Nevada's Best Case, Worst Case Scenarios

After a disappointing 4-8 season, all indications are that Nevada is primed for a better season in 2014. A four-year starter at QB, an easier schedule, a league leading number of returning starters, a “rebuilding” year in most of the MWC and the second year in head coach Brian Polian’s system. It should be a better year for the Nevada Wolf Pack.

But how much better? We take a look at our best case, worst case and most likely scenarios.

Worst case

Week 1 Southern Utah - W
    Nevada rolls against FCS Southern Utah but warning signs are there.

Week 2 Washington St. - L
    The Wolf Pack drop at heart breaker at home against the Cougars of Washington St., losing in the final minutes.

Week 3 @ Arizona - L
    Nevada hits the road and stays close at Arizona for a half but loses by double digits in a shootout.

Week 5 @ San Jose St. - W
    The Wolf Pack open Mountain West conference play on the road, after a bye week, against rebuilding San Jose St. They come away with a win but not by much.

Week 6 Boise St - L
    The Bronocs and the Wolf Pack entertain the homecoming crowd with one of their annual back and forth battles but Boise St. comes out on top.

Week 7 Colorado St. - W
    Colorado St fights to the last but the heroics of Cody Fajardo and the hometown crowd help Nevada pull to 2-1 in MWC play.

Week 8 @ BYU - L
    The Wolf Pack travel to Provo and suffer their worst loss of the 2014 season.

Week 9 @ Hawaii - W
    The Norm Chow era continues to be a disaster and Nevada wins its second straight road game in Hawaii.

Week 10 San Diego St. - L
    The Aztec curse continues as Nevada drops another overtime game to San Diego St.

Week 12 @ Air Force - W
    Nevada shakes off the heart breaker to San Diego St during its bye week and wins its first game in Colorado Springs against a reeling Academy squad stuck in rebuilding mode.

Week 13 Fresno St. - L
    The Wolf Pack are still in the mix for the West title but can’t get it done against the division leading Bulldogs.

Week 14 @ UNLV - W
    Nevada returns the Fremont Cannon to its rightful home with win over rival UNLV in front of a not as big as it should be crowd.

(6-6)
Nevada finishes 6-6 and eeks into a bowl game with the win over UNLV, finishing 3rd in the West behind Fresno St and San Diego St.

Best Case

Week 1 Southern Utah - W
    Nevada rolls against FCS Southern Utah and Pack fans are giddy.

Week 2 Washington St. - W
    The Wolf Pack go back and forth with the Cougars but 2 late interceptions by Connor Halliday doom Wazzu and Nevada opens the season 2-0 for the first time since the 2010 season.

Week 3 @ Arizona - L
    Nevada hits the road and nearly pulls out the win against the top 25 Wildcats.

Week 5 @ San Jose St. - W
    The Wolf Pack open Mountain West conference play on the road, after a bye week, against rebuilding San Jose St. The Wolf Pack win by 2 touchdowns and open 1-0 in Mountain West conference play.

Week 6 Boise St - L
    A surprisingly good Nevada defense nearly pulls out the win for the Wolf Pack but a few untimely mistakes gives the Broncos the edge.

Week 7 Colorado St. - W
    Nevada nearly lets this one get away, suffering a hangover from the previous week’s heart breaker.

Week 8 @ BYU - L
    Nevada plays the top 25 ranked Cougars tough but the Wolf Pack drop their third game of the season.

Week 9 @ Hawaii - W
    The Wolf Pack are back in form, pushing their MW conference record to 3-1 with a road win against the hapless Warriors.

Week 10 San Diego St. - W
    The Aztec curse comes to an end as Nevada takes firm control of the West division and moves to 4-1 in conference play.

Week 12 @ Air Force - W
    The Wolf Pack get a scare from the cadets but turnovers doom the Falcons and Nevada moves to 7-3 on the year and remain atop the West division standings.

Week 13 Fresno St. - W
    Nevada remains unbeaten at home in a high scoring affair against the 2nd place Bulldogs. 

