Most Likely Big Ten East Title Scenarios

Three programs are 6-1 in the Big Ten East heading into the final two weeks of the regular season. What are the most probable routes for each to get to the conference championship game?

Three teams sit atop the Big Ten East standings with 6-1 conference records. Here are the MOST LIKELY paths for each to reach the B1G championship game, set for Dec. 3 (8 p.m., Fox) at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis.

Note that if form does NOT hold this coming weekend (all three teams are multiple touchdown favorites), we will revisit these scenarios next week.

PENN STATE

Harvey Levine/FOS

Record: 8-2, 6-1

Remaining Games: @Rutgers (2-8, 0-7), Michigan State (3-7, 1-6)

The Nittany Lions Ideally Will: Win out.

They’ll Also Need: Michigan to lose another game. The Lions hold the head-to-head tiebreaker with the Buckeyes but not the Wolverines.

MICHIGAN

Harvey Levine/FOS

Record: 9-1, 6-1

Remaining Games: Indiana (5-5, 3-4), @Ohio State (9-1, 6-1)

The Wolverines Ideally Will: Win out. 

They’ll Also Need: Nothing. Two wins and the Wolverines are in. They will have a better conference record than the Buckeyes and they hold the head-to-head tiebreaker vs. Penn State.

OHIO STATE

Urban Meyer (USA Today)

Record: 9-1, 6-1

Remaining Games: @Michigan State (3-7, 1-6), Michigan (9-1, 6-1)

The Buckeyes Ideally Will: Win out.

They’ll Also Need: Penn State to lose a game. This scenario will give both the Lions and Wolverines at least two conference losses, and OSU would then win the East title outright.

KEY POINTS

• There are more than 20 overall possible scenarios in play. That’s why we narrowed things down to the “most likely” for the purposes of this discussion.

• Michigan is the only team that “controls its own destiny.” Wolverine fans can simply root for their team to rally after being upset at Iowa Saturday.

• If all three teams win this weekend, Penn State fans should be pulling for Ohio State to beat Michigan on the final week of the regular season. But…

• If all three teams win this weekend AND Ohio State beats Michigan, Buckeye fans should be cheering for Michigan State to beat Penn State (OSU-MICH will be a noon kick. PSU-MSU will more than likely be a 3:30 p.m. kick that same day). 


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