Cyclones Getting Pre-Michigan Tuneup

You never want to overlook an opponent, but, well ... Plus, check out Naz Long's scintillating shot chart from the opener

With t-minus one week until the primetime showdown against Michigan, Iowa State takes on Texas A&M Corpus Christi on Tuesday in what should be another runaway.

The Islanders (1-0) have a two percent chance to win, per kenpom, the same chances given to Iowa State's last opponent, UNC-Asheville.

The Cyclones pulled away after 10 minutes in that contest, thanks to the play of sophomore guard Naz Long, the Big 12 Player of the Week after he surpassed his freshman season point total with a huge day — 26 points on 8-for-11 from behind the arc.

Can Long keep it going against the Islanders? The better question: Will he sniff so many attempts? Texas A&M Corpus Christi's first opponent, Huston-Tillotson, fired off 26 three-pointers against the Islanders' zone defense, connecting on only one.

If not Long, it stands to reason somebody's going to go off. Over 50 percent of the Cyclones' shots in their first game were three-point attempts, a mark that's ninth-highest nationally.

Here's Long's shot chart from UNC-Wilmington, a red dot denoting a make and a green a miss.

Player(s) to Watch

Islanders guard John Jordan (No. 10) slapped a 21-6-6 line in his last game, the beneficiary of 17 foul shots. Jordan also recorded three steals, but turned the ball over four times himself.

Zane Knowles grabbed 18 rebounds against Hutson-Tillotson, nearly 21 percent of the available boards.

Note to, um, note

Iowa State has won its last 14 nonconference home games. The last loss against a nonconference opponent at home? Nov. 30, 2011 to UNI in Fred Hoiberg's second season as head coach.

Who needs a big game?

Shots weren't falling for Percy Gibson against the Seahawks. With a dearth of low-post scoring in the wake of Melvin Ejim's injury, he needs to be better than this.

Prop Bet

Between Iowa State and UNC-Wilmington's first two games, an average of 46 fouls were called. So, let's set the over/under on fouls for Tuesday night's contest at 42.5.

KenPom prediction

Iowa State wins, 79-56.

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