Week 14 @ UNLV - W
    With a West division title on the line for Nevada and a 2nd straight bowl game in the balance for the Rebels, the Wolf Pack take home West title and the Fremont Cannon in front of a sold out Sam Boyd Stadium.

(9-3)
The Wolf Pack finish with 5 straight wins, including 3 road games, winning the West division and heading into a rematch against Boise St. in the MWC Championship game.

Most Likely

Week 1 Southern Utah - W
    Nevada rolls against FCS Southern Utah and Pack fans are giddy.

Week 2 Washington St. - W
    In a hard fought game, it comes down to which team makes the fewest mistakes. The Wolf Pack play a cleaner game than the Cougars and come away with a narrow victory.

Week 3 @ Arizona - L
    Nevada narrowly misses opening 3-0 with a loss at top 25 Arizona.

Week 5 @ San Jose St. - W
    Nevada opens Mountain West conference play with a road victory over rebuilding San Jose St.

Week 6 Boise St - L
    The Broncos jump out to an early lead and hang on for a narrow victory in front of a sold out homecoming crowd.

Week 7 Colorado St. - W
    The Wolf Pack bounce back as its offensive line is finally starting to get healthy.

Week 8 @ BYU - L
    Nevada plays the top 25 ranked Cougars tough but fall by more than 10 in Provo.

Week 9 @ Hawaii - W
    The Wolf Pack hit mid-season form with a shellacking of the hapless Warriors, winning a road game in Honolulu for only the 2nd time in 50 years.

Week 10 San Diego St. - W
    Nevada and San Diego St go to overtime for the 3rd straight season, but the Wolf Pack finally prevail.

Week 12 @ Air Force - W
    Air Force falls into a late season slump just as the Wolf Pack are hitting their stride. Nevada moves into a tie for 1st place in the West with a bitterly cold win over the cadets.

Week 13 Fresno St. - L
    In a battle for first place in the Western division, the Bulldogs come out on top in a high scoring affair.

Week 14 @ UNLV - W
    Nevada caps off a strong season with a win over rival UNLV, returning the Fremont cannon to its rightful home in Legacy Hall.

(7-5)
    Nevada narrowly misses winning the West title with the loss to Fresno St. but returns to a bowl game after being absent from the post-season for one season.

Neil Henderson can be reached via Twitter.


