Clardy's Corner: The Red Zone

Where will the 119th Big Game be won or lost? To Troy, the answer is obvious.



As we all prepare for the 119th Big Game, one thing seems obvious to me. This game between Stanford and Cal will be decided in the red zone. Seems fitting, doesn't it?

But here's something that may not seem so obvious: I'm more interested in how the Card fare in the red zone on defense.

I'm not too concerned about whether Stanford's offense will be able to punch it in against the Bears. That certainly wasn't an issue last week in Eugene, when the Card moved the ball inside Oregon's 20-yard line five times, converting all five trips into touchdowns. There indeed was no stopping in the red zone for the Stanford offense last week.

Then again, you've seen that Oregon defense. I'm not sure if it's the worst I've watched in 23 years of following the Pac-12, but it might be in the conversation. And while I wasn't complaining about the results, I spent much of last Saturday afternoon trying to figure out whether Stanford's 52-point explosion last week says more about how well Stanford's offense is playing now, or how poor Oregon's defense has become. Both of those things can be true, by the way. But four days later, I'm still leaning towards the latter.

Oregon's defense is bad. Statistically, Cal's defense is even worse. Somehow, that doesn't seem possible, but it's true. Among Pac-12 teams, the Bears are dead last in red zone defense, scoring defense, total defense, rushing defense, sacks, and fourth-down defense.

Injuries have sunk the Bears' secondary, and the results have not been pretty. Eight of Cal's ten opponents have scored more than 40 points. Over the past five games, the Bears are giving up an average of 52.6 points per game.

So if a Stanford trip to the red zone on Saturday ends in Conrad Ukropina taking the field, something has likely gone very, very wrong. Actually, I'm starting to think that if any Stanford drive ends with a kick of any sort on Saturday, something has likely gone very, very wrong.

That's why, to me, the onus falls on Cal's offense to score, and on Stanford's defense to stop them. Particularly in the red zone. This will be the key to the entire game.

Cal is going to get its yards. They're too explosive not to. QB Davis Webb has played well beyond my expectations, and receivers Chad Hansen and Demetris Robertson are the real deal.

But against the Pac-12's upper half, the Bear Raid has struggled mightily where it matters most: in the red zone. Up in Pullman last week, a personal foul on Cal pushed the Bears out of the red zone, then they promptly missed a field goal. And on their next drive,Cal drove to the Washington State five, but Webb threw a pick in the end zone, essentially killing any chances the Bears may have had of staying with the Cougars.

It's a familiar story for Cal, one that goes back even to last year's Big Game. On five red-zone trips last year against Stanford, the Bears came away with a touchdown only once. They spent much of the first half kicking field goals instead of scoring touchdowns (then they ended the first half by kicking to Christian McCaffrey, who took it back 98 yards for six). Stanford's red-zone stands were the difference, the Cardinal secured The Axe again with a 35-22 win, and the Bears slinked off into the night.

By the way, in case you're wondering, Stanford is second in the Pac-12 in red-zone defense. That has been a point of pride and emphasis for David Shaw, defensive coordinator Lance Anderson, and the Card defense as a whole for several seasons running. Anderson doesn't get anywhere near the credit he's likely earned by now for the job he has done, by the way.

Stanford allowed a season-high 500 yards last week against the Ducks. That number may have caused some consternation among the stat geeks. Do not be surprised if the Bears approach a similar number this Saturday.

But if the Card allow half-a-thousand yards while still keeping Cal out of the endzone, don't get mad about it, either. Especially if Stanford is also racking up the takeaways, too.

Last year, I remember some Stanford fans complaining about the Cardinal's habit of giving up yards while not necessarily allowing scores. Is that preferable? No. In an ideal world, the Cardinal defense looks like the 2000 Baltimore Ravens on every possession.

Still, I'll take Stanford's "bend-but-don't-break" approach over Cal's "bend-then-break-into-a-thousand-pieces" approach any day. Those approaches will dictate which team leaves Memorial Stadium with The Axe, and which team is left in the dust.

********** ********** **********

RANDOM PAC-12 THOUGHTS

On the list of things I don't want to see happen to Stanford, Solomon Thomas coming off the field with assistance from the training staff is as close to the top as it gets. Fortunately, he should be A-OK for Saturday...

