In fact, Oklahoma State has been as dominant in their series with Baylor as any opponent in recent years. Oklahoma State has won the past five meetings, including all three since Art Briles took over as Baylor's coach. The Cowboys have won 15 of the past 17 games between the two schools with that streak dating back to the 1983 Bluebonnet Bowl win in Houston.
Over the past four years with Briles as head coach, Oklahoma State has been as successful in beating Baylor as any of the Big 12 South rivals.
Baylor has only played Texas A&M losing 55-28. They still have to play Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, and Texas.
Baylor lost at Oklahoma State 55-28, lost to Texas A&M 42-30, won at Texas 30-22, and lost to Oklahoma 53-24.
Baylor lost to Oklahoma State 34-7, lost at Texas A&M 38-3, lost to Texas 47-14, and lost at Oklahoma 33-7.
Baylor lost at Oklahoma State 34-6, beat Texas A&M 41-21, lost at Texas 45-21, and lost to Oklahoma 49-17.
A lot of the talk this week has centered on the schedule for the Cowboys and that with Kansas State being unbeaten, Texas Tech coming fresh off an impressive victory against Oklahoma in Norman, and the danger of Baylor's offense and Oklahoma's bounce back that the Oklahoma State schedule remaining is more difficult than the first four games that included Texas A&M, Kansas, Texas and Missouri with three of those four being on the road.
Here's a statistical look at the Cowboys five remaining opponents using conference only stats.
lost @ Kansas State 36-35
beat Iowa State 49-26
lost @ Texas A&M 55-28
Coming Up: @ Oklahoma State, Missouri, @ Kansas, Oklahoma. Texas Tech in Arlington, and Texas
Scoring Offense: 37.3
Scoring Defense: 39.0
Total Offense: 505.3
Rushing Offense: 176.0
Passing Offense: 329.3
Total Defense: 487.3
Rushing Defense 219.0
Passing Defense 268.3
Beat Baylor 36-35
Beat Missouri 24-17
Won at Texas Tech 41-34
Won at KU 59-21.
Coming Up: Oklahoma, @ Oklahoma State, Texas A&M, @ Texas, Iowa State
Scoring Offense: 40.0
Scoring Defense: 26.8
Total Offense: 361.8
Rushing Offense: 209.5
Passing Offense: 152.2
Total Defense: 405.2
Rushing Defense: 97.5
Won @ Kansas 45-34
Lost to Texas A&M 45-40
Lost to Kansas State 41-34
Won @ Oklahoma 41-38
Coming Up: Iowa State, @ Texas, Oklahoma State, @ Missouri, Baylor at Arlington
Scoring Offense: 40.0
Scoring Defense: 40.0
Total Offense: 551.2
Rushing Offense: 133.8
Passing Offense: 417.5
Total Defense: 436.5
Rushing Defense: 190.2
Passing Defense: 246.2
Lost to Texas 37-14
Lost at Baylor 49-26
Lost at Missouri 52-17
Lost to Texas A&M 33-17
Coming Up: @ Texas Tech, Kansas, Oklahoma State, @ Oklahoma, @ Kansas State
Scoring Offense: 18.5
Scoring Defense: 42.8
Total Offense: 363.2
Rushing Offense: 148.0
Passing Offense: 215.2
Total Defense: 525.0
Rushing Defense: 270.2
Passing Defense: 254.8
Beat Missouri 38-28
Beat Texas 55-17 in the Texas State Fair
Won at Kansas 47-17
Lost at Texas Tech 41-38
Coming Up: @ Kansas State, Texas A&M, @ Baylor, Iowa State
Scoring Offense: 44.5
Scoring Defense: 25.8
Total Offense: 547.8
Rushing Offense: 150.2
Passing Offense: 397.5
Total Defense: 407.8
Rushing Defense: 135.2
Passing Defense: 268.5
There you have it, where the Cowboys stand with a solid half of a season behind them and some critical opponents coming up in the big easy chairs.
First, here is where OSU stats are compared to those others:
Scoring Offense: 45.8
Scoring Defense: 26.8
Total Offense: 509.2
Rushing Offense: 137.2
Passing Offense: 372.0
Total Defense: 445.5
Rushing Defense: 198.5
Passing Defense: 247.0
Before we get deeper into continuing to follow season long projections. Here is what we projected for the Missouri game.
Based on what we have seen all season and what we knew about Missouri, here were are stat projections for the game and below that what actually happened.
Rushing Att. - Yards – TD
Oct. 22 @ Missouri 31 - 187 – 2
Actual stats vs. MU 31 - 195 – 3
Passing Comp-Att-Int - Yards – TD
33 - 57 - 0 - 382 – 4
33 - 50 - 1 - 338 – 3
Plays – Yards
88 – 569
81 - 533
Pretty darn good, huh? Check it out from last week. Those were our numbers and we projected the score to be Oklahoma State 45, Missouri 27.
We are still following our trends and predictions from a couple of weeks ago on tempo and how many plays the Oklahoma State offense runs under new offensive coordinator Todd Monken. They have run more plays at a higher tempo thus far than Dana Holgorsen last season, and, in fact, almost reversed their numbers from the Texas A&M game a year ago. Monken's offense has used tempo to wear down several opponents and they are capable of going very fast. The number came down some against Kansas, but that was because the Cowboys were embarrassing the Jayhawks. Late in the game they also went almost exclusively to the run.
Last Season Opponent - # Plays by OSU - # Plays by Opp. This Season Predictions - # Plays by OSU - # Plays by Opponent followed by Actual
Washington State - 81 - 71 ULL - 87 – 71
Troy - 76 - 76 Arizona - 84 – 72
Tulsa - 77 - 79 @Tulsa - 88 - 79 Actual - OSU 88, Tulsa 85
Texas A&M - 68 - 106 @Texas A&M - 78 - 81 Actual - OSU 95, A&M 74
@ULL - 87 - 83 Kansas - 91 - 62 Actual - OSU 76, Kansas 81
@Texas Tech - 81 - 83 @Texas - 80 - 72 Actual - OSU 68, Texas 89
Nebraska - 71 - 79 @Missouri - 88 - 84 Actual - OSU 81, Missouri 80
@Kansas State - 75 - 75 Baylor - 85 – 84
@Texas - 75 - 70 Kansas State - 77 – 69
@Kansas - 86 - 66 @Texas Tech - 84 – 80
Oklahoma - 66 - 107 Oklahoma - 78 – 78
Alamo Bowl/Arizona - 88 - 61 2011 Bowl Game - ?
Head coach Mike Gundy answered that question, in part, when he talked about Smith coming in to run on fresh legs. The other part of that answer is that Smith is given different circumstances to run the football. Smith gets the ball on a lot of the short yardage and goal line situations when defenses are stacked to stop the run. You can call those the tough yards if you like.
Our question is, at the end of the year will the disparity of yards per carry and touchdowns be the same, almost two-to-one that it is after two games?
I will say that it won't and here are my projections for the stat line of both players at the end of the regular season, not counting the bowl game.
Joseph Randle: 217 carries - 1,257-yards - 5.79-ypc - 17 TDs
Jeremy Smith: 111 carries - 584-yards - 5.26-ypc - 11 TDs
The current numbers are:
Randle: 121 carries - 690-yards - 5.7-ypc - 12 TDs
Smith: 64 carries - 425-yards - 6.6-ypc - 7 TDs
I think after the huge game that he had at Texas that Jeremy Smith is going to out perform the production number we had on him. I know that Randle's numbers have gone below our prediction on his production but I have every confidence that he will rise back to those or even above. I think we may have underestimated the run production on the whole.