1. Time of possession
If Louisville wins the battle of the clock, it will be a long day for the Kentucky Wildcats. Winning the time of possession battle means that Louisville's running game has dominated the contest. And we all know what Louisville's running game has done to Kentucky in the past couple of match ups. A big day running the football is a sure demise for Rich Brooks's team.
For Kentucky to pull off that big upset, they will have to be on the plus side of the turnover category. Mike Archer's defense will have to force some turnovers and give Kentucky good field position the majority of the day to get the victory. That means that the defense will have to be aggressive and gamble a couple of times. But it's a fine line that you walk when you do that, and it could backfire on the Kentucky defense. If Kentucky is at least a +2, they'll have a good shot. If Louisville is on the plus side of the turnover category, it could get ugly.
3. Tackles For Loss By The Kentucky Defense
Louisville's offensive line is perhaps the scariest part of their team. Four seniors across that huge front, that have played together for a long time, poses a huge problem for the Kentucky defensive line. With the switch to the 4-3, UK's defensive line become more playmakers then blockeaters, as they were last year in the 3-4. If this statistic is a high number for Kentucky, that means the DLs are making their way into the Louisville backfield and making plays. Remember the game in 2002?
4. Completion Percentage By Brohm
If Brian Brohm is able to stand in the pocket, and pick apart the Kentucky secondary all afternoon long, Louisville could score 80 points before they leave Commonwealth Stadium. This statistic is tied in a little bit with number three above. Again, the defensive line has to put pressure on the Louisville quarterback, for two reasons, really. Pressure will force the turnover or two, and will help out the secondary who will be tested early, often, and all day. The secondary has their own job of covering a talented receiving corps, and knocking down a few passes. If Brohm is over 60%, the scoreboard operator will have a sore finger on Monday.
5. Rushing Yards by Rafael Little
Joker Phillips has maintained all fall camp that the Wildcats have to establish a running game to be successful in any contest this year on the schedule. This game may be the most important game to establish a running game. If Little can rush for over 150 yards, that means two things: Kentucky's offensive line has been successful, and the Wildcats are way ahead on the scoreboard.
A runner-up to this top five, watch for injuries sustained by Kentucky during the game. They've already been hit hard during fall camp and can't afford to lose anybody else. Louisville, whether you want to call them "dirty birds" or not, plays a very aggressive style and is very physical on the field. They'll make your medical staff work overtime during a football game.
TIREY: Game day has arrived!
1. Time of possession