Some Navy Defense Over/Unders for 2012

The football season is still frustratingly far into the distance, but with trickles of information coming out it seems like a good time to look at some of the numbers the Midshipmen would like to hit to ensure a successful 2012 campaign. We have already looked at three of the baselines that the offense needs to hit this season, today it is time to see what the defense needs to do to improve..

.. on last year's abject performance.

1) Navy will give up 25 points per game

Under. In 2011 Navy gave up right on 30 points per game defensively, good for 77th nationally. If the Midshipmen can shave five points per game off of that total then it would shoot them up into the top 50. Though five ppg may sound like a lot, it should be easily doable for a team with a ball control offense who are playing what looks to be like a weaker schedule than a year ago.

2) Navy defense has 12 sacks

Under. Of all the mysteries surrounding the Academy football program in 2012 the biggest might be where will pressure on the opposing quarterback come from? With the graduation of Jabaree Tuani Navy lost nearly half their sacks from last year, and with a totally retooled defensive unit it is hard to pick out a name to replace him. Someone is going to have to dominate early in the season if Navy are to slow down their opponents passing games.

3) A Navy DB has more than four interceptions

Over. This is a little bit of a bold prediction as Navy had no player with more than two picks a year ago, and the team only combined for a total of 10 interceptions. The secondary though is loaded with experience in 2012 and safeties such as Chris Ferguson and Tra'ves Bush have flashed game changing turnover ability. A consistent pass rush would help this unit, as would a change from the bend but don't break philosophy to that of a more attacking nature. Either way though Navy will see some bad quarterback play over the next few months, and ball hawking defensive backs will have plenty of chances for picks.

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