WR, TE Radio Preview: Stanford's Wild Card

Our 2013 preview podcast and accompanying stat analysis shifts to Stanford's wide receivers and tight ends. With so much fresh production needed, the Cardinal's passing game is the biggest wild card of them all. Listen on for more.



Radio Preview: WR and TE


If Stanford's level of offensive and defensive play remains constant from the wildly successful 2012 stretch run, the Cardinal can expect a solid 2013 season. It's easy to envision the defense maintaining similar effectiveness to last season; after all, nine of 11 Rose Bowl starters return on that side of the ball. The offensive variable, however, is a much bigger wild card, particularly when it comes to the aerial attack: 88 percent of Stanford's pass-catching production has graduated. Not a single receiving touchdown returns from last year. The tight ends on the Cardinal's 2013 roster do not own a single career catch.

There is talent; it's just unproven on this point. Ty Montgomery, Devon Cajuste, Michael Rector, Kodi Whitfield, Kelsey Young, Jordan Pratt, and Conner Crane are amongst the names looking to emerge on the outside, while Luke Kaumatule and Davis Dudchock will be two of the tight ends charged with picking up the slack left by the departures of Zach Ertz and Levine Toilolo. A recent Bootleg article emphasized the Cardinal's need to rediscover explosiveness in its downfield attack. The following table and accompanying podcast illustrate the challenges that face David Shaw's club when it comes to doing just that.

Stanford Passing Offense: Explosiveness Through the Years

Receiving TDs
% Pass Attempts > 15 Yards
% Pass Attempts > 25 Yards
2008
11
12.9%
4.2%
2009
14
23%
9.6%
2010
32
21.4%
7.9%
2011
38
18.9%
7.4%
2012
19
15.5%
5.3%
Note: For our overall Kevin Hogan - Josh Nunes statistical comparison, check out the table in preview Part 1. It should be noted that, for the purposes for explosiveness, Hogan (5.6 YPA) and Nunes (5.5 YPA) posted similar numbers. The Hogan difference came through third down efficiency (a 45-34 advantage) and red zone efficiency (74-52 touchdown percentage advantage over Nunes).

Interestingly, judging from the percentage of passing plays gaining over 15 yards, the 2009 Stanford offense was the most explosive in the Harbaugh-Shaw era (though fewer receiving scores indicate that the unit turned to Toby Gerhart to punch it into the end zone). The Cardinal's pure passing explosiveness has declined in every season since Andrew Luck's freshman campaign. One theory: the Farm Boys were forced to be most aggressive that year, when their defense was significantly worse than in the subsequent seasons.

The 2012 season saw explosiveness dip dangerously near pre-Luck levels, part of a trend the 2013 club will try to reverse.

Don't miss Part 1 of our extensive Stanford podcast preview, which focuses on the Cardinal's quarterbacks and offensive linemen.




David Lombardi is the Stanford Insider for The Bootleg. Check him out at www.davidlombardisports.com and follow him on Twitter @DavidMLombardi.

Are you fully subscribed to The Bootleg? If not, then you are missing out on all the top Cardinal coverage we provide daily on our award-winning website. Sign up today for the biggest and best in Stanford sports coverage with TheBootleg.com (sign-up)!


The Bootleg Top Stories

\r\n\r\nFollow @DavidMLombardi\r\n\r\n\r\nFollow @TheBootleg\r\n\r\n

\r\n\r\nRadio Preview: WR and TE
\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\nIf Stanford's level of offensive and defensive play remains constant\r\nfrom the wildly successful 2012 stretch run, the Cardinal can expect\r\na solid 2013 season. It's easy to envision the defense maintaining\r\nsimilar effectiveness to last season; after all, nine of 11 Rose\r\nBowl starters return on that side of the ball. The offensive\r\nvariable, however, is a much bigger wild card, particularly when it\r\ncomes to the aerial attack: 88 percent of Stanford's pass-catching\r\nproduction has graduated. Not a single receiving touchdown returns\r\nfrom last year. The tight ends on the Cardinal's 2013 roster do not\r\nown a single career catch.
\r\n
\r\nThere is talent; it's just unproven on this point. Ty Montgomery,\r\nDevon Cajuste, Michael Rector, Kodi Whitfield, Kelsey Young, Jordan Pratt, and Conner Crane are amongst the names looking to emerge on\r\nthe outside, while Luke Kaumatule and Davis Dudchock will be two of\r\nthe tight ends charged with picking up the slack left by the\r\ndepartures of Zach Ertz and Levine Toilolo. A recent Bootleg article\r\nemphasized the Cardinal's need to rediscover\r\nexplosiveness in its downfield attack. The following table and\r\naccompanying podcast illustrate the challenges that face David\r\nShaw's club when it comes to doing just that.
\r\n
\r\nStanford Passing Offense: Explosiveness Through the Years
\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

