Win the turnover battle
The Rebels have done a better job of holding onto the football as of late, and that needs to continue Saturday against ULM. The Warhawks are plus-five in turnover margin and have forced 15 fumbles so far this season. Averaging just one turnover per game, ULM has kept contests close by way of the turnover. Alabama had four giveaways and a blocked field goal last season in the ULM upset. Ole Miss needs to maintain possessions for two reasons: to capitalize on all scoring chances and to make the Warhawks travel a long field. Heavy favorites get in trouble after momentum-shifting turnovers that provide an opponent a short field - or worse, points.
Run the rock
ULM may have kept most games close, but it isn't because they stopped anyone from running the football. Opponents are averaging more than 200 yards per game rushing, and the Warhawks have already allowed more than 2,000 yards on the ground this season. With Cordera Eason having found his comfort zone and the offensive line improving, this should be a field day for the Ole Miss offense. Auburn ran for 321 yards, and Arkansas put up 183.
The Wild Rebel has been moved to a secondary option of late, and the base set rushing attack has responded. Pounding the middle with the true tailbacks and the outside occasionally with Dexter McCluster, expect the Rebels to establish a rhythm with the run and open up play-action opportunities for Jevan Snead in the passing game. Mike Wallace should finally be able to capitalize on a long reception or two. One note: watch to see how fullback Andy Hartman responds with his first extended playing time if Jason Cook can't go due to lingering effects from a concussion.
Contain the quarterback
ULM signal caller Kinsmon Lancaster is a true dual-threat quarterback that isn't scared to pull it down and take off. Lancaster has recorded 2,404 yards of total offense, with 550 of those coming on the ground. However, Lancaster hasn't fared so well against SEC defenses. The mobile QB totaled just 33 yards on 11 carries against Auburn, and Arkansas sacked him twice for his only recorded carries. He did throw for 270 yards against the Razorbacks. Lancaster's athletic ability is something to look for, but with Ole Miss' team speed, it shouldn't be a tremendous factor unless the Rebels break down fundamentally.
Make them kick
It is obvious that you won't to keep teams out of the end zone, but field goals have been quite the rough spot for ULM this season. Radi Jabour and Jeremy Gener are a combined 7-16 on field goals and have also missed two extra points. And it's not like the Warhawks have had extremely long attempts. ULM is just 1-3 from 20-29 yards out and 1-4 from 30-39. Jabour is 3-5 from 40 and out.
Keys to Victory: ULM
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