Where are the fans for the BIG games at SJSU?

There were 26,000 + fans in attendance for the Boise St. game, which is not bad, but it should have been a sell out! SJSU is 6-3 overall and 4-1 in the WAC and has 3 games to play @ Nevada and homies against La Tech and Fresno St. SJSU should beat La Tech to get the 7 wins for bowl eligibility lock. I am still out on a limb and say they run the table and go 9-3 overall and 7-1 in the WAC.

Sorry about not getting an article out last week but I had to go to Seattle the morning after the Boise game and was gone until Thursday of last week.

We had a good time tending to family business and spending a few days relaxing. For you golfers out there if you are anywhere near Seattle you have to play Chambers Bay Golf Course. It will be the host for the US Amateur in 2010 and the US Open in 2015. It is well worth the price to play.

The Good:

26,000 + for the Boise St. game, not bad but it should have been a sell out…..

Giving up 24 points to Idaho was not good but Coach Tomey was playing a ton of youngsters early in the 3rd quarter…..

La Tech has only scored 24 point on the road in 4 games this season with the high being 14 points in Hawaii…..

La Tech has a good running offense but SJSU has a better rushing defense…..

The bowl picture is getting clearer…..SJSU is bowl eligible with 6 wins and should lock it up this weekend with number 7 against La Tech

Fresno St. is looking very pedestrian and more importantly beatable…….

Hawaii and Fresno St. both losing this past weekend to inferior teams…..

Good game from Myles Eden nice to see we have someone to back up Reed.

SJSU's special teams not giving up points this past week against Idaho….do it again

Strubeck going 3 for 3 on field goals good job Spartan……

For the betting crowd, Choker ended up 1 of 4 two weeks ago and now sits at 15 and 20 for the season last week was ok and my mythical pocket book is now down $840. SJSU, Fresno St., La Tech, NMSU failed to cover and Hawaii won outright.

For this week I fancy the following games Nevada (+1.5) @ Fresno St. I am going with Nevada, Cal (+20.5) @ USC take Cal, way too many points on this one, Hawaii @ NMSU (+3.5) take NMSU and La Tech (+8.5) @ SJSU take SJSU.

The Bad:

SJSU's defense giving up 14 points to Idaho in the fourth quarter…… SJSU defense giving up 220 yards on the ground to Idaho……come on Spartans you are better than that

The Bowl Bid Death Watch 64 slots and only 119 teams…..as of my last count this Sunday morning I figure 51 teams will not make it to 6-6 leaving only a four team margin for filling all the slots. Also 52 teams are bowl eligible after this past weekend. Thus we have 16 teams on the bubble. It looks likes the WAC will have 3 teams bowl eligible (Bosie St. and SJSI are already there and Fresno looks good) and maybe a fourth (Hawaii needs to win @ NMSU this coming week to have a shot). Nevada and La tech have a chance to get bowl eligible but it will take some huge wins on the road to do it. So I still think all the WAC teams will get a bowl spot. Boise St. still has a good shot at a BCS bid but needs Utah to lose to BYU or TCU at home…..a tall order but possible.

The Ugly:

Giving up 24 points to Idaho was ugly any way you slice it……

Losing to Boise St. for the umpteenth time……I am really getting sick of it….

Spartans defense giving up 358 total yards to Idaho……

SJSU can not blame the WAC/MWC/Big12 officials for mucking up the Boise St. game both teams had 11 yellow hankies for a whopping total 201 yards……this from two teams that are usually very disciplined…..just plain ugly…..

The WAC bowl watch is a bit clearer this week so here are my current predictions:

Utah St and Idaho are done for the year.

La Tech is 4-4 overall, 2-2 in the WAC and has 4 games to play against @ SJSU and NMSU and homeys against Utah St. and Nevada. They got a big win against Fresno St. but they have been stone cold on the road going 0-4 and white hot at home going 4-0. The best I can gather is the Bulldogs form Ruston go 6-6 but I think Nevada may get them at home so I am currently predicting 5-7 and no bowl for La Tech

NMSU is 3-5 overall, 1-1 in the WAC and has 4 games to play against @ Fresno St. and Utah St. and homeys against Hawaii and La Tech. NMSU loss to Idaho was huge and crushed this team's morale. They must run the table to get a bowl chance and even that may not be good enough. Right now I see the Aggies going 5-7 at best and maybe 6-6 but beating either Hawaii or Fresno St. is going to be a huge order. No bowl here and in fact if NMSU is below 0.500 by seasons end Coach Mumme will be looking for a new job.

Fresno St is 5-3 overall, 2-2 in the WAC and has 4 games to play against @ SJSU and Boise St. and homeys against Nevada and New Mexico State. Fresno St. will beat NMSU at the dog pound but other than that it looks tough to get to 7 or 8 wins. I give them a slight advantage against Nevada but this will be the pivotal game for Fresno St. thus I am seeing them at 7-5 for the season.