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","mobileBody":"But how much better? We take a look at our best case, worst case and most likely scenarios.     Nevada rolls against FCS Southern Utah but warning signs are there.     The Wolf Pack drop at heart breaker at home against the Cougars of Washington St., losing in the final minutes.     Nevada hits the road and stays close at Arizona for a half but loses by double digits in a shootout.     The Wolf Pack open Mountain West conference play on the road, after a bye week, against rebuilding San Jose St. They come away with a win but not by much.     The Bronocs and the Wolf Pack entertain the homecoming crowd with one of their annual back and forth battles but Boise St. comes out on top.     Colorado St fights to the last but the heroics of Cody Fajardo and the hometown crowd help Nevada pull to 2-1 in MWC play.     The Wolf Pack travel to Provo and suffer their worst loss of the 2014 season.     The Norm Chow era continues to be a disaster and Nevada wins its second straight road game in Hawaii.     The Aztec curse continues as Nevada drops another overtime game to San Diego St.     Nevada shakes off the heart breaker to San Diego St during its bye week and wins its first game in Colorado Springs against a reeling Academy squad stuck in rebuilding mode.     The Wolf Pack are still in the mix for the West title but can’t get it done against the division leading Bulldogs.     Nevada returns the Fremont Cannon to its rightful home with win over rival UNLV in front of a not as big as it should be crowd. Nevada finishes 6-6 and eeks into a bowl game with the win over UNLV, finishing 3rd in the West behind Fresno St and San Diego St.     Nevada rolls against FCS Southern Utah and Pack fans are giddy.     The Wolf Pack go back and forth with the Cougars but 2 late interceptions by Connor Halliday doom Wazzu and Nevada opens the season 2-0 for the first time since the 2010 season.     Nevada hits the road and nearly pulls out the win against the top 25 Wildcats.     The Wolf Pack open Mountain West conference play on the road, after a bye week, against rebuilding San Jose St. The Wolf Pack win by 2 touchdowns and open 1-0 in Mountain West conference play.     A surprisingly good Nevada defense nearly pulls out the win for the Wolf Pack but a few untimely mistakes gives the Broncos the edge.     Nevada nearly lets this one get away, suffering a hangover from the previous week’s heart breaker.     Nevada plays the top 25 ranked Cougars tough but the Wolf Pack drop their third game of the season.     The Wolf Pack are back in form, pushing their MW conference record to 3-1 with a road win against the hapless Warriors.     The Aztec curse comes to an end as Nevada takes firm control of the West division and moves to 4-1 in conference play.     The Wolf Pack get a scare from the cadets but turnovers doom the Falcons and Nevada moves to 7-3 on the year and remain atop the West division standings.     Nevada remains unbeaten at home in a high scoring affair against the 2nd place Bulldogs.      With a West division title on the line for Nevada and a 2nd straight bowl game in the balance for the Rebels, the Wolf Pack take home West title and the Fremont Cannon in front of a sold out Sam Boyd Stadium. The Wolf Pack finish with 5 straight wins, including 3 road games, winning the West division and heading into a rematch against Boise St. in the MWC Championship game.     Nevada rolls against FCS Southern Utah and Pack fans are giddy.     In a hard fought game, it comes down to which team makes the fewest mistakes. The Wolf Pack play a cleaner game than the Cougars and come away with a narrow victory.     Nevada narrowly misses opening 3-0 with a loss at top 25 Arizona.     Nevada opens Mountain West conference play with a road victory over rebuilding San Jose St.     The Broncos jump out to an early lead and hang on for a narrow victory in front of a sold out homecoming crowd.     The Wolf Pack bounce back as its offensive line is finally starting to get healthy.     Nevada plays the top 25 ranked Cougars tough but fall by more than 10 in Provo.     The Wolf Pack hit mid-season form with a shellacking of the hapless Warriors, winning a road game in Honolulu for only the 2nd time in 50 years.     Nevada and San Diego St go to overtime for the 3rd straight season, but the Wolf Pack finally prevail.     Air Force falls into a late season slump just as the Wolf Pack are hitting their stride. Nevada moves into a tie for 1st place in the West with a bitterly cold win over the cadets.     In a battle for first place in the Western division, the Bulldogs come out on top in a high scoring affair.     Nevada caps off a strong season with a win over rival UNLV, returning the Fremont cannon to its rightful home in Legacy Hall.     