Defense, Defense, and Defense
The Badgers have been rock solid on defense this year. They are giving up just an average of 15 points per game, which is good for third in the Big Ten. They are extremely stingy when it comes to running the football on them. They are allowing opponents to rush for 106 yards per game so far this season. This will combat what Iowa likes to do. We could be in store for another game like we saw last year in Madison when Iowa prevailed 10-6.
Biegel is Wisconsin's best player on defense. He has missed the last few weeks due to injury and is listed as questionable for Saturday's game in Iowa City. If the Badgers do in fact get Biegel back, look for him to significantly impact the game. Much like Joe Schobert did in the game last season in Madison. The Badger D is already one of the best in the conference and adding a linebacker like Biegel back to the mix would be huge for Wisconsin as they enter hostile Kinnick Stadium.
Early Season Win
Their early season win over LSU on a neutral field has paid dividends for the Badgers so far this season. They beat the Tigers by a final of 16-14, but LSU hasn't looked all too impressive recently. Then they went on to pound Michigan State by a final of 30-6, but the Spartans have looked dreadful as well. The Badgers lost by a touchdown to Michigan inside the Big House and lost by a TD in overtime to Ohio State inside Camp Randall. I believe this is a good team, but this could be a team Iowa can hang with, but their defense must show up for four quarters.
Shaky QB Play
Wisconsin hasn't had consistent QB play since 2013. This year is no different. Alex Hornibrook has started the last three football games and has looked anything but impressive. He's passed for 680 yards, five TD's, and six interceptions. Iowa's defense looked solid against Purdue and Minnesota on the road the past couple of weeks and Desmond King notched his first pick of the year in West Lafayette. That could be a building block for him. King picked off Joel Stave twice last season in Madison. If Wisconsin can't find consistent play from their QB and struggles to get Corey Clement going on the ground, this one will be low scoring.
Two Emotional Losses in a Row
This could be exactly what the doctor ordered for the Hawkeyes. Expectations were high coming into this season and Iowa has dropped two games to teams they probably should have beaten. Wisconsin is coming off back-to-back losses to Michigan and Ohio State. They have to now travel to Iowa City to face a Hawkeye team that has won two straight and might be finding their "swagger" as the kids are calling it these days. If Iowa catches Wisconsin on an emotional hangover this could be a game they steal from the Badgers. I believe the Badgers are favored, but it isn't by much.