Most years, there's a team that emerges in November and establishes itself as The Team You Don't Want To Play. Usually it's a team that stumbles at the start, falls of the radar, then comes back with a vengeance. Last year, it was Oregon. This year, it's USC...

The Trojans had all the answers against Washington. Meanwhile, USC QB Sam Darnold's ability to reset, improvise, and throw on the run impresses me more and more...

Washington has missed Joe Mathis. Now Azeem Victor is done for the year. The star-power on that defense is going in the wrong direction at the wrong time...

Hey, College GameDay...I like Joel McHale, but the next time you go to Seattle and need a celebrity picker, call Sir Mix-A-Lot...

I love watching Gabe Marks play...

The last time Colorado and Washington State each finished with winning seasons? 2002. That was so long ago, the Sacramento Kings were still good...

As David Shaw astutely pointed out during Tuesday's press conference, the only polls that matter are the one that gets you in the playoff and the one that finishes the season. Still, am I the only one trying to figure out why, of the three top teams that lost last week, Washington had the "best loss", but still suffered the steepest penalty?

College hoops season is here? Already? Man, that was fast...

Another soccer season is in the books on the Pac-12 Network! Was a pleasure to wrap it up last week by calling the action as the Stanford men beat Cal in overtime. Such a thrill to be able to travel the conference, call matches, and tell the stories of some fantastic student-athletes...

Not a Pac-12 thought, but... about time we had a compelling Sunday in the NFL...

Not a Pac-12 thought, but... my wife (a lifelong Washington NFL fan) won't like me saying this, but kudos to Dallas Cowboys QB Tony Romo, and the way he has publicly handled Dak Prescott's ascension. I hope that his comments on Tuesday remind fans that pro football players are human beings, too. My suspicion, though, is that most fans still care much more about how Romo affects their fantasy team. Sign of the times...

Not a Pac-12 thought, but... United Airlines, I appreciate you dropping your prices, but I don't appreciate the fact that you can't accrue miles on these new fares. Can you tell me how that rewards and encourages repeat business?

********** ********** **********

PAC-12 PICKS

Oregon @ Utah (-14). Last month, Joe Williams set a Ute record with 332 yards rushing against UCLA. Keep that number in mind as this game progresses and while you watch the Ducks try to tackle Williams on Saturday. I like Utah by 23.

Washington State @ Colorado (-4.5). Who had this pegged as an important game before the season began? A win by the Buffs wouldn't surprise me. But I think the Cougs have a little bit more. I like Washington State by 6.

Arizona State @ Washington (-27). The Huskies take their frustrations from last week out on the Sun Devils. I like Washington by 25.

USC (-12.5) @ UCLA. The Trojans are heading in the right direction. The Bruins, well, are not. It'll be competitive, but I like USC by 14. A pick-six by USC makes the difference.

Arizona @ Oregon State (-6.5). Do I have to pick this game? I do? OK. I like Oregon State by 8.

Last week: 4-1 (straight-up), 3-2 (ATS).

This year: 28-7 (straight-up), 16-16 (ATS).

Last year: 30-15 (straight-up), 23-19 (ATS).

********** ********** **********

The 2016 season marks Troy Clardy’s 24th year of following the Cardinal as a columnist, broadcaster, and announcer. Troy also calls baseball, softball, soccer, and lacrosse games for the Pac-12 Network, and was the sideline reporter for the Stanford football radio network's broadcast of the 2016 Rose Bowl. In its 15th season of Cardinal commentary, Clardy’s Corner appears Wednesdays during the college football regular season on TheBootleg.com. You can also check him out online at TroyClardy.com, follow him on Twitter @TroyClardy, or Like him on Facebook.






Are you fully subscribed to The Bootleg? If not, then you are missing out on all the top Cardinal coverage we provide daily on our award-winning website. Sign up today for the biggest and best in Stanford sports coverage with TheBootleg.com(sign-up)!


The Bootleg Top Stories

Follow\r\n@TroyClardy\r\n\r\n

\r\n

As we all prepare for the 119th Big Game, one thing seems obvious to me. This game between Stanford and Cal will be decided in the red zone. Seems fitting, doesn't it?

