OSU-OU Matchups & Prediction

Robert Allen breaks down Saturday's game Bedlam game against Oklahoma and gives his thoughts on the three key matchups in the game.

Three most dangerous OU players
1. Malcolm Kelly, WR
Kelly is by far OU's most explosive wide receiver and is capable of changing the momentum in the game with one play. He averaged 17.2 yards per catch. He simply has to be accounted for by the Oklahoma State secondary.

2. Curtis Lofton, LB
Lofton, who grew up an OSU fan in Kingfisher and nearly came to Stillwater, is the leading tackler on the OU defense with 124 stops. He also has 6.5 tackles for loss, but beyond that he is a turnover maker with two fumbles caused, two interceptions (one returned for a touchdown), and a fumble recovery. Reggie Smith gets a lot of publicity, but it is Lofton and cornerback D.J. Wolfe with four interceptions that pose the greatest problems for an offense trying to avoid turning the ball over.

3. Allen Patrick, RB
He was in Stoops' doghouse last week in Lubbock for the fumble on the first play that ended up giving quarterback Sam Bradford a concussion. But Patrick has been successful against the Cowboys, so you can expect him to get the ball on Saturday. Patrick has 637 yards on 117 carries for 5.4 yards per carry average. He has scored five touchdowns.

Three Key Matchups vs. OU
1. OSU ball security vs. OU turnover brigade
It is the biggest key to Oklahoma State having a good chance of winning the game, the Cowboys cannot turn the football over to Oklahoma. Neither team is having a great season in turnover margin as they are both running close to even, OU a little on the plus side and OSU a little on the minus side. Oklahoma can force turnovers and the Cowboys have to avoid it.

Another important battle is that OSU really battles is the penalties. Penalties killed a couple of promising drives at Baylor a week ago. Against a tough defense like OU, the Cowboys can't afford to help the defense get stops. No turnovers and few penalties and the Cowboys give themselves a decent chance.
Advantage: Even

2. OSU quarterback Zac Robinson vs. OU defensive ends
Sam Bradford probably plays at quarterback for Oklahoma, but the OU defensive ends Auston English and Alan Davis will not. No quarterback in the Big 12 can attack and ravage the defensive end position like Zac Robinson. His abilities can freeze even a good defensive end. Expect the Cowboys to put the pressure on that position and it is reasonable to expect Robinson to win provided the OSU interior offensive line doesn't allow the defensive tackles a lot of push up the middle.
Advantage: Zac Robinson

3. OSU offensive and defensive lines vs. OU offensive and defensive lines
In the many years where Oklahoma has won this game the trenches have been the reason. Going in it would appear on paper that Oklahoma has the advantage on both sides of the ball with its linemen. OSU doesn't have to dominate or even win the line of scrimmage, just keep it close to a stalemate and give the Cowboys playmakers an opportunity.
Advantage: OU lines

OSU-OU Prediction
OU head coach Bob Stoops said a little more than a week ago that his team never plans on being involved in shootouts. Well, he'd better get ready. Oklahoma State will move the football and the Cowboys will score. The key to winning will be getting the best defensive effort of the season from the Cowboy defenders and on offense not turning over the football. If those two things happen then this score could be reversed or better. If they don't then the score below will look good. In Stillwater I'd give the Cowboys the nod, but in Norman you have to favor OU and hope you're wrong. Oklahoma 38, Oklahoma State 34
Last OSU Prediction: Oklahoma State 48, Baylor 28 (OSU won 45-14)
OSU Prediction Record: 6-5

Big 12 Predictions
Nebraska 28 @Colorado 24
Texas 26 @Texas A&M 20
Missouri 35 Kansas 31 @Arrowhead Stadium in KC
Big 12 Prediction Record: 64-18


OSU Nonconference Opponents Predictions
Georgia 31 @Georgia Tech 10
Florida Atlantic 42 @Florida International 17
@Troy 48 Florida Atlantic 21 (Dec. 1)
Opponents Prediction Record: 30-8

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