OSU-Missouri State: Match-ups & Prediction

The Cowboys go from prime time and being a part of one of the top games in the country to coming home and opening up the schedule at Boone Pickens Stadium with a familiar foe from the Missouri Valley and a familiar opposing coach in one-time Kansas head coach Terry Allen. There are many Oklahoma State fans fearful of a letdown in this one.

Unfortunately for Missouri State, and to the relief of any fans afraid of the Cowboys showing up flat, remember that as well as Oklahoma State played in Arlington against top-ranked Florida State they lost the game 37-31. The Cowboys are 0-1 on the season for the first time since the 2007 season.

The players are really upset about being 0-1 and that should serve as motivation enough for them to be ready at kickoff at 2:35 on Saturday. The overall match-up is that while Missouri State is a solid FCS team, the Cowboys are better in each measurable and should win handily.

Top Three Match-Ups
3: Oklahoma State receivers
vs. Missouri State cornerbacks Eric Phillips and Vashon Landers
The strength of the Florida State defense last week was that secondary, one of the best I have ever seen at the college leve. Because they were able to close on Oklahoma State receivers and play physical, even sometimes appearing to be guilty of pass interference, the Cowboys vertical passing game was quiet.

Quarterback J.W. Walsh was on the money with several throws only for them to be knocked away as the receivers tried to haul in the catch. Missouri State can't be as talented as the Seminoles and they have one side at corner where they start the true freshman Phillips and back him up with a true freshman in Matt Rush.

Jhajuan Seales, Marcell Ateman, James Washington, Chris Lacy, C.J. Curry, and Austin Hays should be eager to make some plays and the vertical passing game needs to get going.
Winner: Oklahoma State receivers

2: Oklahoma State offense tackles Daniel Koenig and Zach Crabtree
vs. Missouri State defensive ends Jermaine Hill and James Barnes
We had the Oklahoma State tackles matched up last week as well and they faired pretty well. In his first college action Zach Crabtree did fine. This week a different situation as the Cowboys find themselves up against a 3-4 defense and Missouri State will line them up at the four technique or four shade or four eye.

If the Cowboys are going to have success running the football then the offensive tackles must control these guys and that is the key to getting outside. After seeing 300-pounders from Florida State, seeing Barnes at 5-10 and 243 pounds will be quite the switch up. Hill weighs in at a hefty 290 pounds.

This should be a big win for the Cowboys and how well center Paul Lewis does with nose guard Cecil Bratton will also play an important role in the run game.
Winner: Oklahoma State

1: Oklahoma State running backs
vs. Missouri State strong safety Caleb Schaffitzel
Schaffitzel is a highly decorated player who is an FCS Preseason All-American after earning the postseason version of that honor last season. Missouri State head coach Terry Allen gushes over him and calls him a great football player that could start and excel for any team in the Big 12 Conference.

He makes a lot of tackles and loves meeting running backs head on. Head on is not likely the way he will confront Tyreek Hill. He will need to be extra quick for that chore. Then with Rennie Childs it is a tough punishing elbows and knees first running style. I truly think Schaffitzel is a good player, but he and the Bears defense will struggle with curtailing the Oklahoma State offense.
Winner: Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State-Missouri State Prediction
We were right last week in that we picked Oklahoma State to beat the point spread. Although, accept our apology Oklahoma State Cowboys players and coaches as we did not come close to 37-31.

This week the Cowboys take their shot at win number one. The Cowboys will have Missouri State overmatched on both sides of the football. Look for the Cowboys to come out fast as the motivation is there to get some younger players in the game and develop some depth. Some great plans like that in the past have been derailed by herculean efforts from the underdog. Not this time as Cowboys strike a big play early to kill the Bears momentum. Trench warfare also plays a huge role as the Cowboys dominate on offensive line and defensive line as well.

OSU 54, Missouri State 13

Big 12 Predictions
Last Week: 8-1 (straight up) / 4-2 (against the spread)
I missed Iowa State losing to North Dakota State and against the spread I missed on the close call West Virginia had with Alabama and I missed on Texas beating the spread with North Texas. (Note: Not all games have point spreads as FBS vs. FCS games often don't.)

#20-Kansas State 38, @Iowa State 10
Early conference game in Ames, and while the Cyclones are looking to bounce back from week one loss they have lost a couple of vital players.

#3-Oklahoma 35, @Tulsa 6
Rare trip to Tulsa for Oklahoma in this series. Oklahoma has no trouble shutting down the TU offense. It struggles with good opposition.

@Kansas 23, Southeast Missouri State 12
The first female official to ever work a Big 12 game is Cat Conti. She does well in a sloppy win for the Jayhawks.

@#9 Baylor 34, Northwestern State (La.) 14
Closer than expected with receiver corps depleted and Bryce Petty with an ailing back.

BYU 27, @#25-Texas 24
Texas disappears from the polls for the rest of the season. The wheels are coming off the Longhorns.

@West Virginia 42, Towson 14
Dana and the Mountaineers are eager to get their first win. Nick Sabin unaware all this is going on.

@UTEP 37, Texas Tech 35
Red Raiders offense can't bail out the defense in El Paso.

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