We all know what these matchups can bring as Oklahoma State has won seven games in a row against Texas Tech and in those seven wins they have averaged 50 points a game. I think they will come close but I'm picking them to be just a little bit lower.
So much on the line as Oklahoma State is in the thick for a Big 12 Championship run, and Texas Tech has its back against the wall needing to win two of the last three (other games at Iowa State and Baylor in Arlington) in order to be bowl eligible.
OSU Linebackers and Safeties
vs. Texas Tech QB #5 Patrick Mahomes II
Both TCU and Texas used a safety and a linebacker to spy or mirror or monitor Mahomes the last two weeks and it has apparently made him less comfortable as the numbers are down on the Red Raiders yards and point production. Mahomes is still a force and a major weapon, but it has been harder. Tech won the TCU game but lost again in front of the home folks in Lubbock. I'm not sure that Oklahoma State defensive coordinator Glenn Spencer will "spy" Mahomes, but I think he will definitely keep personnel monitoring him and it will be out of that athletic and in some cases very physical group of players. Mahomes is such a force that you want to use the ESPN Dan Patrick line, "you can't stop him, you can only hope to contain him."
My Call: Split at best, Mahomes will get his numbers, but if they are more like the last two weeks then the Cowboys will be happy.
OSU Wide Receiver #28 James Washington
vs. Texas Tech Cornerbacks #31 Justis Nelson and #3 D.J. Polite-Bray
I like Nelson and he has been a solid player for the past three years but Texas Tech has given top-flight receivers some of their best days this season, check OU's Dede Westbrook. Washington has had some tough weeks with extra attention starting at Kansas, but he is overcoming and so is quarterback Mason Rudolph. Washington is always revved and challenged for the game against his nearby school growing up.
My Call: Washington will get plenty of highlights and plenty of receptions and yards.
OSU Defensive Tackle #96 Vincent Taylor
vs. Texas Tech Center #51 Tony Morales
You know that Mahones does not want a big, athletic defensive distraction like Taylor roaming around in his eyesight and close enough to get his hands on him, but Taylor intends to do just that. Morales is a really talented blocker and the leader of this offensive line. Taylor has yet to meet a match he hasn't effectively dealt with and I'm thinking he will find a way to deal with Morales and then work to deal with Mahomes.
My Call: Taylor hasn't met a challenge or a match-up this season he hasn't conquered, enough said.
Oklahoma State-Texas Tech Prediction
Do you realize that if my final score is close that adds up to 83 points, which is close to the over/under that Vegas has put on this year's game. But it is 40 points less than the two teams piled on the scoreboard in Lubbock last season. I believe that the Oklahoma State defense, especially at home, will be better and that while Mason Rudolph and company will score their share of points, it won't be as crazy as it was last year when the Cowboys overcame two different 17-point deficits only to go on and win by 17 points.
#13 Oklahoma State 48, Texas Tech 35
Big 12 Predictions
Record: Last Week - SU 3-2 ATS 3-2; This Year - SU 41-17 ATS 28-22
@#11 Oklahoma 45, Baylor 20
Perine and Mixon are back for the Sooners and Bears are on the ropes.
#16 West Virginia 35, @Texas 28
A lot like the meeting two years ago in Austin, with a lot on the line for the Mountaineers and this time they pull through.
Iowa State 31, @Kansas 28
The battle to avoid the cellar goes to the Cyclones in a close fight to the finish.