Hawaii is 4-5 overall, 3-3 in the WAC and has 4 games to play against @ NMSU and homeys against Idaho, Cincy and Washington St. Hawaii should beat Idaho and Washington St. to get to 6 wins. They will need to either beat NMSU on the road or Cincy @ Home to get the 7th win needed to get bowl eligible. I think Hawaii will get the needed win this weekend against NMSU. So I see Hawaii getting the Hawaii Bowl bid and going 7-6 for the season.

Nevada is 4-4 overall, 2-2 in the WAC and has 4 games to play against @ Fresno St. and La Tech. and homeys against Boise St. and SJSU. The only game they should win is against La Tech and the only game they should lose is against Boise St. The SJSU and Fresno St. are games that are winnable. However I think they loose both to SJSU and Fresno St and go 5-7 overall and stay home for the holidays.

Boise St. is 8-0 overall, 4-0 in the WAC and has 4 games to play against @ Idaho and Nevada and homeys against Fresno St. and Utah St. Lets just say I really blew the call on this one. Boise St. runs the table and has a chance at the BCS again. It all depends on what Utah does against TCU and BYU. They do go bowling and maybe BCS bowling.

SJSU is 6-3 overall and 4-1 in the WAC and has 3 games to play @ Nevada and homeys against La Tech and Fresno St. SJSU should beat La Tech to get the 7 wins for bowl eligibility lock. I am still out on a limb and say they run the table and go 9-3 overall and 7-1 in the WAC. The only questionable game is closing out the season against Fresno St. at Spartaville.

In summary I am down to projecting 4 teams in the WAC are bowl eligible, they are Boise St., SJSU, Fresno St. and Hawaii. With an outside shot for either Nevada or La Tech getting to a bowl game and having a 5th WAC team bowl eligible. This is the way I currently see it going down for bowl assignments.

Boise St. either goes to the Human or BCS bid….

If BSU gets a BCS bowl then SJSU goes to the Human Bowl in Boise, Fresno goes to the New Mexico Bowl and Hawaii goes to the Hawaii Bowl.

If BSU goes to the Human Bowl then SJSU goes to the Poinsettia Bowl, Fresno goes to the New Mexico Bowl and Hawaii goes to the Hawaii Bowl.

Hell in a week it could all change…..and boy did it over the last two weeks

This Week in the WAC

WAC Game of the Week is Nevada (+2.5) @ Fresno St.

Both teams need the win badly and a loss here for either team is going to doom the season because one of these teams will end up with 3 WAC losses after this one. Nevada has a very good run defense but virtually no pass defense. Fresno has good running game and a decent passing game. Likewise Nevada has a great ground game but a decent passing game and Fresno is good pass defense and a terrible rushing defense. SO what will happen in this game? Good question….I see Nevada going with a substantial ground attack and trying to play keep away with the ball and expose Fresno's weak defense against the run. Fresno will mix it up but try to strike quick through the air to build a double digit lead and force Nevada to pass and play catch up. I suspect this will be a close one with Fresno winning by a touchdown or less.

WAC Ugly Game of the Week is Utah St. (+31.5) @ Boise St.

The biggest question is will Boise St. cover a very large spread? I say no because this one will be over by the half and Boise will get a bunch of youngsters into the game. Boise St. wins this game by 20 or more points.

Pivotal WAC Game of the Week is Hawaii @ NMSU (+3.5)

Again both teams need to win this game to keep questionable Bowl runs healthy. NMSU needs this more than Hawaii but Hawaii is on the bubble and it could get burst in Las Cruces. A loss by Hawaii means they must run the table to bowl eligible. NMSU is already in a position of needed to run the table to get to 7-5 by seasons end. Both teams throw the ball well and both teams run the ball poorly. NMSU has a huge advantage in pass defense and pass offense. Again this game is close for a ton of reasons but I think Hawaii prevails with a pass defense just good enough and running offense that exposes a big problem for the Aggies. Hawaii by 3 or less.

Bowl Lock down Game of the Week La Tech (+8.5) @ SJSU.

The good news here is that La Tech has been pretty bad on the road by only scoring 24 points in 4 games for 6.5 point average. SJSU still has one of the best defenses in the nation and has an especially good rushing defense. La Tech can run the ball but has been suspect throwing the ball. The Spartans will shut down the La Tech running game and force them to throw the ball. SJSU will go for a mix of running and passing but will predominately throw the ball against one of the WAC's worst passing defenses. I also suspect after the Idaho performance by the defense that Coach Tomey will be laying into the defenders a bit in practice this week. So I see a win by the Spartans and maybe by double digits.

Hope to see all of you on Friday at Spartaville for the Dogs from Ruston…..

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