\r\n\r\n

But here's something that may not seem so obvious: I'm more interested in how the Card fare in the red zone on defense.

\r\n\r\n

I'm not too concerned about whether Stanford's offense will be able to punch it in against the Bears. That certainly wasn't an issue last week in Eugene, when the Card moved the ball inside Oregon's 20-yard line five times, converting all five trips into touchdowns. There indeed was no stopping in the red zone for the Stanford offense last week.

\r\n\r\n

Then again, you've seen that Oregon defense. I'm not sure if it's the worst I've watched in 23 years of following the Pac-12, but it might be in the conversation. And while I wasn't complaining about the results, I spent much of last Saturday afternoon trying to figure out whether Stanford's 52-point explosion last week says more about how well Stanford's offense is playing now, or how poor Oregon's defense has become. Both of those things can be true, by the way. But four days later, I'm still leaning towards the latter.

\r\n\r\n

Oregon's defense is bad. Statistically, Cal's defense is even worse. Somehow, that doesn't seem possible, but it's true. Among Pac-12 teams, the Bears are dead last in red zone defense, scoring defense, total defense, rushing defense, sacks, and fourth-down defense.

\r\n\r\n

Injuries have sunk the Bears' secondary, and the results have not been pretty. Eight of Cal's ten opponents have scored more than 40 points. Over the past five games, the Bears are giving up an average of 52.6 points per game.

\r\n\r\n

So if a Stanford trip to the red zone on Saturday ends in Conrad Ukropina taking the field, something has likely gone very, very wrong. Actually, I'm starting to think that if any Stanford drive ends with a kick of any sort on Saturday, something has likely gone very, very wrong.

\r\n\r\n

That's why, to me, the onus falls on Cal's offense to score, and on Stanford's defense to stop them. Particularly in the red zone. This will be the key to the entire game.

\r\n\r\n

Cal is going to get its yards. They're too explosive not to. QB Davis Webb has played well beyond my expectations, and receivers Chad Hansen and Demetris Robertson are the real deal.

\r\n\r\n

But against the Pac-12's upper half, the Bear Raid has struggled mightily where it matters most: in the red zone. Up in Pullman last week, a personal foul on Cal pushed the Bears out of the red zone, then they promptly missed a field goal. And on their next drive,Cal drove to the Washington State five, but Webb threw a pick in the end zone, essentially killing any chances the Bears may have had of staying with the Cougars.

\r\n\r\n

It's a familiar story for Cal, one that goes back even to last year's Big Game. On five red-zone trips last year against Stanford, the Bears came away with a touchdown only once. They spent much of the first half kicking field goals instead of scoring touchdowns (then they ended the first half by kicking to Christian McCaffrey, who took it back 98 yards for six). Stanford's red-zone stands were the difference, the Cardinal secured The Axe again with a 35-22 win, and the Bears slinked off into the night.

\r\n\r\n

By the way, in case you're wondering, Stanford is second in the Pac-12 in red-zone defense. That has been a point of pride and emphasis for David Shaw, defensive coordinator Lance Anderson, and the Card defense as a whole for several seasons running. Anderson doesn't get anywhere near the credit he's likely earned by now for the job he has done, by the way.

\r\n\r\n

Stanford allowed a season-high 500 yards last week against the Ducks. That number may have caused some consternation among the stat geeks. Do not be surprised if the Bears approach a similar number this Saturday.

\r\n\r\n

But if the Card allow half-a-thousand yards while still keeping Cal out of the endzone, don't get mad about it, either. Especially if Stanford is also racking up the takeaways, too.

\r\n\r\n

Last year, I remember some Stanford fans complaining about the Cardinal's habit of giving up yards while not necessarily allowing scores. Is that preferable? No. In an ideal world, the Cardinal defense looks like the 2000 Baltimore Ravens on every possession.

\r\n\r\n

Still, I'll take Stanford's \"bend-but-don't-break\" approach over Cal's \"bend-then-break-into-a-thousand-pieces\" approach any day. Those approaches will dictate which team leaves Memorial Stadium with The Axe, and which team is left in the dust.

\r\n\r\n********** ********** **********\r\n\r\n

RANDOM PAC-12 THOUGHTS

\r\n\r\n

On the list of things I don't want to see happen to Stanford, Solomon Thomas coming off the field with assistance from the training staff is as close to the top as it gets. Fortunately, he should be A-OK for Saturday...