\r\n
Receiving TDs
\r\n
% Pass Attempts > 15 Yards
\r\n
% Pass Attempts > 25 Yards
\r\n
2008
\r\n
11
\r\n
12.9%
\r\n
4.2%
\r\n
2009
\r\n
14
\r\n
23%
\r\n
9.6%
\r\n
2010
\r\n
32
\r\n
21.4%
\r\n
7.9%
\r\n
2011
\r\n
38
\r\n
18.9%
\r\n
7.4%
\r\n
2012
\r\n
19
\r\n
15.5%
\r\n
5.3%
\r\n
\r\nNote: For our overall Kevin Hogan - Josh Nunes statistical\r\ncomparison, check\r\nout the table in preview Part 1. It should be noted that, for\r\nthe purposes for explosiveness, Hogan (5.6 YPA) and Nunes (5.5 YPA)\r\nposted similar numbers. The Hogan difference came through third down\r\nefficiency (a 45-34 advantage) and red zone efficiency (74-52\r\ntouchdown percentage advantage over Nunes).
\r\n
\r\n\r\n\r\nInterestingly, judging from the percentage of passing plays gaining\r\nover 15 yards, the 2009 Stanford offense was the most explosive in\r\nthe Harbaugh-Shaw era (though fewer receiving scores indicate that\r\nthe unit turned to Toby Gerhart to punch it into the end zone). The\r\nCardinal's pure passing explosiveness has declined in every season\r\nsince Andrew Luck's freshman campaign. One theory: the Farm Boys\r\nwere forced to be most aggressive that year, when their defense was\r\nsignificantly worse than in the subsequent seasons.
\r\n
\r\nThe 2012 season saw explosiveness dip dangerously near pre-Luck\r\nlevels, part of a trend the 2013 club will try to reverse.
\r\n
\r\nDon't miss Part\r\n1 of our extensive Stanford podcast preview, which focuses on the\r\nCardinal's quarterbacks and offensive linemen.
\r\n
\r\n\r\n\r\nTweet\r\n\r\n
\r\n\r\n
\r\n
\r\n
\r\n\r\n\r\nDavid Lombardi is the Stanford\r\nInsider for The Bootleg. Check him out at www.davidlombardisports.com\r\nand follow him on Twitter @DavidMLombardi.\r\n
\r\n

Are you fully subscribed to The\r\nBootleg? If not, then you are missing out on\r\nall the top Cardinal coverage we provide daily on our\r\naward-winning website. Sign up today for the biggest and best in\r\nStanford sports coverage with TheBootleg.com\r\n(sign-up)!

\r\n","mobileBody":" Follow @DavidMLombardi Follow @TheBootleg If Stanford's level of offensive and defensive play remains constant from the wildly successful 2012 stretch run, the Cardinal can expect a solid 2013 season. It's easy to envision the defense maintaining similar effectiveness to last season; after all, nine of 11 Rose Bowl starters return on that side of the ball. The offensive variable, however, is a much bigger wild card, particularly when it comes to the aerial attack: 88 percent of Stanford's pass-catching production has graduated. Not a single receiving touchdown returns from last year. The tight ends on the Cardinal's 2013 roster do not own a single career catch. There is talent; it's just unproven on this point. Ty Montgomery, Devon Cajuste, Michael Rector, Kodi Whitfield, Kelsey Young, Jordan Pratt, and Conner Crane are amongst the names looking to emerge on the outside, while Luke Kaumatule and Davis Dudchock will be two of the tight ends charged with picking up the slack left by the departures of Zach Ertz and Levine Toilolo. A recent Bootleg article emphasized the Cardinal's need to rediscover explosiveness in its downfield attack. The following table and accompanying podcast illustrate the challenges that face David Shaw's club when it comes to doing just that. Note: For our overall Kevin Hogan - Josh Nunes statistical comparison, check out the table in preview Part 1. It should be noted that, for the purposes for explosiveness, Hogan (5.6 YPA) and Nunes (5.5 YPA) posted similar numbers. The Hogan difference came through third down efficiency (a 45-34 advantage) and red zone efficiency (74-52 touchdown percentage advantage over Nunes). Interestingly, judging from the percentage of passing plays gaining over 15 yards, the 2009 Stanford offense was the most explosive in the Harbaugh-Shaw era (though fewer receiving scores indicate that the unit turned to Toby Gerhart to punch it into the end zone). The Cardinal's pure passing explosiveness has declined in every season since Andrew Luck's freshman campaign. One theory: the Farm Boys were forced to be most aggressive that year, when their defense was significantly worse than in the subsequent seasons. The 2012 season saw explosiveness dip dangerously near pre-Luck levels, part of a trend the 2013 club will try to reverse. Don't miss Part 1 of our extensive Stanford podcast preview, which focuses on the Cardinal's quarterbacks and offensive linemen. Tweet

Are you fully subscribed to ? If not, then you are missing out on all the top Cardinal coverage we provide daily on our award-winning website. Sign up today for the biggest and best in Stanford sports coverage with (sign-up)!

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