This is real easy as Texas Tech is getting pounded by the run game with the Red Raiders allowing an average of 249 yards rushing a game. They have not been able to stop it and a big reason is up front on defense Texas Tech is a little light in the drawers. Tackles Donald Langley and Kerry Hyder are 266 pounds and 260 pounds, respectively. The ends both weigh 256 pounds and the linebackers are 237 and 213 pounds. The Cowboys guard Martinez (310), center Garner (292), and guard Taylor (310) are much bigger and have a "sizable" advantage in this matchup. That trio has also being playing really well. So while the Cowboys aren't a power running team they do have some power in their run.
Advantage: Edge to Garner, Martinez and Taylor
OSU Cornerback Brodrick Brown vs. Texas Tech Wide Receiver Alex Torres
Texas Tech's leading receiver is Eric Ward with 57 receptions for 567 yards and 9 touchdowns, but Alex Torres is still very dangerous with 47 catches for more yards per catch at 585 yards. Torres is capable of going vertical running anything in between and is really good at the tunnel screen, which was a big play in victimizing Oklahoma three weeks ago. While Justin Gilbert is very athletic and has great speed, maybe as fast as any player on the Cowboys roster, it is Brown that is the most versatile of the cornerbacks and why he is a good fit to cover Torres. This should be a fun match-up to watch.
Advantage: Slight Edge to Brown
OSU Wide Receiver Justin Blackmon vs. Texas Tech Secondary
Texas Tech has had injury problems and depth problems in the secondary and in the last couple of weeks since his second half vacation because of a head injury at Missouri, Blackmon has been on fire. The returning All-American has kicked in the afterburners and is playing as well right now as he has all season. My guess is that Tech will try to double him and play a safety on top. Most of the time he still gets open and it helps the other Cowboy receivers like Tracy Moore last week to get open and make big plays. It is simply a bad draw that Tech gets Oklahoma State when they are so banged up in the secondary. Even when everybody is healthy, Blackmon is a load to deal with.
Advantage: Edge to Blackmon
I'm not advocating for the Oklahoma State offense to slow down, huddle up or look to double up possession time, but I am looking at Oklahoma State maybe running the football a little more than normal. The Cowboys can run the ball and the last two weeks Texas Tech has shown they can't stop it.
I know the Cowboys offense, in the words of coordinator Todd Monken is not anything like Texas with the power running game, but when it comes to running the football, the Cowboys have got game. More running, a little less throwing and the Cowboys don't score into the 50's. It's OK because they will get enough to win.
#2 Oklahoma State 41 @Texas Tech 21
Big 12 Predictions
#21 Texas 34 @Missouri 20
Baylor 48, Kansas 31
@#17 Kansas State 26, Texas A&M 24
Straight Up: 45-14
Against the Spread: 31-20
Not all games have point spreads as games versus FCS opponents do not.
Straight Up: 4-1
Against the Spread: 1-4
@#3 Oklahoma State 48, #17 Kansas State 24
@Texas 34, Texas Tech 28
@Iowa State 42, Kansas 20
@#7 Oklahoma 38, Texas A&M 14
Missouri 41 @Baylor 31