The Red Wolves had several opportunities to take the lead against the Fighting Illini, but bungled two potential touchdown opportunities.
Here's a direct comparison of how the Red Wolves and Tigers fared statistically.
Arkansas State: 350
Arkansas State: 290
Arkansas State: 60
Arkansas State: 3
Memphis: 645 Arkansas State: 473
Rushing yards allowed
Arkansas State: 202
Passing yards allowed
Arkansas State: 271
Take from that what you will. All things aren't equal. Illinois is not the same caliber opponent as a Top 25 SEC team in Mississippi State. Still, if Memphis doesn't improve its run defense and limit the big plays, it's going to be a long night in Jonesboro for the Tigers.