\r\n\r\n

Most years, there's a team that emerges in November and establishes itself as The Team You Don't Want To Play. Usually it's a team that stumbles at the start, falls of the radar, then comes back with a vengeance. Last year, it was Oregon. This year, it's USC...

\r\n\r\n

The Trojans had all the answers against Washington. Meanwhile, USC QB Sam Darnold's ability to reset, improvise, and throw on the run impresses me more and more...

\r\n\r\n

Washington has missed Joe Mathis. Now Azeem Victor is done for the year. The star-power on that defense is going in the wrong direction at the wrong time...

\r\n\r\n

Hey, College GameDay...I like Joel McHale, but the next time you go to Seattle and need a celebrity picker, call Sir Mix-A-Lot...

\r\n\r\n

I love watching Gabe Marks play...

\r\n\r\n

The last time Colorado and Washington State each finished with winning seasons? 2002. That was so long ago, the Sacramento Kings were still good...

\r\n\r\n

As David Shaw astutely pointed out during Tuesday's press conference, the only polls that matter are the one that gets you in the playoff and the one that finishes the season. Still, am I the only one trying to figure out why, of the three top teams that lost last week, Washington had the \"best loss\", but still suffered the steepest penalty?

\r\n\r\n

College hoops season is here? Already? Man, that was fast...

\r\n\r\n

Another soccer season is in the books on the Pac-12 Network! Was a pleasure to wrap it up last week by calling the action as the Stanford men beat Cal in overtime. Such a thrill to be able to travel the conference, call matches, and tell the stories of some fantastic student-athletes...

\r\n\r\n

Not a Pac-12 thought, but... about time we had a compelling Sunday in the NFL...\r\n\r\n

Not a Pac-12 thought, but... my wife (a lifelong Washington NFL fan) won't like me saying this, but kudos to Dallas Cowboys QB Tony Romo, and the way he has publicly handled Dak Prescott's ascension. I hope that his comments on Tuesday remind fans that pro football players are human beings, too. My suspicion, though, is that most fans still care much more about how Romo affects their fantasy team. Sign of the times...

\r\n\r\n

Not a Pac-12 thought, but... United Airlines, I appreciate you dropping your prices, but I don't appreciate the fact that you can't accrue miles on these new fares. Can you tell me how that rewards and encourages repeat business?

\r\n\r\n********** ********** **********\r\n

\r\nPAC-12 PICKS\r\n

\r\nOregon @ Utah (-14). Last month, Joe Williams set a Ute record with 332 yards rushing against UCLA. Keep that number in mind as this game progresses and while you watch the Ducks try to tackle Williams on Saturday. I like Utah by 23.\r\n

\r\nWashington State @ Colorado (-4.5). Who had this pegged as an important game before the season began? A win by the Buffs wouldn't surprise me. But I think the Cougs have a little bit more. I like Washington State by 6. \r\n

\r\nArizona State @ Washington (-27). The Huskies take their frustrations from last week out on the Sun Devils. I like Washington by 25.\r\n

\r\nUSC (-12.5) @ UCLA. The Trojans are heading in the right direction. The Bruins, well, are not. It'll be competitive, but I like USC by 14. A pick-six by USC makes the difference.\r\n

\r\nArizona @ Oregon State (-6.5). Do I have to pick this game? I do? OK. I like Oregon State by 8.\r\n

\r\n\r\n

Last week: 4-1 (straight-up), 3-2 (ATS).

\r\n

This year: 28-7 (straight-up), 16-16 (ATS).

\r\n

Last year: 30-15 (straight-up), 23-19 (ATS).

\r\n\r\n********** ********** **********\r\n\r\n

The 2016 season marks Troy Clardy’s 24th year of following the Cardinal as a columnist, broadcaster, and announcer. Troy also calls baseball, softball, soccer, and lacrosse games for the Pac-12 Network, and was the sideline reporter for the Stanford football radio network's broadcast of the 2016 Rose Bowl. In its 15th season of Cardinal commentary, Clardy’s Corner appears Wednesdays during the college football regular season on TheBootleg.com. You can also check him out online at TroyClardy.com, follow him on Twitter @TroyClardy, or Like him on Facebook.

