Boot Power Ratings™

WSU's the team of the week as they sweep the Oregon roadie, UCLA gets revenge on rudderless USC, everyone else goes 1-1 except for the over-eager Beavers. They lose two more games (and their minds). Intensity, defense and pressure rising, look for scores to continue to drop as March approaches. League average was 68 PPG in January, 67.1 PPG in February thus far. Now, on to the Boot Power Ratings™!

Pac-10 BootPowerRatings
As of 2/20/08

Below are our exclusive BootPowerRatings™ of the Pac-10 conference. Each week during the basketball season, we will release our secret-formula rating of all teams of the Pac-10. The BootPowerRating™ (BPR) is calculated by utilizing a wide range of factors rumored to include: past results, statistics, common-opponent comparative results factor, strength-of-schedule, home-venue environment, cheerleader attitude and an unrevealed school spirit multiplier. The resulting rating score falls within a 1-100 scale, where 100 approximates a championship-bound team and a score of 1 is somewhere south of D-1.

1. UCLA (10-2)
Mission accomplished, but 56-46 victory was ugly even for Ben Ball. 34% from the field, 57% from the line is still good enough to win when you force 22 turnovers. Bench is simply three live, big bodies, so health and endurance of Collison and Westbrook are huge for Bruins. Two Oregons come to town. Last year's OSU game was an 82-35 squeaker, Bruins are sure to not take them so lightly this time. Polls:6 Sagarin:5 RPI:7  [Bruin Report Online]
2. Stanford (10-3)
Cardiac Cardinal escape the desert with a split of the previously rare type, dropping an OT heartbreaker at ASU before breaking hearts at UA. Half full approach says dominant stretches built double digit 2nd half leads each game. Half empty says poor stretch execution and shaky FTs are not a recipe for postseason success. Seven days off before welcoming kal comes at the perfect time as nagging injuries to Goods and Washington need healing. Polls:9 Sagarin:12 RPI:20  []
3. Washington St. (8-5)
Cougs take their pair comfortably and seem unlikely to drop below 3rd. When everything is said and done their formula is pretty simple. By taking exceptional care of the ball they have a +3.5 turnover margin, which offsets their mediocre rebounding and gives them an extra FG attempt or two each game. But the real secret is what they do with those extra possessions, 19'9" from the hoop. They lead the conference in shooting the three-ball, are 2nd best at defending it. As a result they make two more per game than their opponents, which more than accounts for their entire +5 scoring margin. The perfect model for how to beat future NBA players with future Euroleaguers. Home against the AZs this week. Polls:17,19 Sagarin:13 RPI:22  []
4.(tie) Arizona St. (6-6)
Satans were ready to celebrate their best three game home stand of the century after besting Arizona the previous week and pulling off a miraculous rally to top Stanford on Thursday. But the season long tendency of Pac-10 teams to split pairs of games came through again as kal spoiled the party. Jeff Pendergraph continued his wildly erratic play with a three point, 16 minute, foul out stinker. A player with his talent shouldn't score single digits in five of twelve conference games. Need a 3-3 finish to feel comfortable, that starts with a road trip to Washington. Polls:NR,33 Sagarin:45 RPI:74  []
4.(tie) Arizona (6-6)
Bayless averaged 32, but Cats get only a split following one-point loss to the Cardinal. The B&B show is trying to be Ernie & Bernie, but those guys won (I'm getting old when my reference is to the dad of a Stanford player whose own career ended two years ago - Classic 1976 SI Cover). Still solid numbers as far as an NCAA bid is concerned, same schedule as ASU, getting a win on Washington trip would allow an exhale. Polls:30,32 Sagarin:25 RPI:17  []
4.(tie) USC (6-7)
Less than a month ago the tumescent Trojans scored 95 points in an arousing OT victory at Oregon. In their last two games, Floyd's Flaccid Five have managed a combined 96 points and been spanked twice. Both WSU and UCLA found it easy to hold the Mayo with his sparring partner Hackett injured. OJ has now attempted 39.2% of their shots in conference – yikes. Last in the Pac in A/T ratio. In dire need of a home sweep of the Oregons, starting tonight with the Ducks. Polls:NR Sagarin:27 RPI:35  [SCPlaybook]
7. California (6-7)
Big road win at ASU salvages a road split and keeps them in the hunt for a top six spot. Anderson and Christopher a tough 1-2 scoring punch and Bears are money from the foul line. But they've held only two conference opponents under 70 all year, they don't block shots (9th) and don't steal the ball (tied for 9th). As a rule of thumb, the later the date, the more games are decided in the half court. That doesn't bode well for this running bunch. Neither does the toughest remaining schedule in the conference. Polls:NR Sagarin:46 RPI:76  [The Bear Insider]
8. Oregon (6-7)
Ducks drop a big one to Wazzu after taking care of UW, things getting dicey with the El Lay trip on tap. Huge game against an increasingly desperate USC Thursday night, erratic Quack Attack glad for lack of Hackett - cracked back (Dr. Seuss was born in Springfield, MA, birthplace of basketball. The Boot Computer knows all). Polls:NR Sagarin:37 RPI:49  [eDuck]
9. Washington (5-8)
Took out their frustrations by waxing the Beavers by 38 points, but the game they had to have was the Oregon loss two nights earlier. Barring a Pac-10 tourney miracle run, playing for pride and perhaps the NIT at this point. Polls:NR Sagarin:72 RPI:109  []
10. Oregon St. (0-13)
Made last week's "signs of life" proclamation look foolish. Not only did the rodents drop a pair at home by 51 total points, but they made national news by reportedly going to the Huskies' hotel the night before the game and challenging them to come out and fight in the parking lot. Judging by how Marcel Jones has performed on the court in this, his senior season, I applaud his decision to change careers to something requiring more brawn, less brains. A parking lot, however, is a poor venue in which to start one's Ultimate Fighting career. It is cold, the lighting makes for bad Youtube clips and you might dent my car. On the other hand, I wouldn't be caught dead in Corvallis, so knock yourself out, so to speak. At UCLA tonight, don't let the children watch. Polls:NR Sagarin:227 RPI:255

"I heard a comment that winners talk after games, and losers talk before they lose. That sums it up in a nutshell."

–interim coach Kevin Mouton, Oregon St. Beavers, 2008 []

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