Pitt Basketball: A Look At The Numbers

After a look at the numbers, there's evidence to suggest Travon Woodall would have made the difference offensively in Saturday's loss to Marquette. In terms of rebounding, Pitt needs a better group effort, but so far this season has not proven itself to need one individual stand out from the others.

WHEN PITT WINS:
Pitt shoots better than 50 percent. Pitt shot 27-49 (55.1%) from the field in a 73-45 win over Georgetown. In its three losses, Pitt has shot no better than 44.2 %(23-52 vs Cincinnati). In losses to Rutgers and Marquette, Pitt hasn't even gotten to 40 percent, converting 21-56 (37.5%) shots and 23-58 (39.7%), respectively

Pitt has also been outrebounded in its three Big East losses:
Cincinnati - 37-32
Rutgers - 36-24
Marquette - 38-33

One number that doesn't add up, is the assist to turnover ratio:
Cincinnati (70-61 L) - 12 assists, 9 turnovers
Rutgers - (67-62 L) - 16 assists, 9 turnovers
Georgetown - (73-45 W) - 16 assists, 12 turnovers
Marquette - (74-67 L) - 13 assists, 10 turnovers

Defensively, on the other hand, has proven to be more in line with Pitt's 1-3 Big East record. Pitt only succeeds when taking away the pass and forcing a significant number of more turnovers:

Cincinnati (70-61 L) - 7 assists, 9 turnovers
Rutgers - (67-62 L) - 13 assists, 17 turnovers
Georgetown - (73-45 W) - 5 assists, 17 turnovers
Marquette - (74-67 L) - 12 assists, 12 turnovers

Despite an abysmal performance from the free throw line against Marquette (13-26), Pitt's free throw shooting has been pretty inconsistent as a whole. Still, nothing suggests this has been the factor in its win over Georgetown, or the other two Big East losses:

Cincinnati (70-61 L) - 15-25 (60%) to 25-35 (71.4%)
Rutgers - (67-62 L) - 12-17 (70.6%) to 17-20 (85%)
Georgetown - (73-45 W) - 14-20 (70%) to 17-26 (65.4%)
Marquette - (74-67 L) - 13-26 (50%) to 23-30 (76.7%)

From an individual standpoint, it might be fair to suggest that there are certain individuals that Pitt needs a fair amount of production from. Travon Woodall might be the best example. Jamie Dixon said Pitt missed him more on the offensive side in the loss to Marquette. That may be accurate.

When Woodall shoots better than 40 percent in a game, Pitt is 11-0 this season, 1-0 in Big East games. When he doesn't shoot at least 40 percent, Pitt is 1-4, including 0-3 in Big East games.

Lamar Patterson's career-high of 22 points clearly wasn't enough to make the difference on Saturday, but Patterson has shot 9-12 (75%) in his last two games. Pitt went 1-1 in those two games. He shot just 33% (6-18) in the first two Big East games, with Pitt going 0-2.

From an individual standpoint in rebounding, it's safe to say Pitt needs a better group effort. Steven Adams had nine rebounds in the loss to Cincinnati, and six in the loss to Marquette. Lamar Patterson led with seven rebounds in the win over Georgetown. While a double-digit output from Adams, Dante Taylor or Talib Zanna would be beneficial, there's nothing consistent in the numbers through these first four Big East games to suggest a higher output from any of them would alter the outcome, but Pitt does need better overall production. Adams averaged 5.5 rebounds a gam in Big East play--highest on the team. Zanna is averaging 3.5, and Taylor is averaging 2.0.

Jamie Dixon prides his teams on assist to field goal ratio as well. Strangely, that number hasn't added up in wins or losses:

Cincinnati (70-61 L) - 12 assists, 23 field goals
Rutgers - (67-62 L) - 16 assists, 21 field goals
Georgetown - (73-45 W) - 16 assists, 27 field goals
Marquette - (74-67 L) - 13 assists, 23 field goals

Despite the same number of assists in the loss to Rutgers and the win over Georgetown, Pitt had better success with more unassisted baskets.

That leads us to three-point shooting. Pitt converted 5-8 three-pointers in the win over Georgetown, good enough for 60 percent. In the three Big East losses combined, they've converted 16-56 (28.6 percent) combined. Pitt has shot better than 40 percent from three-point range in eight of 17 games this season. In the loss to Marquette, Pitt converted 8-20 (40%) of three-pointers. Patterson, however, was 6-7 in that game. The rest of the team was 2-13 (15.4%). Pitt is 6-2, with an average margin of victory of 16.8 points a game. In the other nine games where they shoot less than 40 percent from three-point range, Pitt is 7-2 with an average margin of victory of 16.2 points a game. Pitt needs more consistency in three-point shooting, and while it hasn't shown to be much of a factor on the season as a whole, it has proven to be a factor in its early Big East games.


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