Confidence Levels: 2014 Prospects

Once a month until NSD, the TSD staff will clue you in to LSU's chances of landing its top targets. Using a 1-10 scale, Ben Love and Hunter Paniagua weigh in with confidence ratings for each one of the uncommitted recruits remaining at the top of LSU's board. Head inside to find out which prospects are most likely to end up with the Tigers.

Once a month until National Signing Day, TSD's Ben Love and Hunter Paniagua will provide their levels of confidence that LSU can land each of its top remaining uncommitted targets. Using a 1-10 scale, 10 being the highest, the TSD staff will clue you in with their feelings on each prospect's recruitment.

These numbers aren't just coming out of thin air either. Based on rumblings we've gotten from both the players and LSU staff, these confidence levels should reflect how the Tigers feel at this point.

Below is the breakdown on LSU's top 12 targets:

**Last month's ratings are in italics

RB Leonard Fournette – Ben: 8.5 (8.5), Hunter: 9.0 (8.5)

LSU's standing with the nation's No. 1 prospect only continues to get better. We don't believe that visit to Tuscaloosa a couple weeks ago had any affect on his recruitment, and Hunter's actually even more confident in LSU's chances after it. According to sources at Alabama, Fournette appeared a little disinterested during his visit, and after seeing how devoted he was to working with Frank Wilson during camp, the writing seems to be on the wall. Expect confidence to only go up from here.

WR Malachi Dupre – Ben: 8.5 (8.0), Hunter: 8.5 (8.5)

Already confident in LSU's chances with Dupre, nothing has happened in the last month to dissuade that. LSU's master plan at WR is starting to fall into place, and Dupre is a big part of that. He recognizes how badly LSU wants him, and factor in his comfort and familiarity with the current players, coaches and other recruits, and all signs point to LSU. He is still expected to take visits, but that will pose little cause for concern.

WR Devante Noil – Ben: 9.5 (9.5), Hunter: 9.5 (9.5)

Speedy is the other key piece to that plan at WR, and as with Dupre, nothing has changed to think LSU isn't a lock. Noil did recently release a top five that included LSU, Texas A&M, Florida, USC and Oregon, but the Tigers are far ahead from those other four schools. A&M will get a look because of former Karr teammate Noel Ellis, but something drastic would have to happen for Speedy to not end up at LSU.

OT Cameron Robinson – Ben: 3.5 (4.5), Hunter: 2.0 (5.5)

One of the nation's most awaited decisions will come in just five days. Originally scheduled for today, Robinson will announce his commitment to either Alabama or LSU on Wednesday, but as you can tell by the trend on these confidence levels, that ceremony should be a Crimson affair. Most indications are that Robinson will commit to Alabama next week, meaning a big (but not unexpected) in-state loss for the Tigers. But even if Robinson does join the Tide on Wednesday, don't expect LSU to let off, and this will definitely be one that lasts until he sets foot on someone's campus as an early enrollee.

DE Davon Godchaux – Ben: 9.0 (8.5), Hunter: 9.5 (9.5)

Despite all the back and forth with his announcement date, going from December to August and back to December, one thing has remained constant — LSU. Regardless of the reasoning behind his decision date, it should be a LSU affair three days after Christmas when he announces. LSU has led since before he received that offer, and nothing has happened that would affect that.

DL Gerald Willis – Ben: 9.5 (9.5), Hunter: 9.5 (9.5)

Willis' recruitment is almost identical to Speedy, his Edna Karr teammate. We've been confident in LSU's chances for quite some time, and things only grow more solid as time passes. He is expected to give Texas A&M a fair look during an official visit, but it would be a shock to all involved if he's not at LSU this time next year.

DT Garrald McDowell – Ben: 8.0 (8.0), Hunter: 7.5 (6.5)

Confidence in LSU is growing with McDowell, but he will give other schools a fair look this fall. He told Hunter last week that he will definitely visit Ole Miss and Arkansas officially, and those two appear to be the primary competition for the home-state school. But as with Godchaux, that LSU offer was the one he cherished, and once he got it, there was little reason to think he wouldn't end up there. That hasn't changed and we don't expect it will once he finally makes his decision this winter.

LB Clifton Garrett – Ben: 8.5 (8.0), Hunter: 9.0 (8.5)

As each month passes, Garrett's love for LSU continues to get stronger. Ever since his initial visit in April, the Tigers have been the clear favorite, and nothing has stopped that. Garrett is the top priority for LSU at LB, and he's expected to make multiple visits to Baton Rouge this fall. He may still wait to announce his commitment at the Army game, but don't be surprised to see him pull the trigger after one of those aforementioned trips.

LB Kenny Young – Ben: 3.0 (3.5), Hunter: 3.5 (4.0)

There seems to be an inverse relationship between Garrett and Young. The higher the likelihood that Garrett ends up in the class, the lesser it is that Young does too. LSU isn't giving Young the full-court press quite yet, and meanwhile, he'll be giving other schools a hard look. If a spot does open up at LB, expect the coaches to go hard after Young, but might it be too late by then? That all remains to be seen, but we aren't confident right now he ends up at LSU.

CB Tony Brown – Ben: 8.5 (7.5), Hunter: 8.5 (8.0)

All signs continue to point toward LSU with Tony Brown, and the final hurdle seems to have been removed. With sister Bealoved's clearance to report to Baton Rouge, everything seems to be lining up for the Tigers. Factor in his relationship with the coaches and his desire to run track in college, LSU has everything to secure his commitment, which is expected to come in the next few months.

DB Laurence Jones – Ben: 6.0 (6.5), Hunter: 4.5 (4.5)

While there's still significant optimism surrounding Hootie's recruitment, things could really take a turn depending on Cam's decision next week. Right now, LSU really has the in-state comfort working for it. Hootie's mother has made it clear she's keen on keeping her son close to home, but after she accompanied him on his most recent trip to Tuscaloosa, it's obvious Alabama is making the hard sell to her as well. If Cam opts for the Tide, that could be a big feather in their cap for Hootie's recruitment. But he's said before that he and Cam won't necessarily attend the same school, so don't eliminate the Tigers based on Cam's decision.

DB Santos Ramirez – Ben: 6.0 (6.0), Hunter: 5.5 (6.0)

Not much has changed with Ramirez and LSU. He still considers himself committed to LSU if they make that same commitment to him. The coaches intend to evaluate him during his senior season once they can see him work with pads. But the staff will do the same with other in-state DBs like Russell Gage, Terrence Alexander, Mattrell McGraw and Donovan Wilson. Meanwhile, Ramirez' teammate and Arkansas commit Jared Cornelius is encouraging him to give the Razorbacks a hard look. Simply, it boils down to whether LSU wants to add him. If they do, Ramirez will be in this class.

Who dropped off this list?

WR Trey Quinn – At this time last month, we weren't as sold on Quinn to LSU (Ben 5.5, Hunter 6.5). Clemson had made a serious push for Quinn's commitment, causing him to at least then, push back his decision timetable. But Quinn put all that to bed when he made his pledge to the home team earlier this month.

WR Saeed Blacknall – The day we posted our first edition of these confidence levels was the day we learned things were trending downward between Blacknall and LSU, as evidenced by our high confidence levels (Ben 7.5, Hunter 6.0). Following Blacknall's visit for camp, he cooled on the Tigers and the coaches didn't see him as a high enough priority to chase. He opted to stay home and commit to Rutgers.

Give us your confidence level for each LSU target


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