Posts of the Week

With BCS and other bowl scenarios in dramatic flux, Big Game week, and the start of the hoops season, it's no surprise that the message boards on the Booty were in rare form this week. Picking the Posts of the Week was a tough job, but here are four that rose to the top. Congrats to Jeff83, Pip97, DOTP and rastaman85!

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Posts of the Week

Each week, we will highlight a few entertaining and/or informative posts from the previous week. Please keep in mind that it is hard to keep track/prioritize all posts so we would welcome input from all Booties. You can make a "Bootie Selection" post as a response to any post that you deem worthy or you can email a link (to the nominated post) to me at lars@thebootleg.com.

Below are the posts that made this week's list:

 

Poster: Jeff83
Subject:
I'm thinking 8-1 (pre-season)
Date: 11/13/01

@ NM - tough venue, good coach, tons of points return. Lots of quick guards, but the cynic in me sees guys that weren't that great when they were in the Pac-10 (Douglas, Carey) and no size at all. W

Southern Utah - not to be taken lightly but no way we lose this at home. W

Purdue (@Indy) - will be tough until Mad Dog elbows Miller... oops, never mind. Picked for middle of Big 10 which means a tough game on a sure to be non-neutral site. But a W

Texas (@Chicago) - VERY tough game, particularly with the silly 11 a.m start time (I was at the UConn noon EST debacle). TJ Ford is a frosh but makes Jason Williams look slow. A nail biter. L

LBSU - nervous about this one. Played us tough for quite a while last year and have everyone back. Tight W.

Stanford Invitational - Belmont Bruins ? Man, I thought I'd heard of everybody... W, W.

BYU (Vegas) - not fair that we play the one team that won't be tempted by nightlife. Gaudy record of last year won't be repeated. Surprisingly easy W

Mich St (Oakland) - I personally think this is the most interesting game of the season, ANYWHERE. Two teams that have established themselves as perennial top 5, currently 13 and 15 in the polls, each missing 4 starters, each with a frosh McDonalds AA in the starting lineup, only 1 senior between them. Stanford fan base distracted by upcoming Fiesta Bowl (OSU over OU, WSU over UW, we win out, think it works). Another nail biter but Casey sinks a bank shot with 3 seconds left for the big W, Tiger skys.

Granted we do have a tough schedule and 3 losses is certainly possible, 4 maybe, but 5 ? No way. Just having Casey guarantees at least 5-4. (my crystal ball sees his career high jumping from 27 to 40+ vs a big name school)

 

Poster: Pip97
Subject:
bowl possibilities (long)
Date: 11/13/01

After looking through it, I think Stanford is still in the running for up to 8 bowls. As I see it, here are the possibilities (I'm sure there are some scenarios or possibilities that I missed). I also slapped some fairly arbitrary probabilities on certain games/events, and did the math to try to figure out where we were most likely to end up:

Rose Bowl (1/3, Pasadena)
BCS #1 vs. BCS #2
Likely opponent: Nebraska
What needs to happen:
- the planets align, there is peace in the Middle East, Stanford brings back the bonfire
- Miami loses to Syracuse, Washington, and Virginia Tech
- Texas loses to A & M, and loses to Nebraska in Big-12 Championship Game
- Oklahoma loses to both Texas Tech and OK State (note: Oklahoma must lose both games, b/c if they win 1 and Texas loses, Oklahoma would play in the Big 12 Championship Game instead, denying Texas a chance for a third loss)
- Oregon gets absolutely crushed by OSU
- Washington barely squeaks by WSU--UW stays about the same in the polls, voters penalize WSU severely
- Tennessee loses to Kentucky and Vandy, but beats Florida
- Florida loses to FSU and Tennessee
- Stanford wins out & outscores kal, ND, & SJSU by a combined score of 162 - 3
RESULT: Stanford rises to #2 in the BCS, plays for the national championship in Pasadena
p != 0

