Boot Power Ratings™

What to my wondering eyes should appear, but a tie at the top, so let's have a beer! The mighty Bruins stumble at Washington, while a Tree falls on the Oregons. Key injuries are playing a factor with six teams still within a half game of .500. Reminder: the bottom four teams "play in" to the conference tourney bracket, with the winners facing the #1 or #2 seeds, so keep an eye on a battle for 6th.

Pac-10 BootPowerRatings
As of 2/13/08

Below are our exclusive BootPowerRatings™ of the Pac-10 conference. Each week during the basketball season, we will release our secret-formula rating of all teams of the Pac-10. The BootPowerRating™ (BPR) is calculated by utilizing a wide range of factors rumored to include: past results, statistics, common-opponent comparative results factor, strength-of-schedule, home-venue environment, cheerleader attitude and an unrevealed school spirit multiplier. The resulting rating score falls within a 1-100 scale, where 100 approximates a championship-bound team and a score of 1 is somewhere south of D-1.

1. UCLA (9-2)
[BPR=93]
Bruins pull away from WSU at Pullman in the final eight minutes or so, solid but limited bench (26 minutes) makes up for absent LRMaM. No such luck at the dog pound, where they run their losing streak to four. How do you hold Brockman to 12, allow just three 3-pointers and still lose by 10? How about two points in 36 minutes on 1-9 shooting from the bench, 1-16 from three-point land overall. Biggest regular season game of the year on deck as the Love Children try to avenge a home loss to USC by returning the favor. Luc probable, his effectiveness key against bouncy Trojans. Polls:6 Sagarin:5 RPI:9  [Bruin Report Online]
2. Stanford (9-2)
[BPR=86]
First time ranked in the top 10 in four years. Held Oregon to their lowest point total in 16 years while extending the home winning streak against them to an amazing 22 years. Cardinal fired on all cylinders in 72-43 quack down, then dominated the backboard in an uninspired victory over OSU. For those scoring at home, that's seven straight wins for the Beloveds, Arizona trip on deck. Polls:7 Sagarin:8 RPI:19  [TheBootleg.com]
3. Washington St. (6-5)
[BPR=80]
Normally the Boot Computer frowns upon home splits, but Cougs the rare exception as they played UCLA tough, crushed USC and, perhaps more importantly, are the healthiest of the Pac pack. Favorable stretch schedule starts with a trip to Corvallis. Polls:21,20 Sagarin:13 RPI:24  [Cougfan.com]
4. USC (6-5)
[BPR=79]
Observant readers may recall the statement here a few weeks ago about the Troy Boys' sky high Beta. Never was that more in evidence than last week's schizophrenic performance. They blitz the Huskies by 14 in their home kennel, then get turned into a scratching post by the Kittens two days later by 24. Even worse than the loss was the news that PG Daniel Hackett's "bruise" was actually a stress fracture in his back. Five home games left to play is helpful, they start with the toughest as UCLA comes a calling. Polls:NR,38 Sagarin:28 RPI:37  [SCPlaybook]
5. Arizona St. (5-5)
[BPR=78]
Such is the state of the conference that a single win at Arizona jumps the Devils three spots. Derek Glasser dominated play with pinpoint passing and clearly had more than the eight assists the scorer credited him with. Speaking of which, what is the deal with blocks and assists in the Pac-10? The official scorers constantly short change these two categories, are they really that hard to see? ASU is healthy and relieved that their five game skid is over, but things don't get easier for their struggling offense with the Cardinal coming to visit. kal, on the other hand… Polls:NR Sagarin:43 RPI:73  [DevilsDigest.com]
6. Arizona (5-5)
[BPR=77]
Must have set some sort of dubious record, with Jerryd Bayless outscoring his teammates 39-15 in the ugly home loss to ASU. Jordan Hill their only player who ever sets foot in the paint, PG Wise likely out for the year, and last in the conference in FG% allowed. There hasn't been a less scary Wildcat squad in decades. Getting an awful lot of RPI credit for losing to Kansas and Memphis. Just a thought – how different would things look if Marcus Williams was starting at forward in Tucson instead of coming off the bench for the Austin Toros? Huge home stand vs. Bay pair on tap. Polls:31,34 Sagarin:22 RPI:13  [WildcatInsider.com]
7. Oregon (5-6)
[BPR=75]
Stanford's defense is clearly better than kal's, but the Ducks made it seem like they went from playing the San Antonio Spurs to the Washington Generals. 43 points one night, 92 the next? I guess 4-18 from three-point land isn't quite as good as 18-31. Their 257 three point attempts in 11 conference games is 30% more than 2nd place. Season could be riding on this week's pair against the Washingtons – home losses are RPI killers. Polls:NR Sagarin:38 RPI:43  [eDuck]
8. California (5-6)
[BPR=74]
Not what they had in mind. Fresh off a shocking road sweep in Washington, the Braunettes were finally supposed to show the home fans a good time (four straight home losses). Instead they sneak past OSU and then get blown out by the Ducks' second half 3-point barrage. Clearly the team feels like the rest of us and enjoys being out of Berkeley, perhaps a trip to the land of the Saguaro is just what they need. Polls:NR Sagarin:50 RPI:81  [The Bear Insider]
9. Washington (4-7)
[BPR=73]
Lose by 14 at home to USC, two days later knock off 4th ranked UCLA by ten. Ladies and germs, your 2008 Pac-10 basketball season… In his first nine conference games, Justin Dentmon never scored in double figures, but he goes for 20 against the tough Bruin backcourt? Is it any wonder we've replaced the Boot Computer's CPU twice already this year? Team FT% down to 55.9%. Uh, coach Romar? Polls:NR Sagarin:74 RPI:108  [Dawgman.com]
10. Oregon St. (0-11)
[BPR=32]
Still 0-for-2008, but dare we say there are signs of life? Hung around at Haas until the end and played Stanford even in Maples, except for a disastrous 15-0 run over the last 5 minutes of the 1st half. With 5 of the last 7 at home, our simulations show the Beavers getting a victory in the "fat girl at a party full of drunk guys" scenario. We don't know who, but she will eventually end up with someone and they'll be teased about it the next day. Polls:NR Sagarin:210 RPI:242

"We're going to turn this team around 360 degrees."

Jason Kidd, Dallas Mavericks, 1994 [BeaverFootball.com]


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