A Better Way?

There's a lot of discussion right now about the new RPI formula instituted by the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee. Most analysts believe the numbers are unreliable. Still, there should be some objective framework by which to award at-large berths come Selection Sunday. This is what we propose...

Last week our publisher developed an objective rationale for ranking college basketball teams beyond the currently flawed RPI formula, which we assert was to heavily adjusted this year to weight road victories regardless of the quality of the opponent. 

As a result, we present the KXNO Ratings, which is a composite average of the current new RPI formula rating, old RPI formula rating, and Sagarin Rating for the top teams in college basketball.  These results are through Sunday's games.  Please see the notes at the bottom for more details.

KXNO RATINGS

(Team-New RPI rating-Old RPI rating-Sagarin rating=composite average)

  1. North Carolina 4-2-1=2.3
  2. Illinois 3-3-2=2.7
  3. Wake Forest 2-4-4=3.3
  4. Kansas 1-1-9=3.7
  5. Duke 5-5-3=4.3
  6. Oklahoma State 7-7-7=7
  7. Washington 7-9-5=7
  8. Kentucky 11-11-6=9.3
  9. Arizona 8-8-13=9.7
  10. Boston College 9-6-15=10
  11. Alabama 13-16-14=11
  12. Oklahoma 12-13-10=11.7
  13. Connecticut 15-10-12=12.3
  14. Louisville 17-14-8=13
  15. Villanova 14-12-16=14
  16. Gonzaga 10-15-21=15.3
  17. Michigan State 20-20-11=17
  18. Cincinnati 19-17-17=17.7
  19. Wisconsin 18-18-18=18
  20. Syracuse 24-19-20=21
  21. Southern Illinois 16-21-29=22
  22. Florida 26-22-19=22.3
  23. Pacific 21-23-25=23
  24. Utah 22-26-23=23.7
  25. LSU 25-24-30=26.3
  26. Texas 34-29-24=29
  27. Nevada 27-25-36=29.3
  28. Georgia Tech 38-32-22=30.7
  29. Mississippi State 30-30-32=30.7
  30. Pittsburgh 41-27-27=31.7
  31. UCLA 29-28-41=32.7
  32. Charlotte 32-31-39=34
  33. Texas Tech 42-34-26=34
  34. Vermont 23-38-43=34.7
  35. Iowa 54-35-28=39
  36. St. Mary's (CA) 31-36-51=39.3
  37. Minnesota 47-33-38=39.3
  38. Maryland 50-37-34=40.3
  39. Northern Iowa 36-45-42=41
  40. Stanford 39-39-50=42.7
  41. Ohio State 51-43-33=42.3
  42. Creighton 48-44-49=47
  43. Old Dominion 33-52-58=47.7
  44. Wichita State 46-47-53=48.3
  45. Miami University 28-58-62=49.3
  46. SW Missouri State 49-54-46=49.7
  47. Texas A&M 65-56-31=50.6
  48. Vanderbilt 66-46-40=50.7
  49. Iowa State 61-51-44=52
  50. Indiana 69-40-47=52
  51. Miami (Fla.) 59-43-57=53
  52. UTEP 52-48-61=53.7
  53. Wisconsin-Milwaukee 55-70-37=54
  54. DePaul 57-49-60=55.3
  55. Notre Dame 75-42-54=57
  56. Holy Cross 44-64-63=57
  57. West Virginia 68-53-52=57.7
  58. Buffalo 35-62-78=58.3
  59. UAB 64-61-55=60
  60. Kent State 37-69-75=60.3
  61. Arizona State 67-55-64=62
  62. Akron 40-76-71=62.3
  63. N.C. State 87-67-35=63

NOTES

  • The theory behind this formula is that the over-weighted road win component in the new RPI is somewhat averaged out by the over-weighted margin of victory component in the Sagarin Ratings. Combined with the old RPI formula, this gives a more accurate, objective gauge of who the numbers say are the top teams in the country.
  • Ohio State is not eligible for postseason play this season.
  • Teams with a composite average higher than 70 were disqualified as unworthy of an at-large bid, which is why the rankings cut off at 63.
  • Ties were settled by the opinion of the author.

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