How Army Can Pull the Upset
Score first: Nothing would do more to build Army's confidence than to put points on the board first. Army fans are probably thinking it would be just nice to score a touchdown against Navy since it hasn't happened in the last three games against the Mids. However, getting a lead on Navy is almost a necessity if the Black Knights have any thoughts of pulling the upset. I say this with great confidence because if Navy goes up, say, 10-0 early, it could easily turn into a rout.
Stop Navy in the Red Zone: Early in the year this would have been a lot easier because Navy's offense lacked creativity and execution when they got close to the goal line. However, the Mids have been locked in, scoring on 33 out of their last 34 trips in the red zone – including an astounding 31 touchdowns. Forcing Navy to kick field goals will give the Cadets a chance. There is no way Army wants to get into a track meet against the Midshipmen – that didn't work so well for them against Air Force.
Average over Five yards on First Down: This game could very well be decided by which team has more success on first down because I don't think the Cadets will have much success on third down, regardless of the distance. Third and short is typically a comfortable position for Army to be in, but against Navy, I think they will find that two yards in obvious running situations will be tough to come by. So I think if they can average close to six yards on first down, they will be able to keep Navy's offense off the field.
Take Chances: Other than another game to Navy, Army really has nothing to lose in
Get Malcolm Brown the Ball: The first time I saw the speedy slot back touch the ball, as a Navy fan, I feared this game. Sidelined since the
Even if Army manages to do all of the above, I think they will still need to get a big break to go their way in order to win the game. Whether it is a blocked punt or a huge turnover that leads to a short field, the Cadets just don't have the speed on either side of the ball yet to expect to win on pure talent alone.