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Fact or Fiction: Iowa Covers the Spread on Saturday

Dylan and Derek of Hawkeye Insider tell you whether or not they think Iowa will cover the 18.5 point spread on Saturday against North Dakota State.

The Iowa Hawkeyes are 1-1 against the spread so far this season covering the game against Iowa State, but not the one against Miami (OH).  The spread right now for this Saturday's game against the North Dakota State Bison is set at 18.5 points up from the 14.5 it was set at earlier in the week. 

This is a tough Bison team that has the ability to score quite a bit seeing as they've scored 74 points over the course of the first two games, so the 18.5 point spread could be tough to achieve for Iowa.  

So, fact or fiction? Iowa covers the spread on Saturday.

DEREK: Fiction. When the line was 14.5 I probably would have said fact but the spread is now 18.5 points in Vegas. That's a significant increase which does lend credence that the 14.5 number was too low. I think Iowa comes very, very close to covering but falls just short.

Considering the opponent, it'll still be a very impressive win from my standpoint. So many other FBS programs have missed the mark against the Bison. I think the Hawkeyes win by more than two touchdowns but narrowly miss the 18.5 spread that I'm now seeing in Vegas.

DYLAN: I'm going to go out on a limb here and say Fact.  The Bison are getting absolutely shredded through the air this season giving up 272 yards per game to opposing QB's.  They are also giving up nearly 30 points per game to teams.

With how locked in C.J. Beathard has been with his receivers, especially Matt Vandeberg, I think Iowa is going to be slinging it around the field quite a bit.  That should make way for the running game, or vice versa.  Iowa has two, maybe three backs that will be really involved on Saturday and I think they can wear out the NDSU defense.

Iowa's defense will be unlike one the Bison have faced so far this season with guys like Desmond King and Josey Jewell on the other side.  King will make like hard for Easton Stick and his receivers, Jewell and the rest of the front seven make it difficult for the Bison to run the football.  I also believe Iowa is not taking this team lightly.  They know what they're capable of, so I think they come out and just try to bury them right away.  

Because the last thing you want to do with a team like NDSU is let them hang around.

I know they've knocked off the last five FBS teams they've faced, but when you look at it, only one finished above .500 that regular season and it was Kansas State in 2013.  The other four teams finished at least four games below .500 and Iowa is much more talented than either one of those five teams.  

Iowa covers the 18.5 point spread.


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