Greensboro (N.C.) Coliseum
4:00 p.m., RJ/ESPN
Duke Scouting Report
by Brett Ayers
Offensive Schemes - Duke is a team that first, second and possibly third in their line of thinking wants to run the ball up and down the court. They love getting three point shots for Ewing, Redick, even Duhon off the dribble in transition. If you do not get back and pick up you will get lit up from long distance by a team that is truly unselfish in all ways. In the half court, here is where Duke has a tendency to struggle. They do not have the great one-on-one player(s) of the past five or six seasons. They are still using that traditional high pick and roll, usually with Ewing, that has been their trademark of the past five-plus seasons. Now, however, they have thrown in a new wrinkle by putting in an option for Redick to run along the baseline and come off a pick from Jones on the low block instead of having Redick just wait for Ewing to come into the middle off the high pick and roll and set up for the kick out. Duke will also run a lot more double post free lance motion, and when Randolph and Horvath are in they will have those guys pop out to the perimeter frequently.
Defensive Schemes - Well, there will be no surprises here. Duke will man up, maybe extend it to the full court and possibly even spring a trap or two on the Heels. Once again, like with UConn, the keys for UNC to beat this tough bumping, grabbing, holding defense is to get a lot of good high and wide spacing along with a lot of off the ball picks. If UNC tries to run the high pick and roll stuff against Duke they will get eaten alive by the much more aggressive Duke defense. Raymond Felton will find himself starting the offense out at the half court line. Duke will also cheap shot on the defensive end, especially Jones. Carolina can not let this bother them or let him get in their heads. Ignore him and move on. Duke is the kind of team that will fall apart psychologically if you are able to be patient offensively and score on them with some ease. This is where they have been programmed by Coach K to take their cue from: defensive success. If it is not there, they tend to let other parts of their game go haywire.
Players to Watch:
Dahntay Jones - A guy who has been scoring a lot more for Duke, sans the FSU game. A guy who, and don't be fooled by the shooting outburst, wants to do two things. He first wants to get to the offensive boards and second wants to bait you into getting out of your game. Don't let him get to the offensive glass, keep him in front of you and don't let him bait you and you will neutralize Dahntay. He shoots better off the dribble and with someone in his face then when he has wide open shots. He tends to think about it and aim it too much.
Chris Duhon - Not having a great season points wise, but still capable, and even more so, of lighting you up from any distance at Cameron Indoor. A very poor on the ball defender with average foot speed. He will push the ball all game long and a guy you need to jam up right off the rebound.
J.J. Redick- He is just a freshman, but has range once he starts running out of the tunnel to warm-up. Not a very good on the ball defender and shoots better off the set coming towards his right shoulder than coming towards his left because he squares better. If you stay on top of the baseline picks and stay tight with J.J. off the high picks you should be fine. Don't leave your feet on his pump fake.
Daniel Ewing - The last of this very good guard group that carries this team. Daniel is a kid who can also put points on the board in a hurry. Loves to come of that high pick and roll for the pull up around the free throw line. Also likes the pull up along the baseline. Will shoot the three but a much more comfortable shooter inside the arc.
Shelden Williams - Has really started to come into his own in the second part of the season. Big, wide and has both a left and right handed jump hook from 5- to 7-feet out. Is still very mechanical in his movements and not very quick off his feet. Has the tendency to be like a bull in a china shop at times down low. Takes everything to the rim with two hands.
Probable Starting Lineup: Chris Duhon (6-1, G, Jr.) – 9.0 ppg, 6.8 apg J.J. Redick (6-4, G, Fr.) – 14.6 ppg, 41% 3pt Dahntay Jones (6-6, F, Sr.) – 17.2 ppg, 5.3 rpg Shelden Williams (6-9, F, Fr.) – 8.3 ppg, 5.8 rpg Casey Sanders (6-11, C, Sr.) – 4.7 ppg, 5.3 rpg Key Reserves: Daniel Ewing (6-3, G, So.) – 12.0 ppg, 3.2 rpg Shavlik Randolph (6-10, F, Fr.) – 7.4 ppg, 3.9 rpg Nick Horvath (6-10, F, Jr.) – 4.2 ppg, 3.1 rpg Sean Dockery (6-2, G, Fr.) – 3.6 ppg
Dahntay Jones ... J.J. Redick
Daniel Ewing ... Mike Krzyzewski
(Photos courtesy the AP.)