Of the 65 total bids, 31 are awarded automatically to the conference champions. Of the remaining 34 at large bids, 27 appear to be already slotted. That leaves seven bids for the bubble teams to fight over.
By our estimation, those bubble teams are as follows.
|Team||Overall / Conf./ Rec.||Commentary|
|Alabama||17-12 / SEC / 10-7||RPI: 56 SOS: 11, Quality wins over Tennessee, @ Kentucky, Florida, and LSU|
|Florida State||19-9 / ACC / 9-8||RPI: 62, SOS: 93, Only quality win is over Duke|
|Seton Hall||18-11 / Big East / 9-8||RPI: 57, SOS: 36, Quality wins over Pittsburgh, West Virginia, @N.C. State, @ Syracuse, but 3-5 in last eight with opening round loss in Big East Tourney to Rutgers|
|Michigan||18-10 / Big Ten / 8-9||RPI: 46, SOS: 35, Quality wins over Illinois, Michigan State, and Wisconsin, but 2-7 in last nine with opening round loss to Minnesota in Big Ten Tourney. 3-8 vs. RPI Top 50, but 7-1 vs. 51-100|
|George Mason||23-7 / Colonial / 16-4||RPI 26, SOS 89, but lost twice to Hofstra at the end of the year and one of their best players (Tony Skinn) is suspended for the first round of th dance for a blow he delvered to the groin of a Hofstra player in the conference semifinal loss.|
|Hofstra||24-6 / Colonial / 16-5||RPI: 30, SOS: 129, Beat George Mason twice at the end of the year and made in it to the Colonial Conference final|
|Witchita State||24-8 / MVC / 14-4||RPI: 29, SOS: 57, Regular season champ in the Missouri Valley conference|
|Missouri State||20-8 / MVC / 12-6||RPI: 20, SOS: 46, Quality wins over Creighton, Bradley, Southern Illinois, and @Northern Iowa.|
|Creighton||19-9 / MVC / 12-7||RPI:39, SOS: 55, Blew out George Mason on the road and beat Xavier in non-conference, but 2-4 in last six.|
|Northern Iowa||21-9 / MVC / 12-8||RPI: 24, SOS: 39 Non-conference over Iowa and @ LSU, but finished the season 2-5 and was swept by Creighton.|
|Bradley||20-10 / MVC / 13-8||RPI: 34, SOS: 50, 8-6 vs. RPI top 50 (all from MVC conference), Beat regular season MVC champ Witchita State in conference semi-final.|
|Utah State||22-8 / WAC / 13-6||RPI: 47, SOS: 102, 6-2 against RPI 51-100, but five losses outside of the top 100.|
|Air Force||22-6 / MWC / 12-5||RPI: 50, SOS: 158, Upset by Wyoming in conference tourney and no real quality wins.|
- Will the Missouri Valley Conference (the #6 RPI conference) get more than four bids?
- Will the committee hold Tony Skinn's opening round suspension against George Mason?
- Can a team with one quality victory get into the tourney?