Nevada narrowly misses winning the West title with the loss to Fresno St. but returns to a bowl game after being absent from the post-season for one season. Neil Henderson can be reached via Twitter.Follow @NeilSBS ","skipOnMobile":false,"media":[],"dateOverride":"2014-08-24T21:57:00","authorOverride":"Neil Henderson","role":"Publisher","isPremium":false,"isHotNews":false,"isRumor":false,"syndicationFlag":true,"isClassified":true,"hotNamesLinked":true,"storyImage":"[MEDIA:1373099]","mainImage":{},"thumbnailImage":"[THUMBNAIL:1373099]","heroImage":{},"authorImage":"[MEDIA:1208231]","tags":[{"id":"9982","name":"Nevada - Football"},{"id":"534","name":"Nevada"}],"nodes":["762"],"isActive":true,"inActiveAndMemberHasPublishRights":false,"createdOn":"2014-08-24T23:10:19.75","createdById":"2895702","modifiedOn":"2014-08-25T06:21:59.033","modifiedBy":"2895702","imgs":[],"viewStats":[{"from":"2015-04-03T02:00:00","to":"2015-04-03T03:00:00","count":4},{"from":"2015-07-05T14:00:00","to":"2015-07-05T15:00:00","count":4}],"hasVideo":false,"brandUnsafe":false,"breakingNews":false},"editorsChoice":{"siteUrls":[],"networkUrls":[],"topRibbonWidgets":["http://nevada.scout.com/topic/players?type=videos&start=0&category=%22Football%20Recruiting%22&classYear=%222015%22&mediaTag=%22Spotlight%20Video%22&minimumInterest=%22Medium%22&team=%22Nevada%22"],"carouselStoryUrls":[],"storyStreamUrls":[],"storyStreamBlacklistUrls":[],"videoStories":[{"type":"StorySummary","containerType":"StorySummary","id":"1780966","siteId":"166","isPublicSite":true,"subdomain":"california","siteFolder":"/college/california","canonicalUrl":"http://www.scout.com/college/california/story/1780966-freshman-qb-max-gilliam-to-transfer","shortUrl":"http://california.scout.com/story/1780966-freshman-qb-max-gilliam-to-transfer","siteName":"BearTerritory.net","forumName":"","friendlySubdomain":"Cal","title":"Freshman QB Max Gilliam to Transfer","subtitle":"","seotitle":"Cal freshman quarterback Max Gilliam will transfer, has received release","caption":"","deck":"Cal freshman quarterback Max Gilliam has announced that he will transfer, and has received his full release from the Golden Bears.","dateOverride":"2017-05-26T12:19:35-07:00","authorOverride":"Ryan Gorcey","role":"Publisher","isActive":true,"isPremium":false,"isHotNews":false,"isRumor":false,"syndicationFlag":true,"isClassified":false,"hotNamesLinked":false,"storyImage":"http://img.scout.com/sites/default/files/styles/primary_image/public/2016/03/09/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-07%20at%209.58.37%20PM.png","mainImage":{"uuid":"490b16eb-70f2-4459-b410-2ee67b3a6acc","url":"http://img.scout.com/sites/default/files/2016/03/09/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-07%20at%209.58.37%20PM.png","title":"Max Gilliam","alt":"","description":"Max Gilliam takes a snap before Cal practice on March 7, 2016","credit":"Ryan Gorcey / Scout.com","focalPointX":50,"focalPointY":50,"width":663,"height":370},"thumbnailImage":"","heroImage":{"uuid":"490b16eb-70f2-4459-b410-2ee67b3a6acc","url":"http://img.scout.com/sites/default/files/2016/03/09/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-07%20at%209.58.37%20PM.png","title":"Max Gilliam","alt":"","description":"Max Gilliam takes a snap before Cal practice on March 7, 2016","credit":"Ryan Gorcey / Scout.com","focalPointX":50,"focalPointY":50,"width":663,"height":370},"authorImage":"http://img.scout.com/sites/default/files/styles/author/public/2017/04/10/Screen%20Shot%202017-04-10%20at%203.36.56%20PM.png","boost":0,"skipOnMobile":false,"primaryVideo":"http://widgets.boxxspring.com/MTg4OCwzODA1MjU0NA","hasVideo":true,"primaryVideoSummary":{"id":"MTg4OCwzODA1MjU0NA","name":"BTTV: Cal Freshman QB Max Gilliam 3/7/16","uri":"http://widgets.boxxspring.com/MTg4OCwzODA1MjU0NA","thumbnailUri":"http://pictures.boxxspring.com/pictures/530506","externalId":"38052544","publishDate":"2016-07-13T08:47:16.396864Z","durationMilliseconds":158000,"tags":[],"preferredMobileUri":"http://videos.boxxspring.com/hls_87b8853ec091a09f4de4910175e7cfea.m3u8","height":0,"width":0,"caption":"BTTV: Cal Freshman QB Max Gilliam 3/7/16"},"offsiteStories":[],"breakingNews":true},{"type":"StorySummary","containerType":"StorySummary","id":"1780970","siteId":"75","isPublicSite":true,"subdomain":"scouthoops","siteFolder":"/college/basketball/recruiting","canonicalUrl":"http://www.scout.com/college/basketball/recruiting/story/1780970-2018-pg-james-akinjo-adds-two-offers","shortUrl":"http://scouthoops.scout.com/story/1780970-2018-pg-james-akinjo-adds-two-offers","siteName":"Scout Hoops","forumName":"","friendlySubdomain":"Basketball Recruiting","title":"2018 PG James Akinjo adds two offers","subtitle":"","seotitle":"2018 NorCal PG James Akinjo discusses two newest offers","caption":"","deck":"James Akinjo is one of the top point guards on the west in 2018. 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