinois is still a lock at 22-6 with an RPI of 13, but Wichita St. took an RPI hit, and is now on the bubble. After that, Northern Iowa still has a chance, but SMS has played its way out.
Wichita St.- The Shockers stopped their losing streak by beating SMS, but have a crucial game at Southern Illinois on Saturday. If they lose, they are in some trouble, but win and their in.
Northern Iowa is 19-9 on the year with an RPI of 47, after a loss to Southern Illinois. Their final game of the year comes Monday at Wichita St. If they can get by Bradley on Saturday and beat Wichita St., they could be in.
SMS lost to Wichita St, and has such played their way off the bubble.

Mountain West (1) Utah is in, no matter if they win the conference tourney or not. There is no real reason to believe that they wouldn't win it.

Northeast (1) This will probably be the other team playing in the play in game.

Ohio Valley (1) Not too many good teams in the Ohio Valley either.

Pac-10 (4) The Pac 10 is really down this year, Arizona and Washington are locks, but other than that, the other teams don't really deserve to be in. Stanford and UCLA will probably get in though.
Stanford is now 15-10 with an RPI of 40. Losing to Oregon St has hurt their chances, and they need to beat Oregon and Washington St. to get in before their final game against #14 Washington. A win there would certainly help the Cardinal, but two wins should get them in.
UCLA sits at 15-9 with an RPI of 37. Their RPI will help them get into the tournament, but they have to get wins in the next two weeks. If they can beat Notre Dame in a non-conference matchup this weekend, it would help, but if not, beating Oregon St. and Oregon at home should get the Bruins back to the tourney.

Patriot League (1) One team will make it in. Holy Cross better hope it is them, because otherwise, they will waste a 21-5 season.

SEC (4) The SEC is down this year, but will still get its share of teams. Kentucky and Alabama are locks. Florida, LSU, Mississippi State, and Arkansas will compete for the other spots.
Florida is sitting at 17-7 with an RPI of 45, and is probably in. The win against Vanderbilt this week helped, but they could use some more. With three games left, it wouldn't hurt to win two of them.
LSU got a good win over Alabama on Tuesday, which will help them. Their RPI of 33 is pretty good, but the SEC only currently has 2 ranked teams, which means the league may receive little consideration.
Mississippi State has a great RPI of 29, and a record of 19-8 should get them in. They just can't collapse with upcoming games against Mississippi and Arkansas. Win those, and you'll be dancing.
Arkansas is on the outside looking in with a record of 17-9 with an RPI of 68. What really hurts them is a 5-8 conference record. They need to win out, which is possible, but it still might not be enough.

Southern (1) Davidson should win their tournament, but if they don't, their 64 RPI will stop them from getting into the field with an at large.

Southland (1) Just one team here too, it will probably be SE Louisiana.

SWAC (1) They'll be competing to be the team in the play in game if the team.

Sun Belt (1) They is a chance for more than one, but its not likely. Western Kentucky has an RPI of 49, and UL Lafayette has an RPI of 42, but one is likely to be left out.

West Coast (2) Gonzaga and St. Mary's are in. The Zags are a lock, and St. Mary's should be in with an RPI of 36 and a 21-7 record. St. Mary's survived a triple overtime game against San Francisco that a lot of people are talking about, buzz is always good come selection time.

WAC (1) Probably only going to take one from the WAC. If Nevada loses, they could get in as an at large, which is possible with UTEP in the league. Not likely that UTEP gets in as an at large though.

If you're keeping score at home, the American East lost a bid this week, and the Big East picked it up. There is still a little over a week of ball to be played, and its really getting exciting.

Peegs.com Top Stories