Fiesta Bowl (1/1, Tempe)
Pac-10 #1 vs. Big-12 #1
Likely opponent: Michigan (Big-12 #1 goes to Rose Bowl)
What needs to happen:
Scenario 1:
- University presidents either refuse to vote or vote no on the Pac-10 bylaw that would grant WSU full credit for their W over MT St.
- OSU beats Oregon
- UW beats WSU
- Stanford beats kal
RESULT: Stanford is co-Pac-10 champ with UO, UW, WSU, Stanford wins tiebreakers
p1 = .02
Scenario 2:
- Miami beats UW, but loses to Syracuse and VA Tech
- Oregon crushes OSU, clinches Pac-10 Championship
- Oklahoma wins two close games, gets crushed by Nebraska in Big 12 Championship game
- UW beats WSU handily
- Tennessee loses to Kentucky and Vandy, but beats Florida
- Florida loses to FSU and Tennessee
- Texas gets waxed by A & M
- Stanford wins out & outscores kal, ND, & SJSU by a combined score of 162 - 3
RESULT: Oregon rises to #2 in the BCS, plays for the NC, Stanford rises to BCS #4 (behind Nebraska, Oregon, Oklahoma), gets at-large bid
p2 != 0
p = p1 + p2 = .02

Sugar Bowl (1/1, N'awlins)
SEC #1 vs. BCS at-large
Likely opponent: Florida
OR
Orange Bowl (1/2, Miami)
ACC #1 vs. Big Least #1
Likely opponent: Maryland
What needs to happen:
Scenario 1:
- UW crushes WSU
- UO crushes OSU
- Tennessee or Florida lose twice
- Miami beats UW, but loses to Syracuse and VA Tech
- Texas gets waxed by A & M
- Stanford wins out & outscores kal, ND, & SJSU by a combined score of 162 - 3
RESULT: Oregon plays in Fiesta Bowl, Stanford gets at-large BCS bid
p1 != 0
Scenario 2:
- OSU beats UO
- WSU beats UW
- Tennessee or Florida lose twice
- Miami beats UW, but loses to Syracuse and VA Tech
- Texas gets waxed by A & M
- Stanford wins out & outscores kal, ND, & SJSU by a combined score of 162 - 3
RESULT: WSU plays in Fiesta Bowl, Stanford gets at-large BCS bid
p2 != 0
p = p1 + p2 != 0

Holiday Bowl (12/28, San Diego)
Pac-10 #2 vs. Big-12 #3
Likely opponent: Colorado
What needs to happen:
Scenario 1:
- WSU beats UW
- OSU beats UO
- Stanford beats kal
RESULT:WSU wins the conference & goes to the Fiesta Bowl, Stanford is #2
p1 = .18
Scenario 2:
- UO beats OSU
- WSU beats UW
- Stanford beats kal
- Tennessee or Florida lose twice
- Miami beats UW, but loses to Syracuse and VA Tech
- Texas gets waxed by A & M
RESULT: WSU and Oregon go into the BCS, Stanford elevated to the Holiday Bowl
p2 != 0
Scenario 3:
- UO beats OSU
- UW beats WSU
- Stanford beats kal
RESULT: Conference finishes UO, UW, WSU, Stanford, but UW & Stanford trade bowls
p3 = .093
Scenario 4:
- OSU beats UO
- UW beats WSU
- University presidents vote yes on bylaw amendment
- Stanford beats kal
RESULT: Conference finishes UO, UW, WSU, Stanford, but UW & Stanford trade bowls
p4 = .033
p = p1 + p2 + p3 + p4 = .307

Sun Bowl (12/31, El Paso)
Pac-10 #3 vs. Little 10 #5
Likely opponent: Wisconsin
What needs to happen:
Scenario 1:
- UO beats OSU
- WSU beats UW
- Stanford beats kal
RESULT : Stanford finishes alone in 3rd
p1 = .42
Scenario 2:<


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