\r\n

\r\n




\r\n

Are you fully subscribed to The Bootleg? If not, then you are missing out on all the top Cardinal coverage we provide daily on our award-winning website. Sign up today for the biggest and best in Stanford sports coverage with TheBootleg.com(sign-up)!

","mobileBody":" Follow @TroyClardy

As we all prepare for the 119th Big Game, one thing seems obvious to me. This game between Stanford and Cal will be decided in the red zone. Seems fitting, doesn't it?

But here's something that may not seem so obvious: I'm more interested in how the Card fare in the red zone on defense.

I'm not too concerned about whether Stanford's offense will be able to punch it in against the Bears. That certainly wasn't an issue last week in Eugene, when the Card moved the ball inside Oregon's 20-yard line five times, converting all five trips into touchdowns. There indeed was no stopping in the red zone for the Stanford offense last week.

Then again, you've seen that Oregon defense. I'm not sure if it's the worst I've watched in 23 years of following the Pac-12, but it might be in the conversation. And while I wasn't complaining about the results, I spent much of last Saturday afternoon trying to figure out whether Stanford's 52-point explosion last week says more about how well Stanford's offense is playing now, or how poor Oregon's defense has become. Both of those things can be true, by the way. But four days later, I'm still leaning towards the latter.

Oregon's defense is bad. Statistically, Cal's defense is even worse. Somehow, that doesn't seem possible, but it's true. Among Pac-12 teams, the Bears are dead last in red zone defense, scoring defense, total defense, rushing defense, sacks, and fourth-down defense.

Injuries have sunk the Bears' secondary, and the results have not been pretty. Eight of Cal's ten opponents have scored more than 40 points. Over the past five games, the Bears are giving up an average of 52.6 points per game.

So if a Stanford trip to the red zone on Saturday ends in Conrad Ukropina taking the field, something has likely gone very, very wrong. Actually, I'm starting to think that if any Stanford drive ends with a kick of any sort on Saturday, something has likely gone very, very wrong.

That's why, to me, the onus falls on Cal's offense to score, and on Stanford's defense to stop them. Particularly in the red zone. This will be the key to the entire game.

Cal is going to get its yards. They're too explosive not to. QB Davis Webb has played well beyond my expectations, and receivers Chad Hansen and Demetris Robertson are the real deal.

But against the Pac-12's upper half, the Bear Raid has struggled mightily where it matters most: in the red zone. Up in Pullman last week, a personal foul on Cal pushed the Bears out of the red zone, then they promptly missed a field goal. And on their next drive,Cal drove to the Washington State five, but Webb threw a pick in the end zone, essentially killing any chances the Bears may have had of staying with the Cougars.

It's a familiar story for Cal, one that goes back even to last year's Big Game. On five red-zone trips last year against Stanford, the Bears came away with a touchdown only once. They spent much of the first half kicking field goals instead of scoring touchdowns (then they ended the first half by kicking to Christian McCaffrey, who took it back 98 yards for six). Stanford's red-zone stands were the difference, the Cardinal secured The Axe again with a 35-22 win, and the Bears slinked off into the night.

By the way, in case you're wondering, Stanford is second in the Pac-12 in red-zone defense. That has been a point of pride and emphasis for David Shaw, defensive coordinator Lance Anderson, and the Card defense as a whole for several seasons running. Anderson doesn't get anywhere near the credit he's likely earned by now for the job he has done, by the way.

Stanford allowed a season-high 500 yards last week against the Ducks. That number may have caused some consternation among the stat geeks. Do not be surprised if the Bears approach a similar number this Saturday.

But if the Card allow half-a-thousand yards while still keeping Cal out of the endzone, don't get mad about it, either. Especially if Stanford is also racking up the takeaways, too.

Last year, I remember some Stanford fans complaining about the Cardinal's habit of giving up yards while not necessarily allowing scores. Is that preferable? No. In an ideal world, the Cardinal defense looks like the 2000 Baltimore Ravens on every possession.

Still, I'll take Stanford's \"bend-but-don't-break\" approach over Cal's \"bend-then-break-into-a-thousand-pieces\" approach any day. Those approaches will dictate which team leaves Memorial Stadium with The Axe, and which team is left in the dust.

