By the Nos: UM "O" vs MSU "D" Plus Prediction

Will Michigan fans again see two decent quarters of U-M offensive football? Will it be enough? And will the rain be the wildcard?

MICHIGAN OFFENSE vs MSU DEFENSE - OVERALL:

Michigan State is 6th in the league in scoring defense, giving up 20.2 points per game.
Michigan in scoring Offense ... ah, you don't want to know* (okay, look at this number with one eye closed ... 18.6 points a game).

MSU is 7th in the league in total defense, giving up 358.1 yards per game.
U-M in total Offense ... ah, you don't want to know* ... (291.4 yards a game).

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MICHIGAN PASSING OFFENSE vs MSU PASSING DEFENSE:

MSU Passing defense: 6th in the B-10, giving up 213.1 yards per game. In pass efficiency defense, PSU is 4th in the league.

U-M Passing Offense: U-M is NOT last, but 10th (yea!), averaging 150.6 yards per game. In pass efficiency ... ah, you don't want to know*.

Steven Threet in passing, and in pass efficiency -- ah, you don't want to know*.

Martavious Odoms is 6th in the league in receptions (in 6 games, not 7), averaging 4.33 catches per game. Odoms is 10th in receiving yards per game, with 47.8.

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MICHIGAN RUSHING OFFENSE vs MSU RUSHING DEFENSE:

MSU Rushing defense: 8th in the Big 10, 145.0 yards per game (4.4 yards per carry).

U-M Rushing: U-M is 9th in the league in rushing, averaging 140.9 yards per game (3.9 yards per carry).

Michigan does not have a back in the top ten in rushing in the Big Ten.

MSU LB Greg Jones is 8th in the league in tackles, averaging 8.1 per game; he is also 10th in the league in TFL's with 1.0 per game. LB Eric Gordon is 17th in tackles with 6.6.

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MISC.

MSU is 9th in the league in giving up first downs, allowing 17.9 per game.
U-M in making first downs ... ah, you don't wanna know*.

MSU is last in the league in 3rd down defense, allowing a 41.5% conversion rate.
U-M in 3rd down conversions ... ah, you don't wanna know*.

MSU is 2nd in the league in Red Zone defense, allowing a 67.9% scoring rate.
U-M in Red Zone offense ... 10th, scoring 73.7% of the time.

MSU is 10th in the league in sacks, averaging 1.6 per game.
U-M is 4th best in the league in sacks given up, averaging 1.6 per game.

MSU DL Trevor Anderson is 4th the league in sacks (.62 per game).

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*Note: "ah, you don't want to know" means - dead-last.

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WHAT DOES IT ALL MEAN?

MSU's defense is just so-so at best, and so we might expect U-M to have another game with two good offensive quarters and 20-15 points on the board.

The wild card will be the rain and wet field ... will it trigger a turnover-deluge?

And from yesterday's "MSU O vs U-M D"

"The MSU offense is so-so, and is a traditional pro-style offense, not a spread (whew). Ergo the U-M defense has to step up and hold the Spartans under 20 points -- and should be able to. The key will be to watch what MSU power RB Jovan Ringer does ... making Ringer work for his yards, sans 20+ yard runs, will be the key to the game. The Spartan passing attack is so-so with QB Brian Hoyer battling injuries and a sub-.500 completion rate."

PREDICTION: The U-M "O" has 2 decent quarters, Threet hold up for at least 2 quarters, rain causes turnovers ... but the U-M "D" comes to play. Final score Michigan 16, MSU 15.

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