Week 5 Picks

The Tigers and Longhorns are preparing to get it on in Columbia on Saturday morning and our Swami has the inside track on how to handicap this game.

Okay, overwhelmed with work this week so we will keep it short. Last week we were 3-3 against the spread and 7-1 straight up on the year we are 37-12 straight up and 22-19 ATS.

Big week of games so the rant I had planned about how annoying the Texas fans were that I sat by at Faurot Field four years ago will have to wait. Besides, I had no complaints about my trip to Austin last year.

Just a reminder that MizzouRah will be camped out at Venetian Sports book October 8 and 9 and would like your free advice next week!

Texas vs. MIZZOU - Over/Under = 60. This is a real pick this week.

Take the over, with MU's no huddle offense this game will take a while (sorry those folks who want to see ISU at NU) and there will be a lot of points.

OVER WINS

Texas (-15) at MIZZOU - Okay on to the actual game. It could be argued that MU played their best game in Austin last year. It was a competitive game and Vince Young looked terrible, unfortunately Brad Smith had a couple costly turnovers as well and the Tigers came up a little short. MU's O line and D line looked very strong in that game.

I don't see it happening this year, now I do think the Tigers will move the ball and score. I am most interested in seeing this occur as I think that will bode well for the upcoming games but our D line is not very good. I hope the Tigers will cover WR's man on man and hope Vince Young is as awful throwing the ball as he was in the game last year.

That's MU's best chance to win. Mizzou will score and folks will realize that Brad Smith is getting overlooked but the MU D line may look worse than my KC Chief D Line looked Monday night and that is saying something.

Pick Texas 45-27 and I may be low on the score.

Kansas State (+6.5) at Oklahoma - I was in Topeka on Friday and was offered a free ticket to the KSU/UNT game so I checked out the 'Cats.

This is a team with a solid O line, at least the left side of the line is solid. They should try to play ball control in this game as their D hasn't been bad (Marshall mainly scored on KSU errors). Just to be clear North Texas is TERRIBLE, particularly on offense. I don't think Fisher will replace Clayton any time soon, he's not overly fast and I thought he ran out of gas on a couple long runs. I think KSU is catching OU at the right time and I think they have nothing to lose.

OU and the young QB is going to be under a lot of pressure and that O line looks bad to me. I'll take the upset here in what should be a toss up game.

Pick KSU 20-17

CU (-3.5) at OSU - The "north isn't so bad" theme continues here. OSU may be the worst team in the league and CU has a solid D. You should have jumped on this when OSU opened as a favorite! I'll be pulling for the OSU upset as the MU/OSU number will be way out of whack then. The Tigers will win in Stillwater. OSU is still trying to establish themselves on O to be fair but I don't see much there, particularly at RB.

I'll take CU 31-13

KU (+17) at Texas Tech - Wait on this game if you want to bet KU. This number will get higher. Everyone was TT as the lock of the week but KU gave them a lot of trouble at least for a half last year. Let's see what the Tech QB has against real compettion.

I think KU keeps it kind of close. They lose 38-24

Baylor (+24) at A&M - A&M had a poor defensive outing against Texas State. I think they come out focused this week.

Pick A&M 45-14

ISU (+4) at Nebraska - I look for this number to continue to go down. I know ISU looked terrible at Army and teams don't win in Lincoln very often. ISU is not that good on offense so they will struggle to score.

Nebraska needs to focus on running the ball to get some continuity and confidence for their O line. I think they try to throw it too much in this game.

Pick ISU and they win 17-13. I may be a bit high on this score. These are not good offensive teams. Expect to hear significant grumbling from Lincoln Logs Land after this game.

Other games

I'll take Vanderbilt (-16.5) to destroy MTSU. MTSU somehow lost to North Texas. After seeing the Mean Green I need no more evidence to pick Vandy.

I'll take Cal (-16) to cover over a struggling Arizona team.

Miami (-21) will show South Florida that they are more focused than Louisville was. I'll take the Canes.

Good luck to your team!


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