********** ********** **********

RANDOM PAC-12 THOUGHTS

On the list of things I don't want to see happen to Stanford, Solomon Thomas coming off the field with assistance from the training staff is as close to the top as it gets. Fortunately, he should be A-OK for Saturday...

Most years, there's a team that emerges in November and establishes itself as The Team You Don't Want To Play. Usually it's a team that stumbles at the start, falls of the radar, then comes back with a vengeance. Last year, it was Oregon. This year, it's USC...

The Trojans had all the answers against Washington. Meanwhile, USC QB Sam Darnold's ability to reset, improvise, and throw on the run impresses me more and more...

Washington has missed Joe Mathis. Now Azeem Victor is done for the year. The star-power on that defense is going in the wrong direction at the wrong time...

Hey, College GameDay...I like Joel McHale, but the next time you go to Seattle and need a celebrity picker, call Sir Mix-A-Lot...

I love watching Gabe Marks play...

The last time Colorado and Washington State each finished with winning seasons? 2002. That was so long ago, the Sacramento Kings were still good...

As David Shaw astutely pointed out during Tuesday's press conference, the only polls that matter are the one that gets you in the playoff and the one that finishes the season. Still, am I the only one trying to figure out why, of the three top teams that lost last week, Washington had the \"best loss\", but still suffered the steepest penalty?

College hoops season is here? Already? Man, that was fast...

Another soccer season is in the books on the Pac-12 Network! Was a pleasure to wrap it up last week by calling the action as the Stanford men beat Cal in overtime. Such a thrill to be able to travel the conference, call matches, and tell the stories of some fantastic student-athletes...

Not a Pac-12 thought, but... about time we had a compelling Sunday in the NFL...

Not a Pac-12 thought, but... my wife (a lifelong Washington NFL fan) won't like me saying this, but kudos to Dallas Cowboys QB Tony Romo, and the way he has publicly handled Dak Prescott's ascension. I hope that his comments on Tuesday remind fans that pro football players are human beings, too. My suspicion, though, is that most fans still care much more about how Romo affects their fantasy team. Sign of the times...

Not a Pac-12 thought, but... United Airlines, I appreciate you dropping your prices, but I don't appreciate the fact that you can't accrue miles on these new fares. Can you tell me how that rewards and encourages repeat business?

********** ********** **********

PAC-12 PICKS

Oregon @ Utah (-14). Last month, Joe Williams set a Ute record with 332 yards rushing against UCLA. Keep that number in mind as this game progresses and while you watch the Ducks try to tackle Williams on Saturday. I like Utah by 23.

Washington State @ Colorado (-4.5). Who had this pegged as an important game before the season began? A win by the Buffs wouldn't surprise me. But I think the Cougs have a little bit more. I like Washington State by 6.

Arizona State @ Washington (-27). The Huskies take their frustrations from last week out on the Sun Devils. I like Washington by 25.

USC (-12.5) @ UCLA. The Trojans are heading in the right direction. The Bruins, well, are not. It'll be competitive, but I like USC by 14. A pick-six by USC makes the difference.

Arizona @ Oregon State (-6.5). Do I have to pick this game? I do? OK. I like Oregon State by 8.

Last week: 4-1 (straight-up), 3-2 (ATS).

This year: 28-7 (straight-up), 16-16 (ATS).

Last year: 30-15 (straight-up), 23-19 (ATS).

********** ********** **********

The 2016 season marks Troy Clardy’s 24th year of following the Cardinal as a columnist, broadcaster, and announcer. Troy also calls baseball, softball, soccer, and lacrosse games for the Pac-12 Network, and was the sideline reporter for the Stanford football radio network's broadcast of the 2016 Rose Bowl. In its 15th season of Cardinal commentary, Clardy’s Corner appears Wednesdays during the college football regular season on TheBootleg.com. You can also check him out online at TroyClardy.com, follow him on Twitter @TroyClardy, or Like him on Facebook.






Are you fully subscribed to The Bootleg? If not, then you are missing out on all the top Cardinal coverage we provide daily on our award-winning website. Sign up today for the biggest and best in Stanford sports coverage with TheBootleg.com(sign-up)!

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