By the Nos: UM "O" vs Purdue "D" & Prediction

This match-up is, as Coach Rod would say, bad on bad. Here are the numbers ... and a game prediction.

MICHIGAN OFFENSE vs PURDUE DEFENSE - OVERALL:

Purdue is 8th in the league in scoring defense, giving up 25.8 points per game.
Michigan in scoring Offense ... ah, you don't want to know* (okay, look at this number with one eye closed ... 18.9 points a game).

Purdue is last in the league in total defense, giving up 395.4 yards per game.
U-M in total Offense ... ah, you don't want to know* ... (286.5 yards a game).

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MICHIGAN PASSING OFFENSE vs PURDUE PASSING DEFENSE:

Purdue Passing defense: 8th in the B-10, giving up 219.8 yards per game. In pass efficiency defense, Boilers are 8th in the league.

U-M Passing Offense: U-M is NOT last, but 10th (yea!), averaging 152.8 yards per game. In pass efficiency ... ah, you don't want to know*.

Steven Threet in passing, and in pass efficiency -- ah, you don't want to know*.

Martavious Odoms is 6th in the league in receptions (in 7 games, not 8), averaging 4.57 catches per game. Odoms has dropped off the rankings in receiving yards per game.

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MICHIGAN RUSHING OFFENSE vs PURDUE RUSHING DEFENSE:

Purdue Rushing defense: last in the Big 10, 175.6 yards per game (4.4 yards per carry).

U-M Rushing: U-M is 9th in the league in rushing, averaging 133.8 yards per game (3.7 yards per carry).

Michigan does not have a back in the top ten in rushing in the Big Ten.

Purdue LB Anthony Heygood is 3rd in the league in tackles, averaging 9.9 per game.

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MISC.

Purdue is last in the league in giving up first downs.
U-M in making first downs ... ah, you don't wanna know*.

Purdue is 5th in the league in 3rd down defense, allowing a 35.0% conversion rate.
U-M in 3rd down conversions ... ah, you don't wanna know*.

Purdue is 8th in the league in Red Zone defense, allowing a 80.6% scoring rate.
U-M is 9th in the league Red Zone offense, scoring 77.3% of the time.

Purdue is 5th in the league in sacks, averaging 2.4 per game.
U-M is 5th best in the league in sacks given up, averaging 1.8 per game.

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(*Note: "ah, you don't want to know" means - dead-last.)

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WHAT DOES IT ALL MEAN?

Hard to say in this unit matchup ... bad on bad.

The key to the game overall -- if Purdue has to play a RB (Justin Siller) at QB ... and ifso, if U-M can manage not to make him look like Vinny Young.

PREDICTION

Michigan 20, Purdue 17 (law of averages, U-M has to win one)

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